2025 NASCAR AI Picks & Predictions: ChatGPT's Full Projected Order for Pennzoil 400
The NASCAR Cup Series remains in the desert this week with today's race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, and we turned to AI to help us predict the winner and full finishing order for the Pennzoil 400 at 3:30 p.m. (FS1).
We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, and favorite long shot, as well as the results for every driver for today's 36-car field.
Along with our 2025 Pennzoil 400 predictions at Las Vegas, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:
🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions for Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas
We've previously used ChatGPT to predict its March Madness bracket, Super Bowl picks, and even its Canada vs. USA predictions, and we're once again turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot to predict the winner of today's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas.
We trained ChatGPT's latest and most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting this weekend's winner:
🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas
ChatGPT predicts Joey Logano will win the Pennzoil 400. His best odds to win Sunday's race at Las Vegas are +1100 via bet365, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $110 profit with an implied win probability of 8.33%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Logano will win this race for the third time in his career:
✅ Team Penske's dominant package: Team Penske has repeatedly demonstrated strong performance on one-mile ovals like Las Vegas, with exceptional pit strategy, fuel management, and car setups that maximize track position.
✅ Excellent starting position: Qualifying in second gives Logano a prime spot to avoid early incidents and build a lead, while still having a slight cushion behind the pole sitter.
✅ Aggressive and adaptable racecraft: Known for his smart, aggressive driving style, Logano can effectively navigate the evolving race dynamics - such as fuel mileage challenges and late-race restarts - which are crucial for success at Las Vegas.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (15% win probability)
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💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet for Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas
ChatGPT predicts Chase Elliott will finish in the top five as its best NASCAR prop bet for Las Vegas. Elliott's best odds to score a top-5 finish are +240 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into an $24 profit with an implied win probability of 29.41%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Elliott to finish in the top five after qualifying 16th:
✅ Team strength and setup: Despite qualifying 16th, Elliott’s Hendrick Motorsports package is well-known for maximizing race pace on one-mile ovals like Las Vegas, offering him the tools to climb significantly during the race.
✅ Racecraft and aggressiveness: Elliott has a proven ability to navigate restarts and capitalize on late-race opportunities, meaning that with the right strategy he can overcome a less-than-ideal starting position.
✅ Value opportunity: Given his lower starting spot, the market odds for a top-5 finish should be attractive. If he can make up ground, his prop bet would deliver excellent value relative to his historical performance when his team makes the necessary adjustments.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (35% chance of top-5 finish)
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🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot to win Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas
ChatGPT predicts John Hunter Nemechek will win the Pennzoil 400 as its best long shot. Nemechek's best odds to win at Las Vegas are +50000 via Caesars, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $5,000 profit with an implied win probability of 0.20%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Nemechek as its best long shot after qualifying 30th:
✅ Proven track record at Las Vegas: Nemechek won an Xfinity race at this very track last year, demonstrating that he can handle the unique challenges of Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Additionally, he finished ninth in the Cup race last year, showing he has the potential to run at the front when the race unfolds favorably.
✅ Undervalued talent on a short track: While his team isn’t one of the powerhouse organizations, Nemechek has shown flashes of strong performance in challenging situations. If Legacy Motor Club dials in a surprisingly competitive package for the one‑mile oval, he could be a game changer.
✅ Opportunity in chaotic race dynamics: Las Vegas is known for its strategic fuel gambles, unpredictable pit stops, and late-race restarts. If the leaders are caught in strategy missteps or on-track incidents, Nemechek’s ability to capitalize on chaos could propel him from deep in the field to a surprise victory.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐ (2% win probability)
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🤖 Pennzoil 400 AI projections for full finishing order
Here is our predicted Pennzoil 400 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.
🏁 ChatGPT's full NASCAR finishing order predictions at Las Vegas
- Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske Ford) 🥇
- Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske Ford) 🥈
- Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) 🥉
- Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
- Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing Ford)
- Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet)
- Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing Ford)
- Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing Ford)
- Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing Ford)
- Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club Toyota)
- William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing Toyota)
- Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
- A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
- Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
- Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing Toyota)
- Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
- Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet)
- Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
- Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team Ford)
- Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
- Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing Toyota)
- Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
- Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
- John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club Toyota)
- Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske Ford)
- Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
- Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing Ford)
Today's NASCAR Pennzoil 400 expert picks
- 2025 Pennzoil 400 predictions
- 2025 NASCAR AI picks & predictions
- 2025 NASCAR long shots at Las Vegas
💰 NASCAR best bets for Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas
| Bet | Driver | Odds | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Pick to win | Joey Logano | +1100 | 8.33% |
| 💰 Best prop bet | Chase Elliott (top-5) | +240 | 29.41% |
| 🎯 Best long shot | John Hunter Nemechek | +50000 | 0.20% |
📺 How to watch the 2025 Pennzoil 400: NASCAR at Las Vegas
📅 Race date: Sunday, March 16
🕒 Start time: 3:30 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Las Vegas Motor Speedway (Las Vegas)
📺 TV: FS1 | Streaming: FOX Sports App
🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas
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