Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks

Can Ben Shelton pull off the colossal upset, and how is Jannik Sinner's elbow? We dive into the updated scenario and offer two picks for today's quarterfinal.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: July 9, 2025 5:00 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks — Pictured: The no. 10 seed in action as we offer our Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton Prediction, Odds & Best Bet. Photo by Susan Mullane-Imagn Images via Imagn Images

Everything is not copacetic for the world no. 1 or his ailing elbow as we offer our Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton prediction, odds and best bet for today's quarterfinal (approximately 10 a.m. ET, ESPN).

Sinner hurt his elbow early against Grigor Dimitrov in the Round of 16, and the Italian was off the pace throughout, gaining passage to the quarterfinals solely due to the Bulgarian's pectoral injury.

While the three-time major champion is still the clear favorite to get past Shelton at our best sports betting sites, his Wimbledon odds have taken a hit.

🎾 Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton prediction & best bet

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best Wimbledon odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Pick to win: Ben Shelton (+255 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Ben Shelton Over 18.5 games (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️

📊 Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton odds: Wimbledon 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via FanDuel; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player	Odds to win	Probability
Jannik Sinner	-320	76.19%
Ben Shelton	+255	28.17%

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🏆 Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton expert pick to win

✅ Ben Shelton ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +255 via FanDuel ($10 to win $25.50)
🔢 Implied probability: 28.17%

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Thanks to the concern over Sinner's health, Shelton's odds to win today's quarterfinal have improved from +385 to +255 in the last 24 hours. That's an implied probability shift of 20.62% to 28.17%. My confidence level in Shelton's ability to pull off the upset has increased from two to three stars in that same timeframe.

I cannot stress this point enough: Sinner will most likely advance to the semifinals if his elbow isn't an issue.

However, he missed one training session on Tuesday, with speculation about his injured elbow ramping up. He did hit a few balls for between 20 to 30 minutes in an abbreviated indoor session.

Shelton has lost five straight matches and 12 consecutive sets against Sinner, so it's imperative he gets a leg up somehow. There's a chance Sinner will forfeit the match, but there's as good of a chance that he'll play.

Even the slightest issue, though, will be severely detrimental to the Italian's hopes, as one's elbow is instrumental in every single tennis action, especially as it's impacting his dominant right arm.

💰 Best Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton prop bet

✅ Ben Shelton Over 18.5 games ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -120 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.33)
🔢 Implied probability: 54.55%

While Shelton likes playing Sinner as much as someone with a gluten intolerance enjoys a towering stack of pancakes, the 10th seed is tailor-suited to the lawns of Wimbledon.

He made it to the Round of 16 last year in his second appearance and has a 7-1 record at the All England Club in the previous eight matches.

Shelton won't relent, and Sinner must be healthy to repel his constant barrage of hits. Even if Sinner is at 80% or so, I expect Shelton to win his first set in six matches against the Italian while cashing the Over 18.5 games.

FanDuel offers the longest odds of our best sports betting apps, while DraftKings has set the total at 19.5 games. I'm erring on the side of caution as a hedge, just in case Sinner's elbow is no worse for wear.

📺 How to watch Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton: Wimbledon 2025

📍 Date: Wednesday, July 9
🕘 Time: Approximately 10 a.m. ET
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

💡 More Wimbledon predictions

Wimbledon quarterfinals predictions
Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction
Jannik Sinner vs. Ben Shelton prediction
Novak Djokovic vs. Flavio Cobolli prediction

💵 Best tennis betting sites

Want to bet on Wimbledon 2025? Check out the best sportsbook promos for this season's summer major:

FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.