Phillies vs. Braves Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Olson Set to Tee Off

The Phillies have been slumping lately, and the Braves are set to pounce as Matt Olson leads the way.

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: June 27, 2025 4:52 PM EDT • 3 minute read

The World Series odds-contending Phillies have dropped three straight games, and our Phillies vs. Braves prediction, odds, and best bets detail why bouncing back against Atlanta tonight will be tough.

The Braves are the -175 betting favorites ahead of hosting the division-rival Phillies to begin a three-game set tonight at 7:15 p.m. ET from Truist Park.

Phillies vs. Braves prediction: Braves to win (-175 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Over/Under prediction: Over 9 (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best player prop pick: Matt Olson Over 1.5 total bases (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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💰 Phillies vs. Braves prediction & best bet

✅ Best bet: Matt Olson Over 1.5 total bases (-105 via DraftKings)

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The Phillies scored a mere one run during a three-game sweep at the hands of the Houston Astros. Their offense has been sputtering lately, with the Phillies averaging just 3.6 runs per game over their last 10 contests, a span when they've been shut out twice.

Baseball is weird and wonderful, and maybe that will be looked back on as an odd blip for an otherwise quality offense that sits just outside the top-10 leaguewide. The Phillies sure need to hope so tonight, because they're steep underdogs at our best MLB betting sites with Mick Abel on the mound, meaning Philadelphia will likely need to win in high-scoring fashion.

Abel, who's filling in for the injured Aaron Nola, has been charitable while dishing out dingers lately, allowing a whopping seven across his last three starts and 12 innings. That's pushed his HR/9 to 2.7, significantly above the current league average of 1.1.

Lefties are unsurprisingly torching the righty even more while posting a .963 OPS. Enter Matt Olson, the Braves' left-handed hitting first baseman who's thriving again this season, and especially recently with his .961 OPS in June. OIson also pulverizes fastballs, and he's slugging .560 against a pitch Abel throws 46.1% of the time.

📈 Phillies vs. Braves betting insights

Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours before first pitch:

Moneyline bettors are torn, with the Phillies getting 61% of the bets, but the Braves receiving 55% of the handle
The Over on 9 runs is getting 73% of the bets and 65% of the handle
Run line betting is also split, with 53% of the bets going toward the Phillies covering +1.5, while 65% of the handle is on the Braves at -1.5.

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Written by:
Sean Tomlinson

Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.