Canadian Grand Prix Predictions, Odds Today: Canadian GP F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot

George Russell took pole position for the second year running at the Canadian Grand Prix. We take a look at whether he'll be able to win the race this time around.
Canadian Grand Prix Picks, Odds Today: F1 Expert Predictions & Long Shots
Pictured: Max Verstappen, George Russell and Oscar Piastri after Qualifying at the Canadian Grand Prix. Photo by Alessio De Marco via Imagn Images

George Russell took pole position for the second straight year at the Canadian Grand Prix and is positioned perfectly to win his first race of the season. 

However, he started first on the grid last year, too, but ended the race in third, with Max Verstappen winning his third straight at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Our Canadian Grand Prix picks and odds feature those two drivers and F1 Championship odds favorite Oscar Piastri, who finished third in qualifying.

Verstappen is the favorite to win across our best F1 betting sites for today's race, which starts at (2 p.m. ET, ESPN) from Montreal. 

πŸ₯‡2025 Canadian Grand Prix odds & favoritesπŸ₯‡

Canadian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Sunday, June 15

Driver FanDuel Implied probability Profit on a $10 bet
Max Verstappen +155 39.22% $15.50
Oscar Piastri +125 44.44% $12.50
George Russell +250 28.57% $25
Lando Norris +850 10.53% $85
Lewis Hamilton +4400 2.22% $440
Kimi Antonelli +5000 1.96% $500
Charles Leclerc +5500 1.79% $550
Fernando Alonso +10000 0.99% $1,000
Alex Albon +19000 0.52% $1,900
Isack Hadjar +42000 0.24% $420
Yuki Tsunoda +50000 0.20% $5,000
Carlos Sainz +50000 0.20% $5,000
Yuki Tsunoda +50000 0.20% $5,000
Pierre Gasly +50000 0.20% $5,000
Liam Lawson +50000 0.20% $5,000
Oilver Bearman +50000 0.20% $5,000
Lance Stroll +50000 0.20% $5,000
Franco Colapinto +50000 0.20% $5,000
Esteban Ocon +50000 0.20% $5,000
Nico Hulkenberg +50000 0.20% $5,000
Gabriel Bortoleto +50000 0.20% $5,000

πŸ“ˆ Canadian Grand Prix odds movement 

Updated as of Sunday, June 15

  • Verstappen's odds shortened from +490 to +155 after finishing second in qualifying
  • Piastri's odds lengthened from +125 to +175 after finishing third in qualifying
  • Russell's odds shortened from +1600 to +250 after taking pole position
  • Norris' odds lengthened from +160 to +850 after finishing seventh in qualifying
  • Hamilton's odds lengthened from +1600 to +4400 despite finishing fifth in qualifying

πŸ’° Canadian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win

Editor's note: Picks were made on Monday, June 9. Check above table for updated odds. 

Here are my best Canadian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal. Picks based on odds Monday from our best sports betting apps

πŸ† Pick to win Canadian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ⭐⭐⭐⭐

πŸ‘‰ Best odds: +150 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 40%

There's a solid argument to back Norris on Sunday in Montreal as he finished second at the race last year and won at Albertβ€―Park in Melbourne to kick off this season, the circuit that most closely resembles Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.

While Norris is tugging me one way, Piastri is yanking harder and stronger in the opposite direction. The Australian is flying, and I can't see him having any more confidence or momentum than he does at this moment.

Time and again, Piastri has outclassed Norris in head-to-head battles this season, and I don't see that suddenly stopping. 

Norris' only win other than the opening race Down Under came in Monaco, where the average speed is much lower. That doesn't offer enough justification to jump to the Brit. BetMGM offers the longest odds at our best sportsbooks, where a winning $10 bet will profit $15. 

πŸ’Ž Best value bet to win Canadian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐

πŸ‘‰ Best odds: +550 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 15.38%

Like a petulant teen, Verstappen had one of his outbursts at the Spanish Grand Prix, falling out of contention due to a 10-second penalty after hitting George Russell's Mercedes.

