Lions vs. Alouettes Prediction, Odds & CFL Best Bets Today: July 5

With Nathan Rourke set to return, can the Lions get back on track against an Alouettes team down Davis Alexander?

Rob Paul

Last Updated: July 5, 2025 4:03 PM EDT • 4 minute read

BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke looks to pass, and he'll factor heavily into our Lions vs. Alouettes prediction. Photo by Anne-Marie Sorvin / Imagn.

Nathan Rourke comes back tonight for the BC Lions, and his return is massive ahead of the team's clash with the Montreal Alouettes. But our Lions vs. Alouettes prediction believes the road team can rise up at Percival Memorial Stadium in Montreal at 7 p.m. ET (TSN/RDS, CTV, CBSSN), despite Montreal leading the Grey Cup odds.

🔮 Lions vs. Alouettes expert picks & predictions

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✅ Moneyline pick: Lions (+140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Lions +2.5 (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 49 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Lions vs. Alouettes tonight?

✅ Moneyline pick: Lions will win (+140 via DraftKings)

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With CFL Most Outstanding Player odds favorite Davis Alexander still out for Montreal, the Als could be in rough shape after putting up just 17 points last week against the lowly Hamilton Tiger-Cats defense. While McLeod Bethel-Thompson is an experienced backup, the offense looked discombobulated without its star. To make matters worse, Austin Mack is out for the Als, too.

Meanwhile, the Lions get Rourke back, and he'll have his whole arsenal of playmakers with both Keon Hatcher and Stanley Berryhill III set to play alongside Justin McInnis and Jevon Cottoy. I've got BC taking this 27-24.

💰 Lions vs. Alouettes prediction & CFL best bet

🦁 Lions +2.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -105 via DraftKings ($10 pays $9.52)

Although the Lions are in good shape to pull off the upset win, the -105 odds for them to cover as underdogs are the safer play given the uncertainty around how Rourke will look after missing the last two weeks with a core injury. With that said, the 2022 Most Outstanding Canadian was an unstoppable force in the season opener when he threw for 324 yards and three touchdowns.

If Rourke can even play half as well as he did Week 1, with his top-notch wide receiver corps, that should be enough for the Lions. The Alouettes scored only seven points in the first three quarters last week against the Tiger-Cats with Bethel-Thompson at QB, who was just 24-for-41 with two interceptions in the game.

The Lions defense isn't elite, but it's certainly better than Hamilton's this season. BC is allowing the second-fewest yards per game (324.2) and has only played legitimate contenders through three games - the Winnipeg Blue Bombers twice and the Saskatchewan Roughriders. This game should come down to which QB is more efficient, and I'm taking Rourke in his return.

👀 Star player prop to watch

🪽 Tyson Philpot Over 5.5 receptions ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +100 via DraftKings ($10 pays $10)

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There are a couple of different wide receiver player props to consider for this matchup, but with the return of Rourke, it's hard to gauge which of his star receivers he'll favor between Hatcher and McInnis. Instead, the even-money odds on Tyson Philpot's receptions stand out as the best value play.

The Canadian leads the CFL in receptions (21) and if Montreal hopes to bounce back this week without Alexander, McLeod Bethel-Thompson will need to look Philpot's way early and often. Don't count out Jason Maas scheming a few receptions Philpot's way either.

Given that both Hatcher and McInnis' odds to go Over 4.5 receptions are listed at -155, I much prefer backing Philpot. However, I would avoid taking the Over on Philpot with odds any shorter than -105.

🏈 Lions vs. Alouettes odds tonight

Live updated CFL odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada.

📈 Lions vs. Alouettes betting insights

Here are some betting insights in the hours before kickoff from BetMGM.

The spread opened at -5.5 in favor of Montreal, and it's now shifted all the way down to -2.5
Similarly, the Als moved from -225 on the moneyline to -150 now
A whopping 72% of the action is going toward the Alouettes on the spread

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Written by:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.