Skip to main content
President Joe Biden during the debate as we look at Joe Biden's presidential election odds.
President Joe Biden during the debate at CNN's studios in Atlanta. Photo by: Jack Gruber / USA TODAY NETWORK.

Joe Biden was born a very long time ago. The year was 1941, and now he's set to turn 82 shortly after election day in 2024.

Like us all, Biden can't escape time. He's never attempted to either, and he's been making lighthearted jokes about his age during speeches for a while.

But that hasn't stopped the elderly status of the oldest-ever sitting president from being a significant concern among the electorate, and one now impacting both the Joe Biden odds and his standing in the 2024 U.S. presidential election odds. Those worries became dramatically heightened after Biden's disastrous performance during the first 2024 presidential debate on June 27.

And now the end seems to be upon us.

Biden has taken a dramatic tumble by the odds at our best Ontario sports betting sites amid widespread reports that his departure from the race is imminent. The voices from within the party have kept increasing and getting louder, and now as the Donald Trump odds show a dominating challenger, the Democrats could be on the verge of replacing their candidate.  

The Joe Biden odds at the best political betting sites (outside the U.S.) reflect a presidency that's in peril.  

Joe Biden presidential election odds 2024

(Joe Biden presidential election odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada as of July 19 | πŸ”₯ = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

Candidatebet365CaesarsBetVictor
Donald Trump-200-325 β„️-200
Kamala Harris+350πŸ”₯+250 β„️+333
Joe Biden+1100 β„️+1500 πŸ”₯+1200
Michelle Obama+1600 πŸ”₯+1800+1400 β„️
Gavin Newsom+2200 πŸ”₯+1800 β„️+2000 
Gretchen Whitmer+2500+2000+2500
Robert Kennedy Jr.+6600 πŸ”₯+5000 β„️+6000
JD Vance+8000OFFOFF
Hilary Clinton+10000 πŸ”₯OFF+5000 β„️
Wes Moore+20000 πŸ”₯OFF+6600 β„️

Joe Biden presidential election odds 2024 analysis

The number of Democrats calling for Biden to step aside is difficult to track as it's seemingly rising by the hour. An Associated Press poll showed that nearly two-thirds of party members want him to withdraw.

The fear for the party goes beyond losing the presidency. There's a prevailing concern that any vulnerable Democrats in tight races will be impacted too, leading to an even more resounding victory for Trump in the House and making it easier for him to push his agenda.

That's why leading party members are making what very likely could be the final push to oust Biden, a group that includes Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, and Hakeem Jeffries, according to Axios.

They're seeing what the odds and polls reflect. Biden rebounded briefly in the odds at our  best Ontario sports betting sites, climbing back to +500. But as the energy around Trump surges, he's now fallen all the way to +1500. And a recent YouGov poll showing Trump with a five-point lead over Biden is damning. 

Toss in Biden holding an approval rating of just 38.5%, and it all just seems like far too much to overcome.

That's especially true when accounting for drying donations, and money speaks loudly in American politics.

"Everything is frozen because no one knows what’s going to happen," a source told CNN. "Everyone is in wait-and-see mode."

Reid Hastings, the co-founder of Netflix, called for Biden to step aside too, according to The New York Times. Hastings has given over $20 million to support the President over the past several years.

Hollywood also carries major clout within the party, and Biden was dealt another blow when George Clooney, a lifelong Democrat, penned a New York Times essay titled "I love Joe Biden, but it's time for a new nominee." Clooney has given generously, including helping the campaign reel in $30 million through a Los Angeles fundraiser.

The Michelle Obama odds and the mere presence of the former first lady so high up the oddsboard, and only narrowly behind the president, are still the greatest barometer for the public's view of Biden, but nothing more. Obama has never been involved in the race and has repeatedly said she's not running. Her position is mostly a product of Republican-based rumors that won't fade away.

Joe Biden Democrat presidential nominee odds 2024

(Joe Biden Democratic presidential election odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada as of July 19 | πŸ”₯ = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds)

Candidatebet365
Kamala Harris-138
Joe Biden+225
Michelle Obama+900
Gretchen Whitmer+1400
Gavin Newsom+1400
Hilary Clinton+3300
Josh Shapiro+4000

Joe Biden Democrat presidential nominee odds analysis 2024

Only Biden can make the move here and push the party in another direction.

He barreled through the primary process while knocking off the few weak challengers the president faced. All the Democratic delegates are therefore committed to supporting him during the party's convention that begins on Aug. 19.

But although he briefly recovered and distanced himself from Harris, the incumbent president again sits significantly behind to be the party's nominee. That's a stinging gut punch.

President Joe Biden waves to the crowd after being sworn in during his inauguration and the inauguration of Vice President Kamala Harris at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 20, 2021.
President Joe Biden waves to the crowd after being sworn in during his inauguration and the inauguration of Vice President Kamala Harris at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 20, 2021.

Pressure is mounting on Biden to withdraw, all as attention now shifts to the Democratic National Convention, which begins on Aug. 19.

Nailing any and all public appearances now will be critical for Biden if he somehow wiggles out of this to continue his campaign.

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Joe Biden presidential election odds 2024 FAQ

What are Joe Biden's odds to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?

Joe Biden is getting odds as long as +1500 to win the election, which represents a 6.25% implied probability.

What are Joe Biden's odds to be the 2024 Democratic nominee?

Joe Biden is getting +225 odds to be the 2024 Democratic nominee. His price leads to a 30.77% implied probability.

Who is the favorite for the 2024 U.S. election?

Former president Trump is the favorite to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election at -200. That results in an implied probability of 66.67%.

Who won the last U.S. presidential election?

Joe Biden assumed office as the 46th President of the United States following his victory over incumbent Donald J. Trump in the 2020 election.

When will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

The 2024 United States presidential election is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024.

Where will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

Candidates will campaign across various cities and states leading up to November 2024, culminating in voters casting their ballots at polling booths nationwide to determine the next President of the United States.

How to watch the U.S. presidential election

Every major news outlet will cover the 2024 United States presidential election extensively.

2024 presidential election betting odds pages

Here are our best political betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages