Bahrain Grand Prix Predictions & Odds for Sunday: Expert F1 Picks, Bahrain GP Props, Odds
Max Verstappen enjoyed a stress-free race in Japan, easing to his first win of the F1 season after leading from start to finish. Nobody was able to overtake the four-time defending champion, setting the scene for an incredibly intriguing race weekend in Bahrain for the Bahrain Grand Prix.
Lando Norris still remains ahead of Verstappen by one point in the drivers' standings. However, Oscar Piastri could threaten them both this weekend after taking the pole position in Bahrain, with Norris further back in sixth on the grid for Sunday's race, and Verstappen beside him in seventh.
Norris still remains the F1 Championship odds favorite across our best sports betting sites, but his teammate Piastri is ready to make his move.
Here are our Bahrain Grand Prix odds and predictions, with all picks made based on the odds before practice sessions started.
🥇2025 Bahrain Grand Prix odds & favorites🥇
Bahrain Grand Prix odds via BetMGM as of Saturday, April 12 after qualifying
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | -303 | 75.19% | $3.30 |
| Lando Norris | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| George Russell | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Max Verstappen | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Carlos Sainz | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
🔢 Bahrain Grand Prix odds movement
There was significant movement following qualifying, with Piastri now far out in front by the odds, and many others falling after his dominance. Here are the most notable odds shifts:
- Piastri moved from +200 to -303
- Norris moved from +130 to +450
- Verstappen moved from +350 to +2500
- Russell moved from +1200 to +1000
- Leclerc moved from +2000 to +1200
- Hamilton moved from +2200 to +8000
- Antonelli moved from +5000 to +3300
💰 Bahrain Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
🏆 Pick to win Bahrain Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +210 via Caesars | Implied probability: 32.26%
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Excluding an inexperienced mistake at the Australian Grand Prix, Piastri has been every bit Norris' equal. He looked better than his counterpart in China and for large portions of the Japanese Grand Prix.
Piastri was on Norris' bumper throughout Sunday's race, with McLaren seriously considering having the Australian mount the primary challenge on Verstappen.
McLaren waited too long to pull the trigger on the change, preventing the faster driver, Piastri, from having the opportunity to overtake Norris. Entering Sunday's race in Bahrain on the back of a first and third-place finish, he appears a constant race-winner threat.
His +210 odds are as appealing as his control and proficiency over the last two races, and a winning bet at Caesars would profit $21 on a $10 winning wager.
💎 Best value bet to win Bahrain Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +350 via bet365 | Implied probability: 22.22%
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Locking in Verstappen at +333 is like getting away with highway robbery in the middle of the day. He won the Japanese Grand Prix without breaking a sweat, holding off both McLaren drivers relatively easily.
The one quasi-squeaky-bum moment saw Verstappen and Norris side by side after a slowish Red Bull pitstop. Norris went on to the grass, complaining - without much justification - that Verstappen forced him off the track.
Aside from that slightly hairy moment, Verstappen was in control throughout. The significance of the race cannot be overstated, as Verstappen proved his car can keep pace, even outpace, the MCL39, which was inarguably faster in the opening two races. The four-time defending champion should have his swagger back, especially going into a race he's the back-to-back defending champion of.
He's my pick to win the race, and I don't think you'll get better odds than at this early stage of the week. bet365 offers the best price of our top sports betting sites, where a winning $10 bet will profit $35.
🎯 Best long shot to win Bahrain Grand Prix: Kimi Antonelli ⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +7000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 1.41%
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A dream start for Antonelli, the teenager became the youngest race leader in F1 history at the Japanese Grand Prix. At 18 years and 225 days, Antonelli broke the previous record, set by Verstappen at the 2016 Spanish Grand Prix, by three days. That wasn't the end of Antonelli's Japanese Grand Prix accolades, as he also secured the fastest lap, the youngest driver to do so.
Mercedes couldn't be more elated with Antonelli's first three races. He finished fourth at the Australian Grand Prix and sixth in both races in Asia, which begs the question of whether he can join Verstappen as an 18-year-old race winner. While a true definition of a long-shot pick, it seems anything is possible for the Italian rookie. If you don't think so, look at his aforementioned track record.
While his odds are as short as +5000 (BetMGM), FanDuel offers the best price at +7000, where a $10 winning bet would profit $700.
🏆 Past Bahrain Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Bahrain Grand Prix winners.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | 🇲🇨 Charles Leclerc | Ferrari |
| 2021 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari (Then Mercedes) |
| 2020 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari (Then Mercedes) |
| 2019 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari (Then Mercedes) |
| 2018 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2017 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2016 | 🇩🇪 Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
| 2015 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari (then Mercedes) |
| 2014 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari (then Mercedes) |
📈 Bahrain Grand Prix trends & history
🏎️ Hamilton has won the most Bahrain Grand Prix races (5), all with Mercedes
🏎️ Of the current grid, Fernando Alonso has the second-most wins in Bahrain (3)
🏎️ Nico Rosberg won in Bahrain four times, the second-most behind Hamilton
🏎️ Charles Leclerc, who won in 2022, and Verstappen - the two-time defending champion - are the other drivers on the current grid who've won in Bahrain
🏎️ The first Bahrain Grand Prix was held in 2004
🏎️ The driver in pole position won nine of 19 Bahrain Grand Prix races, with Verstappen winning in 2024 after securing pole
📺 How to watch the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, April 13
🕒 Start time: 11 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Bahrain International Circuit (Sakhir, Bahrain)
📺 TV: ESPN
Streaming: ESPN+
☀️ Weather: 81 degrees, 13 mph to 19 mph winds, 0% chance of precipitation
❓ Bahrain Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Bahrain Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri, who won the Chinese Grand Prix, is the runaway favorite while getting -303 odds from BetMGM.
What are the odds for the Bahrain Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri (-303), Lando Norris (+450), and George Russell (+1000) are getting the shortest odds to win the Bahrain Grand Prix.
What time is the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?
The Bahrain Grand Prix starts at 11 a.m. ET on Sunday, April 13.
How to watch the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix
You can watch the Bahrain Grand Prix on ESPN or ESPN+.
Who has won the most Bahrain Grand Prix races?
Lewis Hamilton has won the Bahrain Grand Prix the most (6).
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