Mets vs. Braves Predictions, Odds & Best Bet: Who'll Win Tonight?

Can the Mets build on their lead atop the NL East or will the Braves begin to turn around their season?

Gabe Henderson

Last Updated: June 17, 2025 10:14 AM EDT • 3 minute read

Mets vs. Braves Predictions, Odds & Best Bet: June 17 — Pictured: New York Mets starting pitcher David Peterson (23) celebrates with left fielder Jared Young (29) after defeating the Washington Nationals. Photo by Vincent Carchietta via Imagn Images.

One of the National League East's most thrilling rivalries will be renewed tonight when the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets meet for the first time this season. Our Mets vs. Braves prediction and odds highlight the latest betting lines and our best bets for the highly anticipated MLB contest.

First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FanDuel Sports Network Southeast, MLB TV), with our best sports betting sites listing the hosts as slight moneyline favorites.

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✅ Mets vs. Braves prediction: Braves (-134 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under prediction: Under 8.5 runs (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best player prop pick: David Peterson Under 2.5 earned runs allowed (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Mets vs. Braves?

This might be the most obvious bounceback spot in the history of baseball. Atlanta has been atrocious at home, with a 3-7 record over its last 10 at Truist Park. However, there's no bigger wake-up call than being blown out in your ballpark by the Colorado Rockies. If the Braves want to turn their season around, they must start to win now.

This may look like a WTF (wrong team favored) line to some, but we'll trust our best sports betting apps and cautiously pick Atlanta to win. The Braves are 18-13 straight up as a home favorite this season. They'll need a boost from Spencer Schwellenbach, though, who has tallied four consecutive quality starts.

✅ Moneyline pick: Braves will win (-134 via FanDuel)

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💰 Mets vs. Braves best bet

Here is my best bet for today's Mets vs. Braves matchup:

📉 David Peterson Under 2.5 earned runs allowed

Best odds: -110 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $9.09 profit)
Implied win probability: 52.38%

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Peterson has been stellar for New York this season. The 29-year-old has a 2.49 ERA through 13 starts, the best of his six-year career to date. He's allowed fewer than three runs in eight of his last 10 starts, a stretch that includes a complete game shutout against the Washington Nationals his last time out.

Atlanta's offense is nothing stellar - the Braves sit 20th in the league in runs scored per game (4.14). Those offensive woes are a big reason they're one of Major League Baseball's best Under teams, combining to score fewer runs than the projected total at a 56.9% clip on the year.

We're expecting a pitcher's duel to break out at Truist Park this evening between Peterson and Schwellenbach, with the former adding another quality start to his resume against a bitter division rival.

⚾ Mets vs. Braves odds today

Here are the live odds for today's Mets vs. Braves matchup. See all of today's MLB odds for the latest lines from our best MLB betting sites.

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Written by:
Gabe Henderson

Gabe Henderson is a sports betting writer from Houston, Texas. He graduated from Louisiana State University in 2022 with a bachelor's degree in Mass Communication. Gabe developed an interest in sports betting while in college due to its legalization in Louisiana. He turned his passion into a career shortly after, joining The Advocate/NOLA.com as a Sports Betting Content Coordinator, where he spent two years. Gabe wore many hats before graduating as he led FanSided's coverage of Chelsea FC as a Site Expert with "The Pride of London." He was also the Editor-in-Chief of the LSU Gumbo Yearbook for two years. Gabe became a part of the SportsbookReview.com team in late 2024. He brings with him an extensive knowledge of many sports, including — but not limited to — NFL, NCAA, MLB, NBA, soccer, and UFC.