Sky vs. Fever Prediction, Expert Picks & WNBA Odds: All Eyes on Caitlin Clark in Rematch
Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever host the Chicago Sky at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, as we offer our best Sky vs. Fever prediction and expert picks based on the best WNBA odds.
It was the shove 'heard round the world - a dead-ball bump from Chennedy Carter to rookie Caitlin Clark that set social media ablaze. Those two share the court again Sunday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with the host Indiana Fever (4-10) priced as 2-point favorites to beat the Chicago Sky (4-8) in a noon ET tipoff on CBS.
While the post-incident fervor was mostly bluster - mixed in with a healthy heap of bigotry - the final result saw the Fever score their first home win of the season. It also sparked a 3-2 run for Indiana, which entered the year with WNBA championship odds as short as 25/1 before reality set in for one of the W's youngest teams.
Similarly, it's been an inauspicious start for the Sky, who opened 3-3 but have since lost five of six games dating back to that 71-70 defeat in Indiana on June 1. They'll be eager for payback on Sunday in a nationally televised rematch.
Sky vs. Fever expert picks
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best sports betting sites.
- Fever -1.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Aliyah Boston 10+ rebounds (+165 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Caitlin Clark Under 16.5 points (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 made 3-pointers (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Sky vs. Fever predictions for Sunday
Fever -1.5 ⭐⭐⭐
If this game were played a week ago, I'd be awfully tempted to take the points on a motivated Sky team eager to settle the score after the nastiness of their meeting earlier this month.
However, I can't ignore what I've seen on the court in the last week. The Fever seem to be finding their rhythm, even with Clark struggling. They've won three of their last five and led the Atlanta Dream by as many as 18 points in Thursday's 91-84 win.
It's been a different story for Chicago, which has lost five of six by a combined 33 points after a 3-3 start to the year. That includes an embarrassing 83-81 loss to the two-win Washington Mystics, who led by as many as 15 points before a late rally fell short for the Sky.
It's hard to take any team seriously that plays that poorly against the worst team in my WNBA power rankings, and while the Fever's solid play of late might not sustain, I like their chances of covering this marginal spread on Sunday.
Best odds: -115 via BetMGM
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Aliyah Boston 10+ rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
After a frustrating start to the season, Boston has come alive for the Fever over her last two games, averaging 20.5 points and 12.5 rebounds in a pair of double-double performances for last year's No. 1 pick.
Those marked her second and third games this year with 10-plus rebounds, though she grabbed eight boards in her previous meeting with Chicago. I suspect she'll be able to stay hot on the glass against a Sky frontcourt still reeling from the loss of second-leading rebounder Elizabeth Williams (7.0 RPG).
With Boston's rebounding total trading at 8.5 across our best sportsbooks, this is truly a preposterous value at bet365, which is offering +165 odds on her to grab one extra rebound. That pays out $16.50 for every $10 wagered, per our odds converter, making it my single-favorite bet of this matchup.
Best odds: +165 via bet365
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Caitlin Clark player props vs. Sky
Caitlin Clark Under 16.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Boston's emergence as a go-to option for Indiana has come amid the worst scoring slump of Clark's career. And I don't see that reversing course on Sunday.
Heading into this weekend, Clark - who entered the year with the third-shortest WNBA MVP odds - has scored 11 or fewer points in four of her last five games. She's combined for 17 points in her last two contests and is shooting 34.5% from the field and 32.5% from deep in her five starts in June.
That includes an 11-point effort against the Sky on June 1, and while she's flashed moments of brilliance since then, she's struggled to string that across all four quarters. I'll gladly keep fading this year's No. 1 pick at these odds until she figures it out.
Best odds: -105 via bet365
Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is my favorite companion bet whenever I'm fading Clark's scoring total, and this one has even more value at +100 odds.
Clark's scoring swoon has coincided with (or resulted from) a reduction in 3-point volume. She's made two or fewer triples in four of her last five games, and she's now cleared this prop total just six times in 14 starts as a rookie. So why do our best sports betting apps continue to offer the Under at plus-money?
The Sky have allowed the fewest 3-point makes (6.0) and attempts (20.2) per game, and their 3-point percentage allowed (29.8%) is second-best in the WNBA. All signs point to another quiet game from deep for Clark, which makes this yet another great opportunity to cash in at a solid price.
Best odds: +100 via DraftKings
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Sky vs. Fever odds
| DraftKings | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever | -2 (-110) | -1.5 (-115) | -2 (-110) | -2 (-110) |
| Chicago Sky | +2 (-110) | +1.5 (-105) | +2 (-110) | +2 (-110) |
Sky vs. Fever game info
- When: Sunday, June 16
- Tip-off: Noon ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- How to watch: CBS
- Favorite: Fever -2 (-110 via bet365)
Sky-Fever predictions made Saturday at 2:45 p.m. ET.
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