Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks

Aryna Sabalenka looks to make her first Wimbledon final as we analyze her semifinal match against Amanda Anisimova, offering two picks.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: July 9, 2025 10:35 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks — Pictured: The world no. 1 in action at the All England Club as we offer our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Prediction. Photo by usan Mullane via Imagn Images

Our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction, odds and best bet explore an intriguing semifinal matchup as both players look to make their first final at the All England Club.

Anisimova has won more than she's lost against Wimbledon odds favorite Sabalenka in their previous meetings. However, there's more to that history than the win-loss record suggests.

Sabalenka is the favorite at our best sports betting sites to make it to her fourth straight grand slam final. Thursday's semifinal starts at 8:30 a.m. ET (ESPN).

🎾 Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction & best bet

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✅ Pick to win: Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 (+290 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Aryna Sabalenka Over 12.5 games (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️

📊 Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova odds: Wimbledon 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player	Odds to win	Probability
Aryna Sabalenka	-275	73.33%
Amanda Anisimova	+220	31.25%

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🏆 Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova expert pick to win

Pictured: The three-time major winner in action at the All England Club as we offer our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction, odds and best bet. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images.

✅ Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +290 via BetMGM ($10 to win 29)
🔢 Implied probability: 25.64%

I have a sneaking suspicion Anisimova will give Sabalenka a run for her money.

While I don't think the American will pull off the upset, she has had success against the world No. 1, having won five of eight meetings, an impressive statistic at first glance.

However, four of those victories came in their first four head-to-head matches, all of which were at least three years ago, with three of them on clay.

Sabalenka has won three of the last four, two coming on hard court. Anisimova is playing some inspired tennis, though, which is enough to convince me she'll force a third and decisive set.

Grass is not Sabalenka's best surface despite her vast improvements, and Anisimova entered Wimbledon on the back of finishing second at the Queen's Club Championships.

BetMGM is offering odds of +290. At +250, DraftKings and bet365 provide the least value of our best sports betting apps.

💰 Best Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova prop bet

✅ Aryna Sabalenka Over 12.5 games ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 to win $9.09)
🔢 Implied probability: 52.38%

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If Sabalenka wins in straight sets, which our best sportsbooks believe has the best probability of happening, she can still cash this prop. I'm confident Anisimova can drag the Belarusian superstar into at least one tiebreak.

My prediction has Sabalenka losing one set, which would lay the groundwork for a relatively straightforward Over. Sabalenka conceded a set for the first time in the quarterfinals against outsider Laura Siegemund, and she has previously struggled to get over the hump at Wimbledon.

Anisimova is playing her best tennis. That combination should lead to Sabalenka having to work a bit harder and longer for her first final berth at Wimbledon.

The odds don't vary much for this bet, with Caesars and FanDuel's -110 odds marginally ahead of bet365 (-120) and BetMGM (-118).

📺 How to watch Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova: Wimbledon 2025

📍 Date: Thursday, July 10
🕘 Time: 8:30 a.m. ET
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.