Padres vs. Dodgers Predictions, Odds & Best Bet: Who'll Win Tonight's MLB Game?

Last Updated: June 17, 2025 4:26 PM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

After winning the first game of this midweek series, the Los Angeles Dodgers (44-29) host the San Diego Padres (39-32) for the rematch tonight at 10:10 p.m. ET (TBS) from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.
Our best Padres vs. Dodgers prediction and odds expect the World Series odds favorites to tee off against a shaky San Diego starter, as we offer our best bets tonight for this NL West clash.
🔮 Padres vs. Dodgers prediction & picks
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✅ Padres vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers (-215 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under prediction: Over 10 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best player prop pick: Randy Vasquez Under 14.5 outs (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🆚 Who will win Padres vs. Dodgers?
I don't love laying short prices on MLB favorites in the dog days of the regular season, but I'd rather be on the winning side than anything else. And it's tough to argue that won't be the Dodgers in this matchup.
Los Angeles has won three straight and six of its last eight, scoring at least five runs in all six of those victories. The lone exceptions came against Logan Webb (Giants) and Dylan Cease (Padres) - two of the best starters in baseball - which is asking a lot from San Diego starter Randy Vasquez tonight.
✅ Moneyline pick: Dodgers will win (-215 via FanDuel)
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💰 Padres vs. Dodgers best bet
Here is my best bet for today's Padres vs. Dodgers matchup:
⬇️ Randy Vasquez Under 14.5 outs
- Best odds: -110 via bet365 ($10 pays $9.09)
- Implied win probability: 52.38%
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By just about any metric, the Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball. And, by the same token, Vasquez is one of the worst pitchers in the majors.
His surface-level stats (3-4, 3.57 ERA) belie the truth, but the third-year righty has ranked in the bottom 5% of pitchers in xERA, strikeout rate, and max exit velocity each of the past two years. His 5.91 xERA and 13.9% strikeout rate this season rank in the bottom five among 107 pitchers with at least 60 innings.
Vasquez simply can't miss bats to save his life, and the Dodgers crush the ball when they make contact ... you do the math from there. Vasquez couldn't last five innings the last time he faced Los Angeles - or either of his two starts before that - and I'm not expecting anything different tonight.
⚾ Padres vs. Dodgers odds today
Here are the live odds for today's Padres vs. Dodgers matchup. See all of today's MLB odds for the latest lines from our best MLB betting sites.
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💵 Best MLB betting sites
Want to bet on Padres vs. Dodgers? Check out the best MLB betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's MLB games:
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