Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Today's Wimbledon Semifinal 2025 Expert Picks

We preview a semifinal featuring two titans of men's tennis, offering tasty picks for today's semifinal between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: July 11, 2025 6:51 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Prediction, Odds & Best Bet Today: Wimbledon Semifinal 2025 Expert Picks — Pictured: Novak Djokovic, highlighted in our Sinner vs. Djokovic prediction, dances on the court towards his daughter in the player's box. Photo by Geoff Burke via Imagn Images.

We are getting spoiled today with our Wimbledon semifinals, and as we offer our Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic prediction, odds, and best bet, we see so many reasons why.

Djokovic's chances to tie Roger Federer's eight Wimbledon titles are becoming numbered, but world No. 1 Sinner has dominated the Serb in recent meetings.

Sinner has the second-shortest Wimbledon odds behind Carlos Alcaraz, and is also the clear favorite across our best sports betting sites to oust the 24-time major champion. The action is set to get started at roughly 9:50 a.m. ET, following the conclusion of the first semifinal that I covered in my Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz prediction.

🎾 Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic prediction & best bet today

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best Wimbledon odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Pick to win: Jannik Sinner (-210 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Over 38.5 games (-130 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets ⤵️

📊 Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic odds today: Wimbledon Semifinal 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player	Odds to win	Probability
Jannik Sinner	-210	67.74%
Novak Djokovic	+170	37.04%

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🏆 Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic expert pick to win

✅ Jannik Sinner ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -210 via BetMGM ($10 to win $4.76)
🔢 Implied probability: 67.74%

Unless you're Hugh Grant, you won't be able to sleep through this semifinal. To my chagrin, I bet against Sinner in the quarterfinal against Ben Shelton, figuring his injured elbow would derail his chances of winning his first Wimbledon title.

Well, he showed no ill effect from the right elbow, throttling Shelton for a sixth straight time. That leads me to believe he's playing at full capacity, which doesn't bode well for the seven-time Wimbledon champion.

While Sinner hasn't beaten Djokovic on grass yet, having lost the 2023 Wimbledon semifinal and the 2022 quarterfinal, he has dominated Djokovic recently, winning four straight.

Three of those victories came via straight sets. Most recently, Sinner swatted aside Djokovic in three sets in the 2025 French Open semifinal.

Excluding Sinner's bizarre and uncharacteristic performance against Grigor Dimitrov in the Round of 16 - in which he lost the first two sets - the Italian won 10 of the last 11 Grand Slam matches in straight sets.

That's a lot to overcome, even for a player many consider to be the Wimbledon GOAT.

💰 Best Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic prop bet

✅ Over 38.5 games ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -130 via Caesars ($10 to win $7.69)
🔢 Implied probability: 56.52%

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If Djokovic's quest for eight titles ends today, he won't go down without making life uncomfortable for Sinner. While it might be a stretch to expect five sets, Djoker should win at least one.

In addition, each set should be more competitive than the first two when they played in the semifinals at the Australian Open last year, in which Sinner got off to a rampant 6-1, 6-2 start. That match had 38 games over four sets.

The sands of time are well and truly against Djokovic if he's to win his 25th major and eighth at Wimbledon. With that in mind, the Serbian will be highly motivated, throwing everything, including the kitchen sink, at the silky smooth Sinner.

As long as Sinner's elbow holds strong, expect at least 39 games. Among our top sports betting apps, FanDuel, bet365, and BetMGM have a total set at 39.5, offering odds of -118, -120, and -125, respectively.

I've decided to opt for a buffer, taking Caesars' 38.5 games. BetMGM's odds for 38.5 games are -150, representing less value than Caesars' -130.

📺 How to watch Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic today: Wimbledon 2025

📍 Date: Friday, July 11
🕘 Time: 9:50 a.m. ET (or later)
🏟️ Location: All England Club (London)
📡 How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

💵 Best tennis betting sites

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.