Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions Today: ChatGPT's F1 Picks & Best Bets

Our resident robot researched the Belgian Grand Prix and offered its AI prediction for today's race.
Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions Today: ChatGPT's F1 Picks & Best Bets
Pictured: Oscar Piastri at Spa during pre-race festivities as we offer our Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions for today's race. Photo via Imagn Images

Lando Norris is in pole position to win his third straight race as we dive into our Belgian Grand Prix AI predictions, focusing on Norris' teammate, Oscar Piastri, who is looking to break a three-race winless streak.

Along with being in pole position, Norris is the slight favorite at our best sports betting sites, trading just ahead of Piastri. Today's race starts at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN).

Let's explore how ChatGPT predicts the race to unfold at the Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps in Belgium.

👉 For more coverage, check out our Belgian Grand Prix odds

🤖 F1 AI picks & predictions for 2025 Belgian Grand Prix

The Belgian Grand Prix is an iconic race that features perhaps the most renowned corner in all of racing, with Eau Rouge the most challenging feature of the 7.004 km circuit - the longest in F1. The zig-zagging uphill adventure will test drivers repeatedly over 44 laps.

There's always buzz around the F1 paddock tied to McLaren, which continues to dominate weekly. Norris has won the last two races, with Piastri right behind in second each time. But there will be just as much chatter tied to Red Bull, the once steamrolling team that now seems to be heading into a time of transition amid the first race after moving on from longtime team principal Christian Horner.

Now for the standard disclaimer: There can be important insights and information gleaned from this exercise, but ChatGPT should not be your main tool when making Belgian Grand Prix picks.

Here's my chat with the F1 fanatic robot prior to the latest round of flying around Spa. All picks and odds are from before the practice session, sprint race, and qualifying.

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix 

ChatGPT predicts Oscar Piastri will win the Belgian Grand Prix. Caesars is featuring the top odds (+170) for him among the best F1 betting sites, where he's widely listed as either the favorite or co-favorite alongside his teammate Norris.

He's getting an implied probability of 37.04% to win based on those odds from Caesars, with a $10 bet possibly leading to a $17 profit.

Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions
Pictured Oscar Piastri celebrates, and he's key to our Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions Today. Photo by Go Nakamura/Reuters via Imagn.

Here's ChatGPT's reasoning for picking Piastri to win at Spa.

✅ Form and racecraft at a career high: Oscar Piastri comes into Spa as the drivers' Championship leader, having delivered an exceptionally consistent season. He’s scored in every race so far in 2025 - both full Grand Prixs and sprints - and has already logged five Grand Prix wins, which is the most of any driver this season. While his teammate Norris has produced a couple of high-profile victories recently (including Silverstone), Piastri has quietly been the more complete, mistake-free driver over a longer stretch.

His driving has shown clear evolution. He’s composed under pressure, precise in qualifying, and tactically sharp during tire-phase transitions, which is crucial in Spa’s fast-changing conditions. The fact that he’s often able to convert front-row starts into commanding drives, without overly aggressive tire use, will be particularly valuable here.

✅ McLaren's car is perfectly suited to Spa: Spa rewards low-drag aero efficiency, strong mechanical grip in the middle sector, and stability through high-speed compressions like Eau Rouge and Raidillon. That combination - power on the straights and grip through fast transitions - is how the McLaren MCL38 has been excelling most in 2025.

  • In recent races at Silverstone and the Red Bull Ring - two circuits with similar high-speed demands - McLaren’s car was consistently the fastest on average over qualifying and race pace stints
  • The team has also nailed tire management, especially in cooler or mixed conditions, something that often defines Spa races
  • Setup compromise is notoriously difficult at Spa (downforce is desired for Sector 2, but minimal drag for Sectors 1 and 3), and McLaren has recently shown the best balance in making those tradeoffs.

✅ Calm under pressure in a chaotic setting: Spa-Francorchamps is known for throwing unpredictability at drivers through sudden weather changes, safety cars, and a high risk of first-lap incidents (La Source and Les Combes are always hotspots). Piastri’s calm and calculating style positions him well in that environment.

  • He avoids overdriving in tricky conditions, and sudden strategy shifts is rarely throw him off
  • His 2025 races have shown a tendency to “build” into weekends: strong in FP1, sharper by FP3, and lethal in qualifying
  • His sprint pace has also been excellent, giving him a good shot to lock down pole and secure clean air into Turn 1, which essential for staying out of midfield chaos at Spa.

This race’s sprint weekend format also rewards drivers who can rapidly adapt to evolving grip levels and setup changes across shortened practice, another strength from Piastri.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (37% chance of Piastri winning)

Up To $1,500 First Bet

Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet for the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix 

ChatGPT predicts George Russell will finish on the podium during the Belgian Grand Prix. DraftKings is offering easily the top odds among the best sports betting apps at +250, with FanDuel much shorter at +195.

The +250 price from DraftKings translates to an implied probability of 29.57% for Russell, with a $10 winning bet paying out $25.

Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions
George Russell reacts, and he's feature in the prop pick of our Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions Today. Photo by David Kirouac / Imagn.

Here's why the AI model is going with Russell to land on the podium, a pick that's recommended at odds of +250 or longer.

✅ Mercedes is quietly closing the gap: While the headlines focus on McLaren’s title fight and Red Bull’s transition, Mercedes has been making steady aerodynamic gains. The team's most recent upgrades - introduced before the British and Hungarian Grand Prixs - have dramatically improved rear-end stability and straight-line efficiency. Spa, with its long full-throttle sections, rewards exactly that kind of balance.

