Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Odds, Betting Lines & Prop Bets for Saturday's Fight

It's just a couple more days until Saturday's cruiserweight bout between Jake Paul (11-1) and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (54-6-1), and there's a clear favorite by the latest Paul vs. Chavez odds and betting lines.

Paul opened as a -700 betting favorite across the best boxing betting sites and remains at that price - even with 95% of the betting handle favoring Chavez, the former WBC middleweight champion and son of the greatest Mexican boxer of all time.

So who will win Paul vs. Chavez.? We break down the latest odds, betting lines, and prop bets for Saturday's 10-round fight at the Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif.

📊 Paul vs. Chavez betting odds

Here are the latest Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez betting odds as of Thursday, June 26, courtesy of BetMGM.

Those odds suggest that Paul has an 87.5% implied probability to win the fight, which would extend his career record to 12-1. Meanwhile, Chavez has won two straight unanimous decisions since losing to Anderson Silva in 202,1 but features just a 20% chance to win this fight according to BetMGM.

You can also wager on a draw in the 3-way market at +1600 odds, which slightly lengthens the odds for both Paul (-600) and Chavez (+450).

👀 Latest Paul vs. Chavez betting action

While Paul is the heavy favorite and arguably the most popular boxer in the sport, bettors have flocked to Chavez in the days leading up to this fight.

According to BetMGM, more than 85% of all bet slips and over 95% of the total money wagered in the 3-way market have come on the underdog Chavez, whose odds still haven't moved since opening at +450. That suggests that the books expect money to come in on Paul just before the fight, though we haven't seen that come to fruition as Saturday nears.

Here's what Alex Rella, BetMGM's senior trader, had to say about the betting market for this fight:

"Following up the most bet fight in BetMGM history, Jake Paul looks to take out another former WBC Champion in Julio Cesar Chavez However, Chavez was a champion over a dozen years ago and he lost to Anderson Silva in 2021 who then lost to Jake Paul in 2022. Fight math may not be perfect, but it can help be indicative of the times and why Jake Paul is a -600 favorite."

🆚 Paul vs. Chavez odds: Method of victory

FanDuel has several additional Paul vs. Chavez betting markets for Saturday's bout, including method of victory, round betting and will the fight go the distance?

🔢 Paul vs. Chavez odds: Round-by-round betting

Market states that fight must end in selected round for the wager to be a winner:

What round will the fight end?

What minute will the fight end?

⌛ Paul vs. Chavez odds: Will the fight go the distance?

• Yes: -144 ($10 wins $6.94)
• No: +112 ($10 wins $11.20)

⚡ Paul vs. Chavez odds: To win 60 seconds

• Jake Paul to win in 60 seconds: +13000
• Either to win in 60 seconds: +9000
• Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. to win in 60 seconds: +20000

👊 Paul vs. Chavez odds: Knockdowns

To be knocked down

• Jake Paul: +350
• Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: +116

To be knocked down and win

• Jake Paul: +850
• Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: +4900

Will both fighters be knocked down?

• Yes: +1500

👑 Paul vs. Chavez prop bets

As if there weren't enough ways to bet on this Paul vs. Chavez fight, DraftKings is offering a wealth of prop bets and fight specials for Saturday's cruiserweight bout.

Here are all of the unique Paul vs. Chavez props available to bet now:

🥊 Paul vs. Chavez tale of the tape

Here is a look at how Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. match up ahead of Saturday's cruiserweight bout in Anaheim, Calif.

Paul's controversial start to his professional boxing career includes 11 wins in 12 fights, including seven knockouts and a highly publicized eight-round victory over a 58-year-old Tyson last November in a sanctioned fight in Texas.

Meanwhile, Chavez is the most accomplished fighter that Paul has faced with more than 50 wins and a championship belt on his resume, though he's fought just once in the last 3.5 years and has lost four of his last eight bouts dating back to a 2017 loss to Canelo Alvarez.

📺 Paul vs. Chavez fight info

• When: Saturday, June 28
• Where: Honda Center (Anaheim, Calif.)
• How to watch: DAZN (PPV)
• Favorite: Jake Paul (-700; bet $70 to win $10)

Boxing fans have many more upcoming bouts to look forward to, and we break down the Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios odds for July 19, along with the Oleksandr Usyk vs. Daniel Dubois odds for the same night.

The biggest boxing match of the year is covered in the Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford odds for Sept. 13 in Las Vegas.

🤖 AI prediction & fight analysis

We asked ChatGPT to break down this fight between Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., including profiles for each fighter and a Paul vs. Chavez prediction. While the popular OpenAI chatbot is not a traditional sports betting model, it can often spot trends or insights that bettors may overlook.

🥊 Jake Paul - The Aggressive Promoter

✅ Strengths

• Youth & athleticism: At 28, Paul’s in his physical prime - fast recovery, endurance, and explosive power - especially at cruiserweight where he feels most comfortable.
• Work ethic: Widely praised for his dedicated training. Oscar De La Hoya called him “probably the hardest worker in the game today.”
• Media savvy: His polarizing presence drives attention and pressure - good for mental warfare, drawing fans whether they root for or against him.

❌ Weaknesses

• Limited high-level experience: Many of his wins have come against MMA crossovers or past-their-prime fighters. Critics argue he lacks experience against elite, prime-era opponents.
• Gimmick fighter label: Detractors like Bob Arum dismiss his recent opponents as spectacles, which contributes to doubts about his technique and legitimacy.

