Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon Semifinal 2025 Expert Picks
Our Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic prediction, odds and best bet expect the five-time Grand Slam winner to continue her excellent season on grass in today's semifinal (around 10 a.m. ET, ESPN).
Swiatek has the second-shortest Wimbledon odds and is the favorite across our best sports betting sites entering the match against Bencic, who was outside of the top 1000 WTA rankings when she returned to the tour late last year after giving birth.
Will Bencic's improbable, fairytale-like run continue, or is Swiatek prepared to thwart the Swiss' ultimate goal?
🎾 Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic prediction & best bet
🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best Wimbledon odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
✅ Pick to win: Iga Swiatek 2-0 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Belinda Bencic Under 10.5 games (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 For more semifinals coverage, check out our Aryna Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova prediction.
Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️
📊 Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic odds: Wimbledon Semifinal 2025
Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.
| Player | Odds to win | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | -300 | 75% |
| Belinda Bencic | +240 | 29.41% |
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🏆 Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic expert pick to win
✅ Iga Swiatek 2-0 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
🔢 Implied probability: 52.38%
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Bencic will infiltrate the top 20 in the women's rankings regardless of the result against Swiatek, a remarkable accomplishment considering she gave birth just over a year ago.
While it's been an incredible run, I expect it to end against Swiatek, who has adjusted her game on grass and is having the best season since she won Wimbledon as a junior seven years ago.
She made it to her first final on grass since turning pro last month, losing to Jessica Pegula in the final at the Bad Homburg Open. She's 8-1 on grass this season, losing just one of 19 sets, excluding the straight sets loss to Pegula.
That presents a formidable challenge for Bencic, who had never made it past the fourth round at the All England Club beforehand. DraftKings' -110 odds present the longest odds of our best sports betting apps.
💰 Best Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic prop bet
✅ Belinda Bencic Under 10.5 games ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -125 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8)
🔢 Implied probability: 55.56%
Swiatek has won three of four previous meetings with Bencic, two of which via straight sets.
She's never had this much success with her serve, particularly on grass. In the first set against Liudmila Samsonova, Swiatek won 100% of her first-serve points.
Bencic was unranked entering the tournament and struggled to overcome fellow unseeded players Elsa Jacquemot and Elisabetta Cocciaretto, requiring three sets to do so.
And it's been a demanding 10 days for Bencic, who only rejoined the WTA Tour in January.
I believe the grueling road to the semifinal will be too much for her, particularly as she's facing a rejuvenated Swiatek who has her swagger back.
DraftKings secured the clean sweep, again offering the best value for this prop.
👉 Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic updated betting insights
Updated betting info via BetMGM
- Swiatek opened as the -320 favorite, but her moneyline odds have lengthened slightly since (-300)
- 53% of bets and 63% of the handle is on Swiatek to win
📺 How to watch Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic: Wimbledon 2025
📍 Date: Thursday, July 10
🕘 Time: Approximately 10 a.m. ET
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+
💵 Best tennis betting sites
Want to bet on Wimbledon 2025? Check out the best sportsbook promos for this season's summer major:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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