Russell’s qualifying pace has consistently placed him in the top six, and his race stints have shown improved degradation control. At Silverstone, he was running in second before mechanical issues struck, and in Austria and Hungary, he challenged Ferrari and Red Bull on pure pace. Mercedes is not fully back, but Russell is regularly in striking distance of the podium now.

✅ Russell's track record at Spa is impressive: In 2021, he qualified second at Spa in a Williams amid wet conditions and was awarded second when the race ended under red flag rules. It was arguably the drive that elevated his career. In 2023 and 2024, he consistently outqualified Lewis Hamilton at Spa and has shown a natural confidence at high-speed elevation circuits.

This is a driver-track combo that historically clicks. Russell thrives in fast, flowing layouts where bravery in corners like Blanchimont and Pouhon makes the difference. Few are more committed through those zones than him.

✅ Weather and sprint format create podium chaos: Spa is known for wildly variable weather, which often turns the grid upside down. Russell is one of the best in changeable or wet conditions. His smooth steering input and ability to maintain pace on intermediate tires give him a distinct edge in slippery situations.

With sprint qualifying and a sprint race on Saturday, there’s added potential for field shakeups, especially if teams burn through tire compounds early or miscalculate parc ferme setups. Russell tends to capitalize when others falter.

This prop bet doesn’t require him to beat McLaren or Max Verstappen outright. Instead, he only needs to pick off one of the top three over the course of 44 laps and take advantage of any strategic missteps or sudden weather changes.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (28% chance of Russell finishing on the podium)

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose*

*Deposit required. Mobile app only. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Referral Codes are used for marketing/tracking purposes only.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot to win 2025 Belgian Grand Prix 

ChatGPT is choosing Fernando Alonso as its top long-shot pick ahead of the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix. He's a deep long shot, too, but Alonso is getting a rogue price from DraftKings at +30000. Meanwhile, the rest of the best sportsbooks are hovering around +15000.

The price from DraftKings implies a 0.33% probability, with a $10 bet paying out $3,000.

Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions
Pictured Aston Martin driver Fernando Alonso, and he's the long shot in our Belgian Grand Prix AI Predictions Today. Photo by David Kirouac / Imagn.

Here's why ChatGPT is recommending a little sprinkle on Alonso as a dark horse.

✅ Alonso and Spa are a perfect match: Alonso has always been a master of technical, high-speed tracks that punish hesitation, and Spa is among his strongest venues historically. He’s earned multiple podiums here and finished among the top six in five of his last six starts at the circuit, including during the Aston Martin revival in 2023.

Even at 44 years old, he remains one of the sharpest on-track decision makers, a tire whisperer in volatile conditions, and arguably the best driver in the field in changeable weather

If it rains - even partway through the race - Alonso immediately becomes the most dangerous long-shot in the field.

✅ Aston Martin's recent pace is sneaky good: While Aston Martin has faded from the spotlight this season, they’ve been quietly upgrading their car’s high-speed aero package. And Spa is the first track in weeks where that work could finally pay off.

  • The AMR25’s straight-line speed is among the top five, which is crucial for Spa’s full-throttle sectors
  • Their tire degradation has improved slightly after midseason floor updates, allowing Alonso to stretch stints, and it's perfect for exploiting undercuts or early safety cars.
  • Alonso recently posted top-five sector times during dry runs at Silverstone and Austria, despite middling grid positions

If the front-runners stumble - or even just miscalculate tire strategy - Alonso can leapfrog them using his usual combo of aggression and genius-level track awareness.

✅ Spa creates chaos, and Alonso feeds off it: Belgian Grand Prixs rarely go to script. Just look at 2021 (rainout), 2022 (grid penalties scrambled order), or even 2023 (unexpected early stops flipped race order). The sprint format, Spa’s unpredictable weather, and high attrition are the perfect ingredients for a shock result.

Alonso is the best-positioned of the veterans to pounce when chaos strikes. He doesn’t need the pole to win, just a launch window. We’ve seen it before: When others panic on tire calls or restart timing, Alonso stays calm, makes the right move, and gains five-to-10 seconds instantly. That’s the margin of victory at Spa.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐ (6% chance of Alonso winning)

🤖 Belgian Grand Prix AI projections for full finishing order

Here is our predicted Belgian Grand Prix finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. Note that ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events.

🏁 ChatGPT's full Belgian Grand Prix finishing order predictions

  1. Oscar Piastri (McLaren) 🥇
  2. Lando Norris (McLaren) 🥈
  3. Max Verstappen (Red Bull) 🥉
  4. Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
  5. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
  6. George Russell (Mercedes)
  7. Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
  8. Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber)
  9. Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull)
  10. Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
  11. Alex Albon (Williams)
  12. Esteban Ocon (Haas)
  13. Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber)
  14. Carlos Sainz (Williams)
  15. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
  16. Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
  17. Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)
  18. Oliver Bearman (Haas)
  19. Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
  20. Franco Colapinto (Alpine)

💰 2025 Belgian Grand Prix best bets

Bet Driver Odds Implied win probability
🏆 Pick to win Oscar Piastri  +170 37.04%
💰 Best prop bet George Russell podium finish +250 39.57%
🎯 Best long shot Fernando Alonso +30000 0.33%

🧠 Belgian Grand Prix expert picks 

📺 How to watch the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix 

📅 Race date: Sunday, July 27
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Circuit de Spa Francorchamps (Stavelot, Belgium) 
📺 TV: ESPN | Streaming: ESPN+

🏎️ Best F1 betting sites

Want to bet on the Belgian Grand Prix? Check out the best sports betting sites for F1 ahead of this weekend's race:  

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.