Dodgers vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Will Freeman Get the Best of Former Teammate?
Walker Buehler leads the Boston Red Sox against his old Los Angeles Dodgers teammates in the rubber match of this three-game series as we make our Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction.
The Dodgers are -135 moneyline favorites at our best sports betting sites, with first pitch from Fenway Park set for 1:35 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles slugger Freddie Freeman has the biggest sample size of at-bats against Buehler, and that has us backing one of his player props with our Dodgers vs. Red Sox best bets.
- Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction: Dodgers to win (-130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player props: Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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✅ Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction: Dodgers to win (-130 via FanDuel)
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Boston right-hander Buehler is trending in the right direction, but I considered the entire season's sample size when making my Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction.
Buehler did not allow a single barrel over seven innings and 26 plate appearances in his last start against the Phillies. The optimistic view on Buehler is that he has made back-to-back quality starts and pitched to a 3.00 ERA in three July starts.
However, he also has the sixth-worst full-season ERA among all pitchers who have thrown at least 80 innings, and he would still be in the bottom 16 according to his 5.10 xERA.
Despite Los Angeles covering the runline in just 41.2% of its games as road favorites (14 of 34), I am laying the 1.5 runs as my Dodgers vs. Red Sox best bet.
As long as righty Dustin May is not distracted by trade rumors, I expect positive regression for a pitcher who had a 1.06 ERA after the first three starts of the season.
Dodgers backers will find the best value on their moneyline odds at FanDuel, the only of our best sports betting apps offering better than a -135 price.
💰 Best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player props
✅ Best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player prop: Freddie Freeman Over 2.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+120 via DraftKings)
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Freeman is the only Los Angeles hitter with more than nine career at-bats against Buehler, plenty of data to support my best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player prop.
Freeman is 5-for-18 against Buehler, with two of those hits home runs. His left-handed bat is the kind of split you want to support when facing Buehler, as he has allowed a .321/.399/.469 slash line to opposing left-handed batters.
Freeman has gone over this projected total in two of his last three road games, and a $10 winning wager for him to do so again would net $12 in profits.
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❓MLB betting FAQs
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.
What is the run line in baseball?
The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
What does moneyline mean in betting?
The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.
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