Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds: Junior Welterweight
Our Taylor vs. Serrano prediction takes center stage Saturday night at Madison Square Garden on July 11, 2025 - the fight will be live-streamed on Netflix for all subscribers. Despite winning the first two fights, Katie Taylor enters as the underdog (+140 ML), while Amada Serrano is the favorite (-168) on the updated Taylor vs. Serrano odds and betting lines. Here’s our Taylor vs. Serrano best bets and expert picks for this historic trilogy finale.
📊 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds
Odds via BetMGM as of July 10.
| Fighter | Win Outright | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | Win by Decision | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Taylor | +140 | +1800 | +175 | +1200 |
| Amanda Serrano | -168 | +600 | +100 | +1200 |
I’m not of the mind to get greedy here. You can play the outright bet either way. For Serrano backers who want more value, I’d suggest going with the KO prop for a big score, as I’m less bullish on the prospect of the Puerto Rican somehow dismantling Taylor over 10 rounds.
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🥊 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano prediction & fight preview
✅ Prediction: Katie Taylor to beat Amanda Serrano
📊 Best moneyline odds: +140 via FanDuel ($10 returns $24 total)
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Taylor vs. Serrano 3 is one of the best rivalries boxing has seen in years, and it’s hard to overlook the fact Taylor already holds two close wins. Even as the underdog this time, Taylor’s ability to slip Serrano’s pressure and control the pace makes her a live bet once again, so we'll be tailing her as part of our best Taylor vs. Serrano predictions.
Serrano is the bigger puncher, but that volume hasn’t cracked Taylor’s composure in 20 rounds so far. If anything, Taylor’s footwork and shot selection have consistently swayed judges her way in these tight contests.
Given their history and Taylor’s knack for edging out rounds with sharp counters, grabbing her outright at plus-money feels like a gift.
💰 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano best bet
✅ Best bet: Katie Taylor moneyline (+140 via FanDuel)
📊 Best odds: +140 via FanDuel ($10 to win $14)
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This is a spot where the market feels too tilted. Taylor already owns two victories over Serrano, and now she’s the underdog for the trilogy? That’s tough to pass up. I find the age curve doesn’t hit as hard in women’s combat sports, and it’s not like Serrano is exactly wallowing in the fountain of youth at 36, just three years younger than Taylor at 39.
The history is also hard to ignore: over 861 combined punches in 20 rounds, zero knockdowns, and Taylor’s ring IQ and footwork have consistently made the difference. With her ability to slip out of pressure, manage distance, and edge tight scorecards, grabbing Taylor on the moneyline at plus-money as part of our Taylor vs. Serrano best bets is the sharp play here. I’ll take that all day.
It also comes down to styles. Serrano is the more relentless power puncher, but her volume hasn’t been enough to break Taylor’s composure or overwhelm her defense in two tries. Taylor’s counterpunching still looks razor-sharp, and if she keeps circling and frustrating Serrano early, it’s easy to see the judges rewarding her cleaner work.
🆚 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano tale of the tape
| Katie Taylor | Amanda Serrano | |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Age | 36 |
| 5-foot-5 | Height | 5-foot-5.5 |
| 135 lb | Weight | 135 lb |
| 66" | Reach | 65.5" |
| 24-1 (6 KOs) | Record | 47-3-1 (31 KOs) |
| 2-0 | Head-to-head | 0-2 |
📡 How to watch Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano fight
| 📡 How to Watch | Details |
|---|---|
| 📅 Date | Friday, July 11, 2025 |
| 🕗 Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| 📍 Location | Madison Square Garden, New York City |
| 📺 Streaming | Netflix (included in your subscription) |
❓ Taylor vs. Serrano FAQs
Who is favored to win the Taylor vs. Serrano fight?
Amanda Serrano is the −168 betting favorite, with Taylor the underdog at +140. Draw odds are around +1200.
How do boxing odds work?
Minus odds (like −168) show how much you’d bet to win $100. Plus odds (+140) show what you’d win on a $100 bet. The most common wager is simply who wins outright, though bettors also turn to knockout or decision markets when the odds are tough.
Who will win between Taylor vs. Serrano?
Our expert pick: Katie Taylor to pull off a third win in this trilogy.
💵 Best boxing betting sites
Want to bet on boxing? Check out the best boxing betting sites and best sportsbook promos for this weekend's card:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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