Canadian Grand Prix Predictions, Odds Today: Canadian GP F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot

Last updated: June 15, 2025 11:00 AM EDT β’ 5 min read X Social Google News Link

George Russell took pole position for the second straight year at the Canadian Grand Prix and is positioned perfectly to win his first race of the season.
However, he started first on the grid last year, too, but ended the race in third, with Max Verstappen winning his third straight at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Our Canadian Grand Prix picks and odds feature those two drivers and F1 Championship odds favorite Oscar Piastri, who finished third in qualifying.
Verstappen is the favorite to win across our best F1 betting sites for today's race, which starts at (2 p.m. ET, ESPN) from Montreal.
π₯2025 Canadian Grand Prix odds & favoritesπ₯
Canadian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Sunday, June 15
Driver | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
---|---|---|---|
Max Verstappen | +155 | 39.22% | $15.50 |
Oscar Piastri | +125 | 44.44% | $12.50 |
George Russell | +250 | 28.57% | $25 |
Lando Norris | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
Lewis Hamilton | +4400 | 2.22% | $440 |
Kimi Antonelli | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
Charles Leclerc | +5500 | 1.79% | $550 |
Fernando Alonso | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Alex Albon | +19000 | 0.52% | $1,900 |
Isack Hadjar | +42000 | 0.24% | $420 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Carlos Sainz | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Pierre Gasly | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Liam Lawson | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Oilver Bearman | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Franco Colapinto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
π Canadian Grand Prix odds movement
Updated as of Sunday, June 15
- Verstappen's odds shortened from +490 to +155 after finishing second in qualifying
- Piastri's odds lengthened from +125 to +175 after finishing third in qualifying
- Russell's odds shortened from +1600 to +250 after taking pole position
- Norris' odds lengthened from +160 to +850 after finishing seventh in qualifying
- Hamilton's odds lengthened from +1600 to +4400 despite finishing fifth in qualifying
π° Canadian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Editor's note: Picks were made on Monday, June 9. Check above table for updated odds.
Here are my best Canadian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal. Picks based on odds Monday from our best sports betting apps.
π Pick to win Canadian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ββββ
π Best odds: +150 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 40%
There's a solid argument to back Norris on Sunday in Montreal as he finished second at the race last year and won at Albertβ―Park in Melbourne to kick off this season, the circuit that most closely resembles Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.
While Norris is tugging me one way, Piastri is yanking harder and stronger in the opposite direction. The Australian is flying, and I can't see him having any more confidence or momentum than he does at this moment.
Time and again, Piastri has outclassed Norris in head-to-head battles this season, and I don't see that suddenly stopping.
Norris' only win other than the opening race Down Under came in Monaco, where the average speed is much lower. That doesn't offer enough justification to jump to the Brit. BetMGM offers the longest odds at our best sportsbooks, where a winning $10 bet will profit $15.
π Best value bet to win Canadian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ββββ
π Best odds: +550 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 15.38%
Like a petulant teen, Verstappen had one of his outbursts at the Spanish Grand Prix, falling out of contention due to a 10-second penalty after hitting George Russell's Mercedes.
However, Verstappen has won three in a row in Montreal and is renowned for his ability to bounce back and overcome a dash of adversity. It's a track he loves, and he'll be out to get rid of the sour taste that still lingers after his unsavory Spanish GP. A winning $10 bet at DraftKings would profit $55.
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π― Best long shot to win Canadian Grand Prix: George Russell βββ
π Best odds: +1800 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 5.26%
After a bitterly disappointing Monaco GP in which he finished 11th, Russell secured fourth place in Spain.
He finished on the podium in four of nine races thus far and is one of two drivers with a chance to win outside of the lead triumvirate of Piastri, Norris, and Verstappen.
The other is Charles Leclerc, but I'm giving the slight edge to Russell due to his third-place finish in Montreal last year. Leclerc hasn't finished on the podium in Montreal since 2019.
Neither Ferrari nor Mercedes have proven they have enough pace to pip McLaren, but stranger things have happened, especially with Russell consistently forcing himself onto the podium.

π Past Canadian Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Canadian Grand Prix winners.
Year | Driver | Team |
---|---|---|
2024 | π³π± Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
2023 | π³π± Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
2022 | π³π± Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
2021 | π¬π§ Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
2020 | Cancelled | Cancelled |
2019 | π¬π§ Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
2018 | π©πͺ Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
2017 | π¬π§ Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
2016 | π¬π§ Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
2015 | π¬π§ Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
π Canadian Grand Prix trends & history
ποΈ Montreal's Ile Notre-Dame has been home to the race since 1978
ποΈ Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton have been in pole position most (6)
ποΈ Schumacher and Hamilton are also tied for the most wins in Montreal (7)
ποΈ Canada's F1 race in 2011 marked the longest ever, with the clock stopping at four hours, four minutes and 39 seconds
ποΈ Verstappen has won three straight at Ile Notre-Dame
ποΈ Only Verstappen, Hamilton, and Fernando Alonso have won from the current grid in Canada
ποΈ Four drivers have managed to win back-to-back races at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Hamilton, Verstappen, Schumacher, Alan Jones)
ποΈ Schumacher, Hamilton and Verstappen share the record for the most consecutive Montreal wins (3)
ποΈ The longest streak of different winners at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve came between 1989 and 1996
ποΈ Ferrari have the most wins of any team (11)
πΊ How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix
π
Race date: Sunday, June 15
π Start time: 2 p.m. ET
π Track: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Montreal, Que.)
πΊ TV: ESPN
π» Streaming: ESPN+
βοΈ Weather: 70 degrees, 1 mph to 3 mph winds, 30% chance of precipitation
β Canadian Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Canadian Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen is the favorite to win the Canadian Grand Prix, with +155 odds at FanDuel. Those odds carry a 39.22% implied probability.
What are the odds for the Canadian Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen (+155), Oscar Piastri (+175), and George Russell (+250) are receiving the shortest odds to win the Canadian Grand Prix at FanDuel.
What time is the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
The Canadian Grand Prix starts at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 15.
How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix
You can watch the Canadian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Canadian Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton are tied for the most wins in Montreal (7).
ποΈ Here are our best F1 betting sites:
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Gary Pearson X social