Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks

Iga Swiatek is on the hunt for her first Wimbledon title as we preview her quarterfinal match against Liudmila Samsonova, offering a pair of picks.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: July 9, 2025 4:00 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Pictured: One of the world's best players never to win Wimbledon in action as we offer our Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images

Our Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction, odds, and best bet found two picks offering excellent value in backing the Polish No. 1.

Swiatek is 9-2 on grass over the last year, showcasing her improvement on what used to be her least comfortable surface. She is the formidable favorite for today's quarterfinal match at our best sports betting sites.

The five-time grand slam winner is receiving the second-shortest Wimbledon odds behind Aryna Sabalenka.

🎾 Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction & best bet

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best Wimbledon odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Pick to win: Iga Swiatek 2-0 (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Liudmila Samsonova Under 10.5 games (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️

📊 Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova odds: Wimbledon 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player	Odds to win	Probability
Iga Swiatek	-295	74.68%
Liudmila Samsonova	+230	30.30%

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🏆 Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova expert pick to win

Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks — Pictured: The Polish No. 1 in action as we offer our Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova Prediction, Odds & Best Bet. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images

✅ Pick to win: Iga Swiatek 2-0 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -115 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8.70)
🔢 Implied probability: 53.49%

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

The odds for Swiatek to win 2-0 suggest our best sports betting apps believe in Samsonova's chances of winning at least a set. Her implied probability of doing so is 54.55%.

I'm not of the same school of thought, though.

Yes, Samsonova, with her powerful game and strong serve, can cause Swiatek some trouble. However, she hasn't done so in their last four meetings, with Swiatek winning each in straight sets.

Samsonova has been excellent at the tournament, not dropping a set in four matches. Then again, the only seeded player she faced is no. 16 Daria Kasatkina, and she hasn't advanced past the fourth round in 20 majors.

I also recommended this bet in our Wimbledon quarterfinals predictions, putting all my eggs in Swiatek's improved grass-game basket.

💰 Best Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova prop bet

✅ Best prop bet: Liudmila Samsonova Under 10.5 games ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -120 via BetMGM ($10 to win $8.33)
🔢 Implied probability: 54.55%

BetMGM and bet365 set the total at 10.5 games, while DraftKings and FanDuel have it at 9.5 games.

The 10.5-game total allows a critical buffer, as Swiatek can win in a tiebreak and still hit the Over so long as it's a straight-sets victory. A 7-6, 6-4 triumph would do the trick.

Based on their recent history, in which Samsonova hasn't won more than two games in the last eight sets, I'm confident backing the Under.

There's also Swiatek's sky-high motivation to consider, as the Wimbledon championship has thus far eluded her. BetMGM offers a marginally better price than bet365 (-125).

📺 How to watch Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova: Wimbledon 2025

📍 Date: Wednesday, July 9
🕘 Time: 8 a.m. ET
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

💡 More Wimbledon predictions

Wimbledon quarterfinals predictions
Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction
Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton prediction
Novak Djokovic vs. Flavio Cobolli prediction

💵 Best tennis betting sites

Want to bet on Wimbledon 2025? Check out the best sportsbook promos for this season's summer major:

FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.