Australian GP Odds & Lewis Hamilton Predictions: Hamilton Makes Ferrari Debut Down Under
There were more headlines during the F1 offseason than if Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie rekindled their once fiery love affair. Speaking of fiery, Lewis Hamilton's move from Ferrari was hotter than Scuderia's team colors.
Unfortunately, for Ferrari and the seven-time world champion, Hamilton's first qualifier didn't go as planned as he finished eighth leading into Sunday's race at Albert Park Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne (midnight ET, ESPN).
As a result, the Australian Grand Prix odds for Lewis Hamilton to win Down Under dipped significantly, but there are still some intriguing Hamilton bets for his first race with Ferrari.
🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton Australian Grand Prix odds & analysis
Hamilton opened with the fifth-shortest Australian Grand Prix odds, but his chances took an uppercut to the jaw at our best sportsbooks after Saturday's qualifiers.
Here are Lewis Hamilton's odds to win the Australian Grand Prix:.
🥇 What are Lewis Hamilton's odds to win the Australian Grand Prix?
Here at the odds for Lewis Hamilton to win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix via our best F1 betting sites.
| Sportsbook | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +1800 | 5.26% |
| BetMGM | +2500 | 3.85% |
| bet365 | +2500 | 3.85% |
| DraftKings | +2800 | 3.45% |
| Caesars | +2800 | 3.45% |
Hamilton's shortest odds at FanDuel imply a 5.26% chance that he'll win his debut race for Ferrari. Those odds would net a $180 profit on a winning $10 bet.
New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $250 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins. (within 72 hours).
💰 Lewis Hamilton best bets & predictions for Australian Grand Prix
Hamilton featured in our Australian Grand Prix predictions and odds and the F1 preseason odds and predictions. While the seven-time world champion has nothing to prove, he feels enlivened by the move to Ferrari. Hamilton is the happiest he's been in years, and that sunny disposition should trickle down to an injection of on-the-circuit confidence.
Plus, he's taken the driver's seat in arguably the second-fastest car going into the season. While it will take some time for him to adapt to life at Ferrari and adjust to the nuances of his new car, I have no doubt Hamilton will be among the F1 Championship odds contenders as the season transpires.
🏆 Lewis Hamilton to win the Daytona 500 (+2800 via Caesars)
If I were you, I wouldn't pull the trigger on this particular bet. I'm certainly not. Hamilton finished eighth in qualifying, and this will be his first race in a new car with a new set of teammates. We don't know how the dynamic with Charles Leclerc will play out, and Hamilton hasn't won in Melbourne since 2015.
Leave this bet well enough alone. If you're keen to take a flier and hope for a flawless Hamilton performance and a few mistakes from the front-runners, a winning $10 bet at Caesars would profit $280.
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🥉 Lewis Hamilton to finish in the top 3 (+230 via FanDuel)
Hamilton's implied probability of snatching a podium finish is 30.30% at FanDuel. It's a much better bet than selecting him to win. Albert Park Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne is renowned for being one of the fastest. That's good news for Hamilton, who is one of the best at pinning it for extended periods. He's also driving one of the fastest cars, which should help bridge the gap.
Interestingly, after qualifying, McLaren team principal Andrea Stella said that he doesn't "really take Ferrari’s performance at face value. They are much closer than the gaps in Q3 would tell."
That bodes well for Hamilton backers, and he's definitely worth a flier at the +230 price.
Will he land on the podium when all is said and done? No, I don't think so. But I believe he'll make up some ground on his eighth spot on the starting grid. Ultimately, he'll fall just short of finishing among the first three.
🔥 Lewis Hamilton to finish in the top 6 (-270 via FanDuel)
I would love this bet if it weren't for the expensive price. A winning $10 wager would profit just $3.70. Lock it in if you're cool with a pittance of profits comparatively. Hamilton should be consistent enough in a lightning-quick car to crack the top six. Hopefully, the expected rain doesn't wreak havoc, which it shouldn't considering only 5 millimeters is projected.
🔮 Our best Lewis Hamilton prop bet for Australian Grand Prix
🏎️ Lewis Hamilton fastest lap (+950 via FanDuel)
I expect it to take more than one race for Hamilton to be racing at his best with Ferrari. However, he loves his new car and is fomenting a stronger bond as he becomes more familiar with its handling and capabilities. I wouldn't be surprised to see Hamilton snatch a consolation prize, making a splash by securing the fastest lap.
Hamilton won the fastest lap twice last season (Canada, Monaco), both of which occurred in the first half. This could be the mark he leaves Down Under, and I'm willing to place a long-shot wager on it. A winning $10 bet at FanDuel would profit $95, with his +950 odds implying a 9.52% probability.
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📊 Lewis Hamilton Australian Grand Prix history, stats
- Lewis Hamilton has raced in the Australian Grand Prix 16 times
- He secured pole eight times (2008, 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019)
- He has two wins Down Under (2008, 20015)
- He finished on the podium in 10 of 16 races (1st: 2008, 2015; 2nd: 2011, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2023; 3rd: 2007, 2012)
- He finished among the points in 13 races
💰Australian Grand Prix odds & expert picks
- Lewis Hamilton odds
- Australian Grand Prix odds, predictions
- F1 preseason odds, predictions
- Australian Grand Prix AI predictions
📺 How to watch the Australian Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, March 16
🕒 Start time: Midnight ET
📍 Track: Albert Park Grand Prix Circuit (Melbourne, Australia)
📺 TV: ESPN | Streaming: ESPN+
🏎️ Here are our best F1 betting sites:
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- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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