2025 NASCAR AI Picks at Pocono Today: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for The Great American Getaway 400

Our NASCAR AI predictions reached Victory Lane again last week for the fifth time in the last 11 races. We'll shoot for two in a row today in The Great American Getaway 400 at 2 p.m. ET (Prime VIdeo) at Pocono Raceway.

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Pocono predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for today's 37-car field.

Along with The Great American Getaway 400 predictions at Pocono, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions for 2025 Great American Getaway 400

We trained ChatGPT to predict the March Madness bracket, Super Bowl picks, and Kentucky Derby winner, and we're turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot once again to predict the winner of The Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono.

We trained ChatGPT's most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting today's winner:

🏆 Best bet to win at Pocono

🏎️ Denny Hamlin

• Racing team: No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota
• Starting position: 1st
• Best odds: +340 via Caesars ($10 pays $34)

✅ Why Denny Hamlin wins at Pocono

1. Elite Pocono Track Record: Hamlin is a six-time Pocono winner, tied for the all-time lead. His combination of long-run pace, corner entry mastery, and veteran race management makes him one of the few drivers who can dominate strategy-heavy races at the Tricky Triangle.
2. Top-tier Qualifying + Clean Air Advantage: Starting on pole at Pocono is a massive advantage. With fewer cautions and passing opportunities here compared to intermediates or short tracks, clean air helps the leader control the pace - and Hamlin’s pit crew is one of the best in the business.
3. Momentum + Strategic Confidence: Denny has consistently been in the mix over the past month, and Pocono fits his style perfectly. His No. 11 team has been razor-sharp with tire calls, fuel strategy, and restarts - three elements that define this race every year.

🔢 AI simulation for Denny Hamlin

• Projected finish: 1st
• Simulated odds to win: 25.7%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

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🎯 Best prop bet at Pocono

🏎️ Kyle Larson top-3 finish

• Racing team: No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet
• Starting position: 24th
• Best odds: +270 via FanDuel ($10 pays $27)

✅ Why Kyle Larson finishes top-3 at Pocono

1. Elite Speed at 2.5-Mile Tracks: Larson’s raw speed and throttle control on long straights and sweeping corners consistently put him near the front at Pocono. He ranked No. 1 in green-flag speed here in 2023 and finished runner-up despite chaos. He’s one of the few who can carve through traffic.
2. Fast Car + Strategic Flexibility: Starting 24th actually gives Hendrick an edge to potentially short-pit or gamble on alternate strategies - something they’ve used to perfection before. Larson is elite at racing the track and not just the field, which pays dividends at Pocono where pit timing is crucial.
3. Dominant Recent Form + Track Redemption Arc: Larson has finished top-4 in four of the past six races this season and would’ve won Pocono in 2021 before blowing a tire in the final turn. This track owes him one - and he’s in peak form.

🔢 AI simulation for Kyle Larson

• Projected finish: 2nd
• Simulated odds to win: 34.2%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 out of 5 stars)

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🚀 Best long shot at Pocono

🏎️ Brad Keselowski

• Racing team: No. 6 RFK Racing Ford
• Starting position: 14th
• Best odds: +2800 via DraftKings ($10 pays $280)

✅ Why Keselowski could win at Pocono

1. Pocono Pedigree + Experience: Keselowski has been one of the most consistent drivers at Pocono over the past decade. He owns 11 top-five finishes in 26 starts here, including six runner-up results - more than any other active driver without a win at the track. His experience navigating the Tricky Triangle’s unique three-turn layout is a major asset.
2. RFK Resurgence in 2025: The RFK Racing program has taken a major step forward in 2025. Both Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher have shown improved long-run speed on intermediates, and Keselowski in particular has been knocking on the door of a breakthrough win all season. A track like Pocono, where tire strategy and fuel mileage can decide the race, suits his cerebral style.
3. Sneaky Qualifying Position: Rolling off from 14th, Keselowski is within striking distance of the leaders but far enough back to be flexible on pit strategy - a major factor at Pocono. If the race turns into a fuel-mileage chess match or gets jumbled with late cautions, his veteran savvy could give him an edge over faster but less opportunistic drivers.

🔢 AI simulation for Brad Keselowski

• Projected finish: 16th
• Simulated odds to win: 4.7%
• Confidence rating: ⭐⭐ (2 out of 5 stars)

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🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted The Great American Getaway 400 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Pocono

1. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing) 🥇
2. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥈
3. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing) 🥉
4. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
5. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske)
6. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
7. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports)
8. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
9. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske)
10. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
11. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports)
12. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
13. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
14. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
15. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
16. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing)
17. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
18. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
19. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
20. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
21. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
22. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
23. AJ Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing)
24. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
25. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing)
26. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
27. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
28. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing)
29. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
30. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
31. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
32. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
33. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
34. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
35. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)
36. Brennan Poole (No. 44, NY Racing Team)
37. Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing)

💰 NASCAR best bets for The Great American Getaway 400

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on The Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway? Check out the best sports betting sites for NASCAR ahead of today's race:

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