2025 NASCAR AI Picks at Dover Today: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

We cashed our NASCAR AI predictions last week for the sixth time in the last 14 weeks - a stretch that included three straight runner-up finishes before that win in Sonoma. We'll try to reach Victory Lane again today at 2 p.m. ET (TNT) in the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Dover Motor Speedway.

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Dover predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for today's 37-car field.

Along with our 2025 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 predictions at Dover, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🏆 Best NASCAR bet to win at Dover

🏎️ Denny Hamlin

• Racing team: No. 11 (Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
• Starting position: 13th
• Best odds: +500 via bet365 ($10 to win $50)

✅ Why Denny Hamlin wins at Dover

1. Exceptional Success at Dover ("Monster Mile")
Hamlin has two wins at Dover among 34 career starts, with four top-five and 10 top-10 finishes. His average finish is an impressive 9.0 in recent races. He was also the 2024 Würth 400 winner, leading the most laps (136) last April, showing he knows how to control the race from start to finish.

2. Dominant Form on Concrete Ovals
Dover's surface is concrete, a tire and setup challenge. Hamlin’s recent race performances show he's mastered this. In 2025, he's leading in speed metrics and executing fast restarts at Dover. Combined with a motivated team and aggressive post-win mentality, he's clearly hitting his peak.

3. Strong Overall Season and Statistical Edge
With three wins this season (including Michigan), nine top-fives, and 10 top-10s in 19 starts, Hamlin has among the best season-long resumes. Specifically at Dover, he averages a 8.43 finish over the last seven starts, ranking first in speed and in the upper tier for restarts.

🔢 AI simulation for Denny Hamlin

• Projected finish: 1st
• Simulated odds to win: 23.5%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose*

*Deposit required. Mobile app only. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Claim Now

🎯 Best NASCAR prop bet at Dover

🏎️ Chase Elliott (top-5)

• Racing team: No. 9 (Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
• Starting position: 1st
• Best odds: -115 via Caesars ($10 to win $8.70)

✅ Why Chase Elliott finishes top-5 at Dover

1. Elite Dover Track Record
Elliott has secured 10 top‑5 finishes in 14 Dover starts, including a win in 2022 and multiple strong runs in recent years.

2. Consistent Top-Tier Performance
His recent top‑5 finishes (4 of the last 5 races) and a strong average finish this season highlight his ability to stay competitive across a full weekend.

3. Outstanding Historical Value
Oddsmakers list him at -115 for a top‑5, implying a probability of around 53.49%; compared to his actual ~71% historical rate at this track, this offers serious upside as a value prop.

🔢 AI simulation for Chase Elliott

• Projected finish: 3rd
• Simulated odds for top-5: 68.3%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boosts

New users only. Must use promo code. Min. $10 deposit. Max. bonus is ten 100% Profit Boost tokens. Profit Boost tokens expire in 14 days. Void where prohibited. Full terms.    

Claim Boosts

🚀 Best NASCAR long shot at Dover

🏎️ Chris Buescher

• Racing team: No. 17 (RFK Racing Ford)
• Starting position: 12th
• Best odds: +3000 via BetMGM ($10 to win $300)

✅ Why Chris Buescher can win at Dover

1. Rising Dover Momentum
Buescher has shown a marked improvement at the Monster Mile, posting two top-10s in his last two Dover starts and ranking within the top-10 drivers in recent Dover averages - competing well with bigger names.

2. Strategic Equipment for Tight Tracks
RFK Racing brings a package to Dover that is slick handling and adaptable on concrete. Buescher isn’t fastest driver, but he's consistent, avoids incidents, and typically gains on restarts and in long runs - ideal for the attritional nature of this track.

3. REASON
He’s flying below the attention radar with odds between +2500 to +3000, implying a 3-5% win chance. My model gives Buescher a ~4.2% win probability - solid value for his peak finish range.

🔢 AI simulation for Chris Buescher

• Projected finish: 15th
• Simulated odds to win: 4.2%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐ (2 out of 5 stars)

Up To $1,500 First Bet

Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.

Claim $1,500

🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Dover

1. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing) 🥇
2. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥈
3. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥉
4. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing)
5. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports)
6. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
7. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
8. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing)
9. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
10. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
11. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing)
12. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske)
13. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
14. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
15. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
16. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
17. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
18. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske)
19. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
20. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing)
21. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
22. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
23. Austin Dillon (No. 3 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet)
24. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
25. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
26. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
27. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
28. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
29. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing)
30. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
31. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
32. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
33. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
34. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)
35. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
36. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
37. J.J. Yeley (No. 44, NY Racing Team)

💰 NASCAR AI picks for Dover

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Dover Motor Speedway? Check out the best sports betting sites for NASCAR ahead of today's race:

• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
• Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.