2025 NASCAR AI Picks at Atlanta: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for Quaker State 400 Tonight

Our NASCAR AI predictions came one spot short from picking the outright winner for the second straight week, but we've still cashed in five of the last 12 races as we head to Atlanta for the Quaker State 400 at 7 p.m. ET (TNT) at EchoPark Speedway.

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Atlanta predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for today's 40-car field.

Along with our Quaker State 400 predictions at Atlanta, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🏆 Best bet to win at Atlanta

🏎️ Brad Keselowski

• Racing team: No. 6 RFK Racing
• Starting position: 6th
• Best odds: +1500 via FanDuel ($10 to win $150)

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✅ Why Keselowski wins at Atlanta

1. Superspeedway Savant with Elite Track Record:
Keselowski is one of the most successful active drivers on superspeedways, with six career wins at Talladega and one at Daytona. Atlanta's reconfiguration turned it into a mini-superspeedway, and Keselowski has shined here too — he’s led laps, been in contention late, and consistently found ways to the front in pack racing chaos. This layout rewards his style.

2. RFK Momentum + Strategic Brilliance:
RFK Racing has emerged as a superspeedway powerhouse over the last two seasons. Both Keselowski and Buescher have consistently run up front at these tracks, and their tandem drafting strategy has delivered results. Keselowski himself is one of the best in the garage at calling his own shots late in races, often putting himself in position to steal a win.

3. Quiet but Impressive Summer Surge:
While not flashy, Keselowski has quietly posted solid finishes and shown increased consistency. He’s hungry for his first win since 2021, and Atlanta offers perhaps his best opportunity. He’s starting 6th — close enough to avoid early wrecks, but just far enough back to make a methodical climb.

🔢 AI simulation for Brad Keselowski

• Projected finish: 1st
• Simulated odds to win: 13.8%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

🎯 Best prop bet at Atlanta

🏎️ Ryan Blaney top-3 finish

• Racing team: No. 12 Team Penske Ford
• Starting position: 3rd
• Best odds: +230 via BetMGM ($10 to win $23)

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✅ Why Blaney finishes top-3 at Atlanta

1. One of the Best at Pack Racing:
Blaney is arguably the most complete driver on superspeedways. He’s a three-time Talladega winner, has a Daytona 500 win, and finished 2nd at Atlanta last spring. His ability to hold position, manage runs, and avoid wrecks makes him consistently elite in these chaotic environments.

2. Track Position and Teammate Leverage:
Starting third and surrounded by fellow Team Penske cars (Logano on pole, Cindric in fourth), Blaney will benefit early from controlled drafting and team strategy. Penske often dominates early positioning in superspeedway-style races, and Blaney is usually the closer of the group.

3. Finishing Prowess at Atlanta:
Blaney has finished in the top four in each of his last three races at Atlanta and had a car capable of winning multiple times. He ranks 2nd in average running position at this version of the track and has led laps in every start since the reconfiguration between the 2021 and 2022 seasons.

🔢 AI simulation for Ryan Blaney

• Projected finish: 2nd
• Simulated odds to win: 39.7%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

🚀 Best long shot at Atlanta

🏎️ Justin Haley

• Racing team: No. 7 Spire Motorsports Chevrolet
• Starting position: 22nd
• Best odds: +9000 via DraftKings ($10 to win $900)

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✅ Why Haley could win at Atlanta

1. Elite Superspeedway Instincts With Minimal Fear:
Haley is widely considered one of the most underappreciated superspeedway racers in the Cup Series. His 2019 Daytona win was no fluke - he has consistently run well at Talladega, Daytona, and now Atlanta since the reconfiguration. He shows remarkable patience early in races and aggressiveness late when it counts.

2. Spire’s Equipment Shines at Atlanta-type Tracks:
Despite being a mid-tier team, Spire Motorsports has optimized their program for pack racing. Haley has outperformed his equipment before in similar settings, and the combination of good straight-line speed and a strong drafting partner (possibly Carson Hocevar) makes him dangerous in the final 20 laps.

3. Track Volatility Plays to his Upside:
This is the most volatile oval track on the schedule outside of Daytona. Twenty or more lead changes are likely, and survival will outweigh raw speed. Haley is known for staying clean, and if this race trends toward chaos - as it often does - he’s the kind of driver who can capitalize and snake a podium finish or better.

🔢 AI simulation for Justin Haley

• Projected finish: 24th
• Simulated odds to win: 1.9%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐ (2 out of 5 stars)

🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted Quaker State 400 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Atlanta

1. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing) 🥇
2. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske) 🥈
3. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske) 🥉
4. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports)
5. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports)
6. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports)
7. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
8. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
9. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
10. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
11. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing)
12. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing)
13. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
14. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
15. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
16. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
17. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
18. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing)
19. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
20. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
21. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing)
22. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
23. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
24. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
25. Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing)
26. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
27. Corey LaJoie (No. 01, Rick Ware Racing)
28. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
29. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
30. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
31. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
32. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
33. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing)
34. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
35. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
36. Connor Zilisch (No. 87, Trackhouse Racing)
37. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
38. David Starr (No. 66, Garage 66)
39. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)
40. B.J. McLeod (No. 78, Live Fast Motorsports)

💰 NASCAR best bets for Quaker State 400 at Atlanta

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the Quaker State 400 at EchoPark Speedway in Atlanta? Check out the best sports betting sites for NASCAR ahead of tonight's race:

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