Lewis Hamilton British Grand Prix Predictions: Can 7-Time Champ Tame Silverstone with Ferrari?

Lewis Hamilton has a long history of dominance at Silverstone, and now he's trying to bring that to Ferrari.
Pictured Ferrari driver Lewis Hamilton talks to reporters. Photo by Sam Navarro / Imagn.

The newest and highly sought-after Ferrari driver has been struggling at times while adapting to his new team, but our Lewis Hamilton British Grand Prix predictions lean toward a return to form at a track where he's long been a force.

Hamilton, the all-time leader in wins at Silverstone after sitting atop the podium nine times, will look to be near the front of the grid after qualifying, which takes place Saturday at 10 a.m. ET. Our British Grand Prix predictions and odds list him as a long shot to win the race, which begins Sunday at 10 a.m. ET.

🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton British Grand Prix odds & analysis

Hamilton is commonly listed as a mid-tier long shot among our best sports betting sites to win again at Silverstone. He sits in the +1600 to +2000 range, and just ahead of a steep dropoff in the odds that features Kimi Antonelli of Mercedes listed at +6600 after him.

Here are Lewis Hamilton's odds to win the British Grand Prix.

(all odds are from prior to the practice sessions and qualifying)

🥇 What are Lewis Hamilton's odds to win the British Grand Prix?

Here at the odds for Lewis Hamilton to win the 2025 British Grand Prix via our best F1 betting sites.

Sportsbook Odds Implied probability
FanDuel +2000 4.76%
BetMGM +1600 4.88%
bet365 +1800 5.26%
DraftKings +1800 5.26%
Caesars +2000 4.76%

Hamilton's longest odds at FanDuel and Caesars imply a 4.76% chance that he'll carry his Silverstone steamrolling over to Ferrari. Those odds would lead to a $200 profit on a winning $10 bet. 

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💰 Lewis Hamilton best bets & predictions for the British Grand Prix

Hamilton's form has been inconsistent as both the legend and his team find their footing in the early stages of a new relationship.

His first two races were disastrous, with Hamilton finishing just inside the points in 10th at Australia and then being disqualified in China. He hasn't sat on the podium yet for Ferrari, but he's been close while recording four top-five results.

Let's explore some of the top markets for Hamilton this weekend, and our best bet.

🏆 Lewis Hamilton to win the British Grand Prix (+2000 via Caesars)

A significant source of Hamilton's success at Silverstone is his well-established skill in the wet weather. He's long thrived in the rain-soaked environment often present in the Northamptonshire area, which we saw last year when he surged while others faltered amid the tough conditions en route to a win.

The chaos of a wet race and Hamilton's ability to thrive in it is his best hope to triumph as a long shot. There is rain in the forecast, though only a slight drizzle is set to fall right around when the lights go out and then stop shortly thereafter.

Hamilton's history at Silverstone alone warrants a small sprinkle here, but it's tough to feel confident unless the weather truly intervenes. Currently, just 0.2 millimeters of rain is forecasted.

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🥉 George Russell to finish on the podium and Hamilton to finish in the top 6 (+240 via FanDuel)

This combo prop that FanDuel is offering will likely be your best shot to include Hamilton in a podium finish, with his former teammate and fellow Brit contributing.

Though consistency is eluding him overall, Hamilton has shown progress recently while recording a top-six finish in five straight races. That includes narrowly missing the podium with his fourth-place result this past weekend in Austria.

Meanwhile, Russell sits fourth in the drivers' standings and only nine points back of Verstappen. He's sat on the podium five times this season, and Russell is just one race removed from winning the Canadian Grand Prix as the pole-sitter.

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🔥 Lewis Hamilton to finish in the top 6 (-240 via FanDuel)

There's still value in the -240 FanDuel is offering to just roll with Hamilton in the top six, making it the safest bet here - even if it may not be the most alluring.

Hamilton is about to run in his 20th British Grand Prix, and he's missed out on a top-six finish just twice. Combine that with his gradually improving form as the veteran's first season with Ferrari progresses, and the likelihood of him ending up in the top six is more in line with the -303 odds at BetMGM, which imply a 75% chance.

DraftKings and Bet365 also rest at -275, still notably above the implied chance of 70.59% at FanDuel.

🔮 Our best Lewis Hamilton prop bet for the British Grand Prix

🏎️ Lewis Hamilton to finish top 4 (+150 via DraftKings)

Yes, Hamilton has taken up residence on the podium at Silverstone while missing out on a top-three finish a mere four times across 19 tries.

His success transcends teams, too, as he logged one win and three podiums with McLaren prior to Hamilton's legendary run with Mercedes that included his other eight British Grand Prix wins. His worst finish in this race with Mercedes was fourth, and he hasn't missed the podium since 2013.

Lewis Hamilton British Grand Prix predictions
Pictured Ferrari driver Lewis Hamilton during F1 Miami Grand Prix Sprint Race Qualifying at Miami International Autodrome. Photo by Peter Casey / Imagn.

But the problem with the podium right now is a simple one rooted in math, or geometry. There are only three spots, and unlike the era of Hamilton's repeated championships with Mercedes or Verstappen after him, the current beast taking control of F1 is two-headed.

Both McLaren drivers sit atop the drivers' standings, with Lando Norris just 15 points behind Oscar Piastri following his victory in Austria. Norris and Piastri have finished on the podium together eight times over 11 races, narrowing the chances of Hamilton joining them.

The mammoth McLaren obstacle is a tough hurdle to overcome, even with Hamilton's Silverstone brilliance. Thankfully, DraftKings offers a top-four finish market.

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📊 Lewis Hamilton British Grand Prix history, stats

  • Lewis Hamilton has logged 19 appearances in the British Grand Prix while winning nine times, the most ever
  • He's snatched the pole position seven times (2007, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2020)
  • His average starting position is 4.05, and he won the race last year after qualifying second
  • The last British Grand Prix in which he didn't finish on the podium was way back in 2013, and he's only missed a top-three finish four times

💰 British Grand Prix expert picks

📺 How to watch the British Grand Prix

📅 Race date: Sunday, June 6
🕒 Start time: 10 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Silverstone Circuit (Northamptonshire, UK)
📺 TV: ESPN | Streaming: ESPN+

💵 Best F1 betting sites

Want to bet on the British Grand Prix? Check out the best sports betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the race this weekend:  

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.