Fever vs. Lynx Prediction, Expert Picks & WNBA Odds: Minnesota on Upset Alert at Home

Through the first two months of the season, the Minnesota Lynx (16-7) looked like arguably the best team in the WNBA. They've stumbled of late ahead of Sunday's home tilt against the Indiana Fever (10-14), which tips off at 4 p.m. ET from Target Center in Minneapolis as we offer our Fever vs. Lynx prediction.
The Lynx are 3-point favorites to beat the Fever across our best sports betting sites, which also have Minnesota dealing among the favorites by the latest WNBA championship odds. But they haven't looked like the same team over the last two weeks as the one that opened 13-3 with a Commissioner's Cup trophy.
Fever vs. Lynx expert picks
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best sports betting sites.
- Fever +3.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caitlin Clark Over 8.5 assists (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caitlin Clark 13+ assists (+450 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Fever vs. Lynx prediction for Sunday
Fever +3.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Just how good are the Lynx when they aren't at full strength? That's the question hanging over Minnesota after Friday's 28-point loss to the Seattle Storm - the team's third loss in five games this month, with the last three contests coming without Napheesa Collier (foot).
That's a serious blow for this team given that Collier has played like a legitimate MVP candidate for much of the season. Conversely, Indiana rookie Caitlin Clark has elevated her play of late to lead the Fever to a 7-4 record over their last 11 games after Friday's 95-86 win over the Phoenix Mercury.
With Collier seeming unlikely to play Sunday, this line is dropping fast with two of our best sportsbooks offering the Fever at +2.5.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
Caitlin Clark player props vs. Lynx
Caitlin Clark Over 8.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If you've been following our Fever picks recently, this bet will look awfully familiar to you. And we're going back to the well for Sunday's game, too.
Clark has been a maestro with the basketball over her last seven starts, averaging 11.7 assists with exactly 13 dimes in four of them. That includes three straight games with a baker's dozen following Friday's win over the Mercury, when she had seven assists in the first quarter alone.
The No. 1 pick is evolving before our very eyes, and our best live betting sites are slow to keep up. These -130 odds only return a $7.69 profit on a $10 wager, but this is a low enough total that it's worth the wager, anyway.
Best odds: -130 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 56.52%
Caitlin Clark 13+ assists ⭐⭐⭐
Allow me a moment for a brief victory lap after we gave out this exact bet at +350 odds before Friday's game. Now we're catching it at an even juicier +450 via bet365? Sign me up.
I'm fully aware that Clark won't keep hitting her career high in assists on a nightly basis. But this feels like malpractice to offer this bet at such long odds after she's hit it on the nose in three consecutive starts, having played all but five minutes combined in those contests.
Clearly, Fever coach Christie Sides is trusting her rookie to take control of the offense, and Clark has responded with the best stretch of her pro career. With this bet paying $45 in profit on a $10 wager, why not take another shot?
Best odds: +450 via bet365 | Implied probability: 18.18%
Fever vs. Lynx odds
DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | bet365 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lynx | -3 (-112) | -2.5 (-112) | -3.5 (-110) | -3 (-110) |
Fever | +3 (-108) | +2.5 (-108) | +3.5 (-110) | +3 (-110) |
Fever vs. Lynx game info
- When: Sunday, July 14
- Tip-off: 4 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Lynx -3 (-110 via bet365)
Fever-Lynx predictions made Saturday at 7:10 p.m. ET.
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