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Mercedes driver George Russell races during the qualifying session of the Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve as we look at our British Grand Prix predictions.
Mercedes driver George Russell races during the qualifying session of the Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Photo by David Kirouac/USA TODAY Sports.

Despite uncharacteristically slow practice sessions on Friday and a slight stumble in qualifying, Max Verstappen - who sits imperiously atop the F1 Championship odds - is again the formidable favorite as we attempt to emulate his recent success with our British Grand Prix predictions. 

Don't let his sluggish buildup to the race fool you. The defending British GP champion has won seven of 11 races this season and is expected to pop another bottle of bubbly on Sunday. He'll start fourth during the race after an all-British top three during qualifying at their home race, with George Russell taking the pole, Lewis Hamilton in second, and Lando Norris third.

Verstappen remains the narrow betting favorite despite behind being those three, though some of our best sportsbooks are leaning toward Norris. Russell lurks just below in third by the odds, too.

Sunday's British Grand Prix kicks into high gear from the storied Silverstone circuit at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN 2). 

British Grand Prix picks

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British Grand Prix odds 2024

(Odds via our best F1 betting sites as of Sunday at 8:30 a.m. ET. | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

DriverDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Max Verstappen+185+200 +175 ❄️+200+200
Lando Norris+185 +210+175 ❄️+225 🔥+200
George Russell+370 +340 +375 🔥+300 ❄️+333
Lewis Hamilton+370 ❄️+440 +450 🔥+400+400
Oscar Piastri+2500+2300 +2500+2500+2000 ❄️
Carlos Sainz+6500 +7500+6600+8000 🔥+5000 ❄️
Charles Leclerc+13000 🔥+10000+8000 ❄️+12500+10000 
Nico Hulkenberg+15000 +14000 +8000 ❄️+20000 🔥+15000

British Grand Prix predictions

Favorite: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐

Besides a forgettable and anomalous effort in Austria, where he finished 20th, Norris has been knock, knock, knocking on the winner's door. Norris finished second four times in six races before the Austrian Grand Prix. He did one better by winning the Miami Grand Prix, his only victory of the 2024 season thus far. 

Norris hails from Bristol, so you can only imagine his motivation to win on home soil. As if he needs any added fuel, the McLaren driver finished second behind Verstappen last year at Silverstone. 

The +200 odds on Norris from bet365 will pay a profit of $30 if he finds a way to win. 

Best odds: +200 via bet365 | Implied probability: 33.33%

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Long shot: Lewis Hamilton ⭐⭐⭐⭐

At one point, I thought they'd change the race track's name from Silverstone to the Hamilton. The Mercedes driver has won a record eight races at Silverstone, the last in 2021. Does the Brit have one more magical race left in him on his home track? 

If there's one race in 2024 where he can take the checkered flag, it's this one. He finished third in the previous two races at Silverstone and has been excellent recently - finishing fourth, third, and fourth in the last three.

At +450, you'll profit $55 on a $10 bet if he pulls off the improbable yet feasible feat. 

Best odds: +450 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 18.18%

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Prop: Max Verstappen fastest lap ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Verstappen has to win something, right? The runaway championship points leader had the fastest lap in two races thus far in 2024, tied with Fernando Alonso and Hamilton. The Dutchman had the fastest lap in Japan and Bahrain and has the speed and technique to take fastest-lap honors for the third time.

He also had the fastest lap last year en route to his first British Grand Prix title. Hopefully, he doesn't put a string of those together, or our Norris prediction might fall by the wayside. FanDuel's +220 odds will pay a profit of $32 on a winning $10 bet. 

Best odds: +220 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 31.25%

Past British Grand Prix winners

YearDriverTeam
2023Max VerstappenRed Bull 
2022Carlos SainzFerrari
2021Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2020Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2019Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2018Sebastian VettelFerrari
2017Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2016Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2015Lewis HamiltonMercedes
2014Lewis HamiltonMercedes

British Grand Prix info

  • Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024
  • Time: 9 a.m. ET
  • Location: Silverstone Circuit (Silverstone, Great Britain)
  • How to watch: ESPN 2, ESPN+
  • Defending winner: Max Verstappen
  • Favorite: Max Verstappen (-125 via DraftKings)

British Grand Prix picks made Friday at 4 p.m. ET.

Here are our best F1 betting sites:

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