🥊 Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. - The Legacy Carrier

✅ Strengths

• Ring craft & experience: A seasoned pro with over 60 fights, including world-title bouts; he knows how to pace himself, use ring IQ, and handle pressure.
• Natural toughness: Known for resilience and ability to dig in - he pushed Canelo to the final bell in 2017 and absorbed punishment in title fights.
• Underdog motivation: With critics calling him “washed up,” he might be motivated to silence doubters and reassert his legacy.

❌ Weaknesses

• Decline in commitment: Chavez has well-documented struggles with training consistency, motivation, and substance issues in past camps.
• Aging & rust: Nearly 40, he’s seen limited activity with only one fight since 2021. His timing and physical sharpness could be off.
• Habit of quitting: Notorious for late-fight retirements (e.g., versus Jacobs) and underperforming in high-stakes matches.
• Inconsistent recent form: Recent footage shows him “missing shots and lacking precision,” fueling concern about his current sharpness.

🔮 Paul vs. Chavez prediction

Jake Paul by mid-to-late decision, possibly via TKO.

• Why will Paul win? Youth, power, reach, and recent consistent performance give Paul a clear edge. Chavez has the skills and pedigree, but his age, lack of recent high-level activity, and motivational concerns are big red flags. Paul’s physical advantages and training discipline should outweigh Chavez’s experience.
• Path to victory: Paul likely controls distance and pace, uses reach to neutralize Chavez, and if unanswered, could secure a late stoppage. If Chavez rallies, Paul’s younger legs and volume punching should tip rounds in his favor.

❓ Paul vs. Chavez FAQs

Who is the favorite for Paul vs. Chavez?

Jake Paul (-700) is the favorite to beat Julio Cesar Chavez (+400). Those odds represent an 87.5% chance that he'll win Saturday's fight.

How many rounds will Paul vs. Chavez be?

Paul vs. Chavez will be fought over 10 rounds of three minutes each.

What's the weight class for Paul vs. Chavez?

Paul vs. Chavez will be fought as a cruiserweight bout.

When is the Paul vs. Chavez fight?

Paul vs. Chavez will take place on Saturday, June 28. The main card will begin at 8 p.m. ET.

Where is the Paul vs. Chavez fight?

Paul vs. Chavez will take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, Calif.

How to watch Paul vs. Chavez fight

Paul vs. Chavez will be streamed live on DAZN pay-per-view ($59.99).

💰 How to bet on boxing

1. Moneyline bets (straight up winner)

The most straightforward bet in boxing is a moneyline bet, which is just picking who you think will win the fight. In this type of bet, the odds will indicate which fighter is the favorite and which one is the underdog. The favorite will have negative odds (like -150), meaning you have to bet more to win a smaller amount, while the underdog will have positive odds (like +200), meaning you can win more relative to your bet if they pull off an upset.

• Example: Let’s say Fighter A is listed at -150, and Fighter B is listed at +200. If you bet $150 on Fighter A and they win, you’d make $100. But if you bet $100 on Fighter B and they win, you’d make $200.

2. Over/Under (total rounds)

Another popular bet is the over/under on the number of rounds in the fight. Oddsmakers will set a line, typically between 7 and 10 rounds, and you’ll bet whether the fight will last more or fewer rounds than that. If you think a fight will end quickly, you’d bet the under, and if you think it’ll be a back-and-forth slugfest, you’d bet the over.

• Example: If the Over/Under is set at 8.5 rounds, and you bet the Over, the fight must last 9 rounds or longer for your bet to win. If it’s stopped before 9 rounds, the Under wins.

3. Method of victory

With this bet, you’re wagering on how the fight will end, not just who will win. There are a few typical outcomes you can bet on: a KO/TKO, decision (the fight goes the distance and is decided by the judges), or a draw.

• Example: You could bet on Fighter A to win by knockout at +300, meaning a $100 bet would win $300 if Fighter A knocks out their opponent. Or, if you think the fight will go the distance and be decided by judges' scorecards, you could bet on Fighter A to win by decision at +150.

4. Round betting

For a more precise bet, you can wager on which round the fight will end in. This bet is a little trickier but can offer a higher payout because you're predicting a more specific outcome. If you’re confident in a fighter's ability to end the fight early or think they’ll tire out and win later, this can be a fun way to bet.

• Example: You could bet that Fighter A wins in round 3 at odds of +800. If the fight ends in round 3, you’ll win your bet and collect the higher payout.

5. Parlay betting

If you’re feeling confident in multiple outcomes, you can combine several boxing bets into a parlay. A parlay lets you bet on multiple fighters, methods of victory, or even fights on the same card. All your selections must win for you to cash in, but the potential payout increases with each additional leg in the parlay.

• Example: You could parlay Fighter A to win with Fighter B to win by knockout. If both bets hit, you’ll get a bigger payout than if you had placed each bet individually.

6. Prop bets

Boxing also offers a variety of prop bets, which are unique and sometimes very specific to the fight. These bets can cover anything from how many punches a fighter will throw to whether the fight will end in a particular round or whether there will be a knockdown.

• Example: A prop bet might be “Will Fighter A score a knockdown in round 2?” at odds of +500. If Fighter A does score a knockdown in that round, you’ll win the bet.

7. Live betting

Once the fight begins, many sportsbooks offer live betting. This allows you to place bets on the fight as it progresses, adjusting your wagers based on what’s happening in real time. For example, if a fighter you bet on is getting knocked around early but you still think they have a chance to turn it around, you can place a bet on them at more favorable odds as the fight unfolds.

💵 Best boxing betting sites

Want to bet on Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.? Here are the best sports betting sites and best sportsbook promos for betting on boxing:

• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
• Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.