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Giants vs. Diamondbacks Player Props & Odds: Expert Picks for Monday

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: June 3, 2024 5:44 PM EDT • 4 min 16 sec read.

Two struggling NL West teams meet on FS1 when the San Francisco Giants visit the Arizona Diamondbacks, and we're looking at our Giants vs. Diamondbacks player props based on the best MLB odds.

The point at which it feels right to start taking MLB standings seriously varies for everyone. For fans of teams already struggling, that day might never come.

However, Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants fans are surely paying close attention. The 27-32 Diamondbacks recently bounced back against the New York Mets, winning the last two games after losing six of seven. Meanwhile, the 29-31 Giants have lost four straight. Despite their struggles, both teams are within two games of a playoff spot in the crowded NL wild-card race.

Time is running out for fringe teams like these to make a move before they risk falling out of contention. The Giants and Diamondbacks face off on Monday at Chase Field in Arizona, with first pitch set for 9:40 p.m. ET on FS1.

To complement our MLB player props and expert picks for Monday, here are our best Giants vs. Diamondbacks player props and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Giants vs. Diamondbacks player props

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Giants vs. Diamondbacks expert picks

Ryne Nelson Over 1.5 walks allowed ⭐⭐⭐

Nothing makes you feel alive quite like cheering for wayward heaved baseballs and generally hapless pitching.

Only two of our best sportsbooks offer a walks allowed pitching market, and we'll take value wherever it exists prior to a game without an announced starting pitcher yet from the Giants. It's an opportunity to pounce on nonetheless, as Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson has often been scattershot with his control in 2024.

Nelson has issued three walks in each of his last two starts, and he's also logged a four-walk outing. That's helped to contribute to a weighted on-base percentage allowed of .395 that sits in the bottom 4% of MLB, according to Baseball Savant. The Giants sit exactly in the middle of the pack in walks, but they boast two regulars with a walk percentage greater than 9% (Jorge Soler and Patrick Bailey).

A $10 wager at these +110 odds through bet365 would result in a $21 payout if it hits, with an implied probability of 47.62%, according to our odds converter.

Best odds: +110 via bet365

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Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Patrick Bailey has been steadily elevating his performance during what will be just his second season getting the bulk of the work behind the plate for San Francisco.

The switch-hitting catcher has experienced a sharp uptick in OPS, rising from .644 in 2023 to .819 now. His batting average has risen substantially as part of that too, shifting from way down at .233 in 2023 to .298. Perhaps most importantly for this wager, his hard-hit percentage has gone on a similar journey, jumping from 38.4% to 44%.

Some degree of regression could come eventually, as Bailey's expected batting average sits only a little above his real number at .305. However, venturing into the darkness of regression waters is an unpleasant dip that can wait for another day, as Bailey is set up well for success against Nelson.

He's posted an .845 OPS against right-handers, which is significantly better than Bailey's .711 when facing a southpaw. His frequent walking reflects an ability to make quality swing decisions, and best of all, he's recorded a .676 slugging percentage against four-seam fastballs, a pitch Nelson leans on heavily while throwing it a whopping 50.5% of the time.

A $10 bet at the +110 odds FanDuel is offering will lead to a $21 payout, with an implied win probability of 47.62%.

Best odds: +110 via FanDuel

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Christian Walker Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Christian Walker keeps smacking baseballs with authority, and his continued offensive success has helped in the Diamondbacks' effort to balance out Corbin Carroll's early-season struggles. Walker ranks third on the team in OPS at .822 with a 136 OPS+.

But the most eye-catching element of Walker's season is how consistently he makes laser-beam contact. Walker ranks 18th leaguewide and in the top 9% of MLB with a 50.6% hard-hit rate. That puts him in the company of Bryce Harper and Bobby Witt Jr., and not far behind Fernando Tatis Jr.

Now, on Monday, a power-hitter who's clubbed 12 homers will get the opportunity to muscle balls wherever he pleases, no matter who's on the mound for the Giants. The team's starting pitchers have registered a 4.47 ERA (23rd), and the bullpen has been nearly as disastrous while putting up a 4.42 ERA (also 23rd).

Best of all, DraftKings is offering appealing value for the Over on Walker's total bases. That book is sitting at +125, while FanDuel is posting a +110 price. A winning wager through those DraftKings odds would result in a $22.50 total payout on a $10 wager at an implied probability of 44.44%.

Best odds: +125 via Draftkings

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Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds & game info

  • When: Monday, June 3
  • First pitch: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Chase Field, Phoenix
  • How to watch: FS1
  • Favorite: Diamondbacks (-135 via Betway)

Giants-Diamondbacks player props made Monday at 9:25 a.m. ET.

Here are our best MLB betting sites:

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.