Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon Final Expert Picks

Last Updated: July 11, 2025 8:27 AM EDT โข 4 minute read X Social Google News Link

One of the finalists will win their first Wimbledon title as we offer our Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction, odds and best bet.
Swiatek has played a near-flawless tournament, dropping just one set en route to her first Wimbledon final. Anisimova, meanwhile, upended world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and has fought heroically, overcoming a trifecta of three-set scares.
We expect the American underdog to put up a stronger fight than our best sports betting sites anticipate, while identifying an enticing prop that aligns with the narrative.
๐พ Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction & best bet
๐ Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best Wimbledon odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
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Pick to win: Swiatek 2-1 (+300 via BetMGM) โญโญโญ
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Best prop bet: Over 20.5 games (-134 via FanDuel) โญโญโญโญ
Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets โคต๏ธ
๐ Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova odds: Wimbledon 2025
Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.
Player | Odds to win | Probability |
---|---|---|
Iga Swiatek | -225 | 69.23% |
Amanda Anisimova | +190 | 34.48% |
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๐ Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova expert pick to win

โ Swiatek 2-1 โญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +300 via BetMGM ($10 to win 30)
๐ข Implied probability: 25%
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Swiatek's adjustment to the Wimbledon greens has been remarkable. If she wins Saturday's final, it will mark a transcendent moment in her career.
The Polish 24-year-old finished second at the Bad Homburg Open in the lead-up to Wimbledon, making her first final at a grass-court event since she turned pro.
The loss to Jessica Pegula was her first in 10 matches on grass in 2025. It's easily her best season on a surface that used to cause equal measures of frustration and disillusionment.
Swiatek has rolled through her sixth Wimbledon, swatting aside everyone in straight sets except Catherine McNally.

Finally, she has reached five Grand Slam finals, winning all of them. If she wins her sixth, she'll share rarified air with Margaret Court and Monica Seles as the only three women in the Open Era to win their first six Grand Slam finals.
๐พ Why back Swiatek in 3 sets?
There isn't enough value in backing Swiatek on the moneyline, so I'm opting for a three-set victory. Our best sports betting apps expect a straight-sets win, with the probability ranging from 47.62% to 51.22%.
However, Anisimova has proven herself a formidable adversary throughout the tournament, especially in the semifinals against the world No. 1. I can't see her getting swept aside so easily after all of that.
BetMGM offers the best value (+300), which is markedly better than DraftKings' +250, offering the least value.
๐ฐ Best Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova prop bet
โ Over 20.5 games โญโญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: -134 via FanDuel ($10 to win $7.46)
๐ข Implied probability: 57.26%
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Anisimova scrapped and clawed her way through the tournament, requiring a third set in three of six matches.
While she's definitely battle-tested, the 13th-seeded underdog must also be feeling the compounding effects of wear and tear and fatigue, especially since it's the first time she has advanced past the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam in six years.
That said, she is one of the most powerful and accurate baseline players in the women's game when she's on, which has been the case for much of the previous fortnight.
Her lethal cross-court backhand will cause Sabalenka sleepless nights for the foreseeable future, which is why I'm backing a competitive final.
With 20.5 games as the bar, you can hit the Over even if Swiatek wins in straight sets, as long as they're both competitive. Three of Anisimova's previous four matches had at least 21 games, with the fourth ending at 20.
FanDuel's -134 odds are the most palatable, especially compared to BetMGM's -150.
๐บ How to watch Iga Swiatek vs. Amanda Anisimova: Wimbledon 2025
๐ Date: Saturday, July 12
๐ Time: 11 a.m. ET
๐๏ธ Location: All England Club (London)
๐ก How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+
๐ต Best tennis betting sites
Want to bet on Wimbledon 2025? Check out the best sportsbook promos for this season's summer major:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Gary Pearson X social