Austrian Grand Prix Picks, Odds: Austrian GP F1 Expert Predictions & Long Shot at Red Bull Ring

It's back to Europe for the 11th race of the Formula One season as we explore which version of Lando Norris will show up in Austria on Sunday.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: June 26, 2025 5:47 AM EDT • 6 minute read

Austrian Grand Prix Prediction, Odds: F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot — Pictured: Lando Norris at the Canadian Grand Prix. Photo via Imagn Images

We have our best Austrian Grand Prix prediction and odds ahead of the 11th race of the F1 season. Unsurprisingly, they feature Lando Norris and Max Verstappen, as well as an exciting long-shot pick.

Oscar Piastri continues to be listed as the betting favorite at our best sports betting sites to win Sunday's race at the Red Bull Ring in Spielberg, Austria. He also remains atop the F1 Championship odds leaderboard after he finished third at the Canadian Grand Prix.

Meanwhile, Verstappen enjoyed a solid race, finishing second behind George Russell, who celebrated his first victory of the season. Sunday's race starts at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN).

🥇2025 Austrian Grand Prix odds & favorites🥇

Austrian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Thursday, June 26

Driver	FanDuel	Implied probability	Profit on a $10 bet
Oscar Piastri	+160	38.46%	$16
Lando Norris	+220	31.25%	$22
Max Verstappen	+360	21.74%	$36
George Russell	+850	10.53%	$85
Charles Leclerc	+1800	5.26%	$180
Lewis Hamilton	+2900	3.33%	$290
Kimi Antonelli	+3400	2.86%	$340
Yuki Tsunoda	+19000	0.52%	$1,900
Fernando Alonso	+19000	0.52%	$1,900
Alex Albon	+19000	0.52%	$1,900
Isack Hadjar	+19000	0.52%	$1,900
Carlos Sainz	+19000	0.52%	$1,900
Pierre Gasly	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Liam Lawson	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Oilver Bearman	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Lance Stroll	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Franco Colapinto	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Esteban Ocon	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Nico Hulkenberg	+42000	0.24%	$4,200
Gabriel Bortoleto	+42000	0.24%	$4,200

📈 Austrian Grand Prix odds movement

Odds via FanDuel and updated as of Thursday, June 26

There hasn't been any notable betting odds movement since Monday, June 23

💰 Austrian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win

Editor's note: The below picks were made on Monday, June 23.

Here are my best Austrian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Red Bull Ring. Picks based on odds from our best sports betting apps.

🏆 Pick to win Austrian Grand Prix: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐

👉 Best odds: +230 via Caesars | Implied probability: 30.30%

I'm giving Norris the benefit of the doubt for the Austrian Grand Prix. The McLaren driver haphazardly ran into the back of Oscar Piastri in an attempt to pass him at the Canadian Grand Prix. He also made a mistake in qualifying that prevented him from taking pole position.

While his errors were as costly as they were avoidable, Norris was noticeably faster than Piastri all weekend in Montreal. Norris hasn't yet proven he possesses the character, resilience, and mettle of a champion, but this weekend's race presents an opportunity to prove it.

If he can overcome the pressure and race mistake-free, he should have the speed to win.

He had a chance to win last year's Austrian Grand Prix before colliding with Verstappen down the stretch. The question is whether he can channel his frustration and put together a near-flawless weekend.

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💎 Best value bet to win Austrian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐

👉 Best odds: +350 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 22.22%

Verstappen finished second in Canada two weeks ago and was in the lead last year in Austria before colliding with Norris. He has won the race four times, the most in the history of this Grand Prix.

The first half of the track favors the high-powered MCL39, but I expect the four-time defending champion to show his pedigree toward the tail end, where drivers slalom through a series of tight and quick corners, including the storied Rindt right-hander.

At +350, the Dutchman is worth a go. DraftKings is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering +350, with Caesars and BetMGM providing less value at +300.

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🎯 Best long shot to win Austrian Grand Prix: Charles Leclerc ⭐⭐

👉 Best odds: +1800 via Caesars | Implied probability: 5.26%

I stretched the statute of limitations as much as I could at the Canadian Grand Prix, interpreting Russell as a long-shot pick despite his relatively palatable +1600 odds. In my defense, Russell won the race - his first of the season - which resulted in a $160 profit for anyone who tailed the "long-shot" play.

For the record, I favor Russell again in this race. Unfortunately, there's no way to sell his +750 odds as a long-shot pick.

The only long shots with a chance of winning are Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton, and Kimi Antonelli. The latter has shown glimpses of brilliance but won't win unless another collision occurs at the front of the grid.

Hamilton has shown signs of improvement recently, finishing sixth in the previous two races, but he's still a ways off winning. That leaves Leclerc, who finished fifth in Montreal and has three podium finishes. With a solid start and a good qualifying, he's in with a chance.

Plus, Leclerc won the race in 2022, the only driver from a team other than Red Bull and Mercedes to triumph in Austria since 2014.

Austrian Grand Prix Picks, Odds: F1 Expert Predictions & Long Shot — Pictured Charles Leclerc at the Canadian Grand Prix. Photo via Imagn Images

🏆 Past Austrian Grand Prix winners

Here is a look at the last 10 Austrian Grand Prix winners.

Year	Driver	Team
2024	🇬🇧 George Russell	Mercedes
2023	🇳🇱 Max Verstappen	Red Bull-Honda RBPT
2022	🇲🇨 Charles Leclerc	Ferarri
2021	🇳🇱 Max Verstappen	Red Bull Racing-Honda
2020	🇫🇮 Valtteri Bottas	Mercedes
2019	🇳🇱 Max Verstappen	Red Bull Racing-Honda
2018	🇳🇱 Max Verstappen	Red Bull Racing-TAG Heuer
2017	🇫🇮 Valtteri Bottas	Mercedes
2016	🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton	Mercedes
2015	🇩🇪 Nico Rosberg	Mercedes

📈 Austrian Grand Prix trends & history

🏎️ Russell won last year's event
🏎️ Piastri finished second at the 2024 Austrian Grand Prix
🏎️ Norris recorded two podium finishes in the last four years at the Red Bull Ring
🏎️ Three years ago, Charles Leclerc brought Ferrari their first Austrian Grand Prix since in 22 years
🏎️ Ferrari has the most wins (7)
🏎️ Verstappen has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races (4)
🏎️ The first Austrian Grand Prix was in 1963
🏎️ The Austrian Grand Prix became a part of Formula One in 1964
🏎️ The race moved to Osterreichring in 1970
🏎️ The 2003 Austrian Grand Prix was the final event until 2014, when the circuit's new owners, Red Bull, reached an agreement with Bernie Ecclestone
🏎️ Mercedes (6) and Red Bull (4) have won 10 of the previous 11 Austrian Grand Prix races

📺 How to watch the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix

📅 Race date: Sunday, June 29
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Red Bull Ring (Spielberg, Austria)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☀️ Weather: 79 degrees, 6 mph to 9 mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation

❓ Austrian Grand Prix FAQs

Who is favored to win the Austrian Grand Prix?

Oscar Piastri is the favorite to win the Austrian Grand Prix, with +160 odds at FanDuel. Those odds carry a 38.46% implied probability.

What are the odds for the Austrian Grand Prix?

Oscar Piastri (+160), Lando Norris (+220), and Max Verstappen (+360) have the shortest odds to win the Austrian Grand Prix at FanDuel.

What time is the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?

The Austrian Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, June 29.

How to watch the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix

You can watch the Austrian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.

Who has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races?

Max Verstappen has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races (4).

🏎️ Here are our best F1 betting sites:

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.