Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks

Carlos Alcaraz continues his three-peat quest at the All England Club as we provide our best two picks for his quarterfinal match against Cameron Norrie.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: July 8, 2025 4:00 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks — Pictured: The two-time defending champion in action at the All England Club as we offer our Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images

Our Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, and best bet analyzes the chances of the Brit keeping things competitive in this morning's quarterfinal.

Alcaraz, who is receiving the shortest Wimbledon odds to complete the three-peat, is looking for his 18th straight wins at the All England Club. He is the prohibitive favorite to beat Norrie at our best sports betting sites.

🎾 Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction & best bet

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✅ Pick to win: Alcaraz 3-1 (+240 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Cameron Norrie Over 12.5 games (-122 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️

📊 Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds: Wimbledon 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player	Odds to win	Probability
Carlos Alcaraz	-1600	94.12%
Cameron Norrie	+850	10.53%

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🏆 Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz expert pick to win

✅ Alcaraz 3-1 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +240 via DraftKings ($10 to win 24)
🔢 Implied probability: 29.41%

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Norrie is into the quarterfinal for the second time at Wimbledon, with three of his four matches thus far requiring at least four sets. Alcaraz, while avoiding a five-set bout, is in a similar boat, needing four sets in three of his four matches.

Overall, Alcaraz has won four of six encounters against the Brit, with three of those wins coming in straight sets.

Alcaraz to win in straight sets has an implied probability of 60%, the most likely outcome at our best sports betting apps.

However, Norrie is playing some inspired tennis at his home tournament and has enjoyed some success against the sensational Spaniard, as we discuss below. I am, however, slightly concerned about his fitness after enduring a grueling five-set Round of 16 match against Nicolas Jarry.

💰 Best Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prop bet

✅ Cameron Norrie Over 12.5 games ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -122 via FanDuel ($10 to win $12.20)
🔢 Implied probability: 54.95%

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The world no. 2 hasn't been at his sharpest throughout, suffering from momentary lapses. I expect a similar turn of events against an opponent he has struggled against recently, with Norrie winning two of the last three head-to-head meetings.

Both of Norrie's victories - one on clay and one on hard court - went the distance, requiring three sets (non-majors). A lot has changed since Norrie's triumphs in 2022 and 2023 over the indomitable Spaniard.

That said, Norrie knows how to keep things competitive against him and is riding a massive wave of momentum.

Plus, the crowd will be feverishly backing their homegrown talent. That should be enough to win 13 or more games. FanDuel offers the most competitive price among our best sportsbooks.

📺 How to watch Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Wimbledon 2025

📍 Date: Tuesday, July 8
🕘 Time: Approximately 10:30 a.m. ET
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

💡 More Wimbledon predictions

Taylor Fritz vs. Karen Khachanov prediction
Cam Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction
Wimbledon quarterfinals predictions

💵 Best tennis betting sites

Want to bet on Wimbledon 2025? Check out the best sportsbook promos for this season's summer major:

FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.