2025 NASCAR AI Picks & Predictions: ChatGPT's Full Projected Order for Shriners Children's 500
The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Phoenix Raceway this weekend for the first flat short track race of the season, and we've turned to AI to help us predict the winner and full finishing order for the Shriners Children's 500 on Sunday (3:30 p.m., FS1).
We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Phoenix predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, and favorite long shot, as well as the results for every driver for Sunday's 37-car field.
Along with our 2025 Shriners Children's 500 predictions at Phoenix, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:
🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions for Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix
We've previously used ChatGPT to predict its March Madness bracket, Super Bowl picks, and even its Canada vs. USA predictions, and we're once again turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot to predict the winner of Sunday's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix.
I trained ChatGPT's latest and most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting this weekend's winner:
🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix
ChatGPT predicts William Byron will win the Shriners Children's 500. His best odds to win Sunday's race at Phoenix are +600 via bet365, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $60 profit with an implied win probability of 14.29%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Byron will win this race after finishing 18th last year:
✅ Pole position advantage: Byron’s top qualifying position at Phoenix gives him the optimal starting spot on a track where clean air and early control are crucial for avoiding mid-pack incidents.
✅ Hendrick Motorsports’ proven package: Hendrick’s expertise at Phoenix - with smart setups, efficient pit strategy, and a history of strong finishes at one-mile tri-ovals - positions Byron well to capitalize on track conditions throughout the race.
✅ Fuel and race management: Phoenix often comes down to strategic fuel mileage and late-race restarts. Byron’s experience in managing these variables, coupled with his aggressive yet controlled driving style, makes him a standout candidate to navigate the race’s unpredictable final stages.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (45% chance of winning per AI simulation)
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💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet for Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix
ChatGPT predicts Chase Elliott will finish in the top five as its best NASCAR prop bet for Phoenix. Elliott's best odds to score a top-5 finish are +150 via Caesars, which would turn a winning $10 bet into an $15 profit with an implied win probability of 40%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Elliott to finish in the top five after finishing 19th last year:
✅ Proven consistency at Phoenix: Elliott has shown he can deliver strong finishes on similar one-mile tri-ovals, and his ability to navigate the variable conditions at Phoenix boosts his chance to land in the top tier.
✅ Hendrick Motorsports’ reliable package: His team’s well-rounded setup and pit strategy at Phoenix give him the tools needed to overcome race volatility and maintain track position.
✅ Racecraft and adaptability: Known for his ability to manage fuel, tire wear, and late-race restarts, Elliott is well-equipped to handle Phoenix’s unique challenges and secure a top-5 finish.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (65% chance of a top-5 finish per AI simulation)
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🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot to win Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix
ChatGPT predicts Daniel Suarez will win the Shriners Children's 500 as its best long shot. Suarez's best odds to win at Phoenix are +15000 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $1,500 profit with an implied win probability of 0.66%.
Here's why the AI model is predicting Suarez as its best long shot to win this race after finishing 13th last year:
✅ Trackhouse's opportunistic package: Despite a low starting position (31st), Trackhouse Racing has shown that with the right setup and strategy, their car can capitalize on race volatility and unpredictable pit strategies.
✅ Aggressive driving in chaos: Suarez is known for his willingness to take risks, which can pay off in a race where fuel strategy and late-race restarts can dramatically reshuffle the field.
✅ Phoenix's unpredictable dynamics: The nature of Phoenix - where fuel mileage and strategy play a huge role - creates opportunities for a driver from deep in the field to make a surprising run to the front.
🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐ (3% chance of winning per AI simulation)
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🤖 Shriners Children's 500 AI projections for full finishing order
Here is our predicted Shriners Children's 500 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. Note that ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events.
🏁 ChatGPT's full NASCAR finishing order predictions at Phoenix
- William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥇
- Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) 🥈
- Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) 🥉
- Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske Ford)
- Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
- Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske Ford)
- Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing Ford)
- Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske Ford)
- Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet)
- Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
- Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing Ford)
- Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club Toyota)
- Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing Ford)
- Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing Toyota)
- A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
- Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing Toyota)
- Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing Toyota)
- Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
- Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet)
- Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team Ford)
- Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
- Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing Ford)
- Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
- Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet)
- Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports Ford)
- Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota)
- Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing Ford)
- John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club Toyota)
- Katherine Legge (No. 78, Live Fast Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet)
- Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet)
💰 NASCAR best bets for Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix
| Bet | Driver | Odds | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Pick to win | William Byron | +600 | 14.29% |
| 💰 Best prop bet | Chase Elliott (top-5) | +150 | 40% |
| 🎯 Best long shot | Daniel Suarez | +15000 | 0.66% |
🏆 Expert Shriners Children's 500 picks
- 2025 Shriners Children's 500 predictions
- NASCAR AI picks and predictions
- NASCAR long shots at Phoenix
- Who is Katherine Legge?
📺 How to watch the 2025 Shriners Children’s 500: NASCAR at Phoenix
📅 Race date: Sunday, March 9, 2025
🕒 Start time: 3:30 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Phoenix Raceway (Phoenix)
📺 TV: FS1 | Streaming: FOX Sports App
🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway
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