Canadian Grand Prix AI Predictions: ChatGPT's F1 Picks Today & Best Bets for Montreal

George Russell will start the grid in first for the first time this season, just as he did at last year's Canadian Grand Prix. Meanwhile, Max Verstappen and F1 Championship odds favorite Oscar Piastri finished second and third in qualifying, respectively.

Before the practice sessions and qualifying, we asked ChatGPT to offer its Canadian Grand Prix AI predictions. Today's race starts at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve in Montreal.

👉 For more coverage, check out our Canadian Grand Prix best bets and Canadian Grand Prix odds.

🤖 F1 AI picks & predictions for 2025 Canadian Grand Prix

The last time we turned to ChatGPT for our Miami Grand Prix AI predictions, the race-predicting robot nailed Oscar Piastri as the winner. He finished 4.63 seconds ahead of his teammate Lando Norris, with McLaren's steamrolling continuing.

Before we dive in again, it's time for the standard warning that although there can be valuable insights and information gleaned from this exercise, ChatGPT should not be your primary tool when making Canadian Grand Prix picks.

Here's my chat with the apparent fast-car fan robot ahead of 70 laps at the 4.361 km Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve in Montreal on Sunday.

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix 

ChatGPT predicts Oscar Piastri will win the Canadian Grand Prix. DraftKings is among those featuring the top odds for him (+130) at our best F1 betting sites.

Piastri still holds a narrow lead over his teammate Norris atop the drivers' standings, with just a 10-point gap.

Incredibly, the two drivers leading the McLaren behemoth this year have finished on the podium together seven times through nine races. However, Piastri has won four of the last six events to earn the edge.

He's receiving an implied probability of 43.48% to win based on those odds from DraftKings, with a $10 bet possibly leading to a $13 profit.

Here's ChatGPT's reasoning for picking Piastri, who has missed the podium just once this season.

✅ Forecast models and betting markets alignment: AI models using LightGBM-type frameworks (which factor in typical grid position, the pace of each F1 constructor, and race history) consistently rank Piastri highest, especially at low-downforce tracks like Montreal

✅ Season momentum and head-to-head edge: He leads the championship with five wins, eight podiums, and is consistently outpacing teammate Norris in direct competition. His confidence and recent form highlight his potential.

✅ McLaren’s strategic advantage and circuit fit: McLaren’s car thrives on low grip, high-braking tracks, meaning it's perfectly suited to Circuit Gilles‑Villeneuve. Both Piastri and Norris are front-runners, but Piastri’s qualifying speed and racecraft give him the edge.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (44% chance of winning per AI simulation)

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💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet for the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix 

ChatGPT predicts Max Verstappen will set the fastest lap at the Canadian Grand Prix. DraftKings is posting an outlier price while offering Verstappen at +750 to get around the circuit the fastest. Most of our other best sports betting sites are offering him at +500.

Verstappen and Red Bull are no longer dominating on a near-weekly basis, unlike the form from him and the team amid a run to four straight championships.

However, Verstappen remains the primary threat and rival of Piastri and Norris. He's still lurking in the drivers' standings while sitting in third, 49 points behind Piastri. There's a clear established history of success at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve from Verstappen too, as he's won the past three races in Canada.

The +750 odds from DraftKings translate to an implied probability of 11.76%, with a $10 winning bet paying out $75.

Here's why the AI model predicts Verstappen will record the fastest lap:

✅ Historical tendency: At the Canadian Grand Prix, Verstappen set the fastest lap in 2023 and 2024—even when his win was virtually guaranteed. That underscores a consistent behavioral pattern: He pushes, even when he doesn’t have to situationally.

✅ Strategic tire advantage in late stages: Red Bull often keeps one set of soft tires unused in the race setup, giving Verstappen a late-race advantage when fuel loads are low. Montreal's long straights and cool conditions make it one of the best tracks for a late flyer.

✅ Relentlessness: This is the kind of prop bet where psychology meets strategy, and Verstappen’s relentless mentality gives it serious value, even in an era when the fastest lap is purely symbolic.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (34% chance of recording the fastest lap via AI simulation)

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🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot to win 2025 Canadian Grand Prix 

ChatGPT is choosing Lewis Hamilton of Ferrari as its top long-shot pick. Hamilton, who has been inconsistent during his first season with a new team after transitioning from Mercedes, is fresh off finishing sixth during the Spanish Grand Prix.

He's receiving +2000 odds across the board, including at bet365. That leads to an implied probability of 4.76%, with a $10 bet leading to a $200 profit.

Here's why ChatGPT is tabbing Hamilton as its best long shot: 

✅ Elite track record at Circuit Gilles‑Villeneuve: Hamilton is a seven-time winner in Montreal (tied with Michael Schumacher), making this one of his most successful tracks.

His deep knowledge of the layout and knack for capitalizing on safety cars or mixed conditions is unmatched. In 2023 and 2024, he finished on the podium despite having inferior machinery at times—suggesting that track familiarity and driver instinct still go a long way.

✅ Ferrari’s improved 2025 form and qualifying upside: The 2025 Ferrari package has delivered flashes of brilliance, especially over a single lap. Hamilton’s qualifying performance has rebounded this year, and if he starts in the top three or four, a well-timed strategy (Ferrari’s current strength) could vault him into contention.

✅ Possible rain adds element of chaos: Rain is possible on race day, and Hamilton remains one of the top wet-weather drivers on the grid. He’s not in a dominant car. But in a volatile race like the one in Canada, his experience, Ferrari’s upgrades, and the chance of rain make him the sharpest value among long shots.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐ (7% chance of winning per AI simulation)

🤖 Canadian Grand Prix AI projections for full finishing order

Here is our predicted Canadian Grand Prix finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. Note that ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events.

🏁 ChatGPT's full Canadian Grand Prix finishing order predictions

1. Oscar Piastri (McLaren) 🥇
2. Lando Norris (McLaren) 🥈
3. Max Verstappen (Red Bull) 🥉
4. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
5. George Russell (Mercedes)
6. Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
7. Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull)
8. Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber)
9. Carlos Sainz (Williams)
10. Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
11. Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
12. Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)
13. Esteban Ocon (Haas)
14. Oliver Bearman (Haas)
15. Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
16. Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber)
17. Franco Colapinto (Alpine)
18. Alex Albon (Williams)
19. Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
20. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)

💰 2025 Canadian Grand Prix best bets

📺 How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix 

📅 Race date: Sunday, June 15
🕒 Start time: 2 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve (Monteal, Canada) 
📺 TV: ESPN | Streaming: ESPN+

🏁 Best F1 betting sites for Canadian Grand Prix

Want to bet on the Canadian Grand Prix? Here are our best sports betting sites for F1 as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of Sunday's race. 

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