However, Verstappen has won three in a row in Montreal and is renowned for his ability to bounce back and overcome a dash of adversity. It's a track he loves, and he'll be out to get rid of the sour taste that still lingers after his unsavory Spanish GP. A winning $10 bet at DraftKings would profit $55. 

Bet $5, Win $300 + $1K Deposit Bonus

Terms and conditions apply.

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

🎯 Best long shot to win Canadian Grand Prix: George Russell ⭐⭐⭐

πŸ‘‰ Best odds: +1800 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 5.26%

After a bitterly disappointing Monaco GP in which he finished 11th, Russell secured fourth place in Spain.

He finished on the podium in four of nine races thus far and is one of two drivers with a chance to win outside of the lead triumvirate of Piastri, Norris, and Verstappen. 

The other is Charles Leclerc, but I'm giving the slight edge to Russell due to his third-place finish in Montreal last year. Leclerc hasn't finished on the podium in Montreal since 2019.

Neither Ferrari nor Mercedes have proven they have enough pace to pip McLaren, but stranger things have happened, especially with Russell consistently forcing himself onto the podium. 

Canadian Grand Prix Predictions: Ile Notre-Dame 2025 Odds, Expert Picks & Long Shots
Pictured: George Russell at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya on June 1, 2025 in Barcelona, Spain. Photo by Hoch Zwei via Imagn Images

πŸ† Past Canadian Grand Prix winners

Here is a look at the last 10 Canadian Grand Prix winners. 

Year Driver Team
2024 πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda RBPT
2023 πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda RBPT
2022 πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda RBPT
2021 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2020 Cancelled  Cancelled
2019 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2018 πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Sebastian Vettel Ferrari
2017 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2016 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2015 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Lewis Hamilton Mercedes

πŸ“ˆ Canadian Grand Prix trends & history

🏎️ Montreal's Ile Notre-Dame has been home to the race since 1978
🏎️ Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton have been in pole position most (6)
🏎️ Schumacher and Hamilton are also tied for the most wins in Montreal (7)
🏎️ Canada's F1 race in 2011 marked the longest ever, with the clock stopping at four hours, four minutes and 39 seconds
🏎️ Verstappen has won three straight at Ile Notre-Dame
🏎️ Only Verstappen, Hamilton, and Fernando Alonso have won from the current grid in Canada 
🏎️ Four drivers have managed to win back-to-back races at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Hamilton, Verstappen, Schumacher, Alan Jones)
🏎️ Schumacher, Hamilton and Verstappen share the record for the most consecutive Montreal wins (3)
🏎️ The longest streak of different winners at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve came between 1989 and 1996
🏎️ Ferrari have the most wins of any team (11)

πŸ“Ί How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix

πŸ“… Race date: Sunday, June 15
πŸ•’ Start time: 2 p.m. ET
πŸ“ Track: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Montreal, Que.)
πŸ“Ί TV: ESPN
πŸ’» Streaming: ESPN+
β˜€οΈ Weather: 70 degrees, 1 mph to 3 mph winds, 30% chance of precipitation

❓ Canadian Grand Prix FAQs

Who is favored to win the Canadian Grand Prix?

Max Verstappen is the favorite to win the Canadian Grand Prix, with +155 odds at FanDuel. Those odds carry a 39.22% implied probability. 

What are the odds for the Canadian Grand Prix?

Max Verstappen (+155), Oscar Piastri (+175), and George Russell (+250) are receiving the shortest odds to win the Canadian Grand Prix at FanDuel.

What time is the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?

The Canadian Grand Prix starts at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 15. 

How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix

You can watch the Canadian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.

Who has won the most Canadian Grand Prix races?

Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton are tied for the most wins in Montreal (7). 

🏎️ Here are our best F1 betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.