Shakur Stevenson vs. William Zepeda Prediction, Expert Picks, & Odds: WBC Lightweight Title

Shakur Stevenson is the heavy favorite (-1000), but what's our best bet on the board for this fight?
Stevenson vs. Zepeda prediction
Shakur Stevenson - who's highlighted in our Stevenson vs. Zepeda prediction - won the world featherweight title. Photo by: Jim Krajewski, Reno Gazette Journal via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Our Stevenson vs. Zepeda prediction headlines Saturday’s championship card from Louis Armstrong Stadium in Queens, New York. The fight marks the first-ever boxing event at the iconic tennis venue.

Shakur Stevenson puts his WBC lightweight title on the line against William Zepeda, an undefeated knockout artist looking to shock the world. Despite both fighters carrying spotless records into the ring, Stevenson is a heavy favorite over his foe Zepeda. Let's break down my Stevenson vs. Zepeda best bets.

📊 Stevenson vs. Zepeda odds

Odds via DraftKings as of July 10.

Fighter Win Outright Win by KO/TKO/DQ Win by Decision Draw
Shakur Stevenson -1000 +220 -200 +2000
William Zepeda +600 +1400 +1800 +2000

It’s no surprise to see Stevenson sitting as a massive -1000 favorite, given his proven skill set and defensive brilliance. Shakur hasn’t lost a fight yet, and oddsmakers don’t anticipate Zepeda being the one to break him.

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🥊 Stevenson vs. Zepeda prediction & fight preview

✅ Prediction: Shakur Stevenson to beat William Zepeda
📊 
Best odds: -1000 via DraftKings ($10 returns $11 profit)

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Shakur Stevenson is a master at dictating pace and distance. His footwork and timing make opponents miss by inches, and he rarely gets lured into reckless exchanges. That’s a huge advantage against a forward-charging fighter like Zepeda.

Zepeda is an all-action puncher who loves to press the fight, but that style is tailor-made for Stevenson’s counters. He’ll likely spend most of the night chasing shadows unless he lands something huge early.

Stevenson almost always sticks to a measured approach, piling up clean rounds rather than forcing a risky finish. Expect another smooth, technical showcase over 12 rounds.

💰 Stevenson vs. Zepeda best bet

✅ Best bet: Stevenson by decision (-200)
📊 Best odds: -200 via DraftKings ($10 returns $15 profit)

Given Stevenson’s style and Zepeda’s durability, the decision line makes the most sense. Zepeda has never been stopped, and Stevenson is far more comfortable winning rounds than chasing risky knockouts.

This should look like many past Stevenson fights: a showcase of clean counters, defensive slips, and ring control that frustrates Zepeda over the full distance. The price on Stevenson by decision is far more attractive than the heavy moneyline.

🆚 Stevenson vs. Zepeda tale of the tape

Category Shakur Stevenson William Zepeda
🧍‍♂️ Age 28 29
📏 Height 5-foot-8 5-foot-9
⚖️ Weight 135 lb 135 lb
📐 Reach 68" 70"
🥊 Record 23-0 (11 KOs) 33-0 (27 KOs)

📡 How to watch Stevenson vs. Zepeda fight

📅 Date 🕗 Time 📍 Location 📺 Broadcast
Saturday, July 12, 2025 6 p.m. ET (main card) Louis Armstrong Stadium, Queens, New York Streaming live on DAZN Pay-Per-View ($59.99 U.S.)

❓ Stevenson vs. Zepeda FAQs

Who is favored to win the Stevenson vs. Zepeda fight?

Shakur Stevenson is a huge -1000 favorite, with Zepeda around +600.

How do boxing odds work?

Minus odds show how much you’d bet to win $100 (so -1000 means you must bet $1000 to win $100). Plus odds tell you how much you’d win on a $100 bet (so +600 pays $600 profit).

Who will win between Stevenson vs. Zepeda?

Our pick: Stevenson to outclass Zepeda by decision and keep his undefeated record intact.

💵 Best boxing betting sites

Want to bet on boxing? Check out the best boxing betting sites and best sportsbook promos for this weekend's card:

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