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Sky vs. Liberty Prediction, Expert Picks & WNBA Odds: New York a Big Favorite After Perfect Start

C Jackson Cowart

Last Updated: May 23, 2024 5:08 PM EDT • 2 min 40 sec read.

On Thursday at Barclays Center, the New York Liberty look to remain unbeaten when they host the Chicago Sky, and we have you covered with our best Sky-Liberty predictions based on the best WNBA odds.

The New York Liberty have started the 2024 season flawlessly, winning their first four games by a combined 63 points after losing in last season's WNBA Finals. They will aim to extend their 4-0 record when they host the Chicago Sky, with the game tipping off at 7 p.m. ET in Brooklyn, N.Y.

The Liberty, 15.5-point favorites, are led by reigning MVP Breanna Stewart, who remains a top contender for this year's award according to the latest WNBA MVP odds. Stewart's exceptional performance has been key to New York's unbeaten run, bolstering the team's WNBA championship odds.

Here are our best Sky vs. Liberty predictions (odds via our best sports betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Sky vs. Liberty expert picks

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Sky vs. Liberty predictions for Thursday

Sky +15.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There's no getting around it: the Liberty have been the best team in the WNBA on a per-possession basis this year, and they're getting it done on both ends of the court.

Still, this is a massive number to cover in a random midweek tilt. While New York is outscoring teams by 15.8 points on average, only one of its wins has cleared this point spread, and that came on national TV in Caitlin Clark's home debut.

That win was sandwiched by solid but less impressive wins over the Washington Mystics (+5), Indiana Fever (+11), and Seattle Storm (+11). I have the Sky slotted in the same range as those three teams in my latest WNBA power rankings, and none benefitted from as big of a rest advantage as Chicago will have entering this one.

The Liberty played four games in the first six days of the season - the most by any team - and enjoyed two days off before returning to the court Thursday. Meanwhile, the Sky haven't played since Saturday's 83-74 win over the Dallas Wings and should be well-prepared to face last year's finalists.

Best odds: -110 via bet365

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1st quarter Under 42 ⭐⭐⭐

The Liberty have been absolutely demolishing teams in the first quarter this season, outscoring opponents by 37.8 points per 100 possessions. A key reason is their defense, which is allowing the second-fewest points (18.3) in the opening period.

The only team better? The Sky, who held the Wings to 16 and 20 points, respectively, in the first quarter of their two-game series to open the year. Both games fell below this total, while three of New York's first four games saw a combined 43 points or fewer in the first quarter.

I wouldn't be surprised if we see tired legs from the Liberty to open this one, especially against a physical Chicago frontcourt that plays with a ton of energy.

Best odds: -110 via bet365

Sky vs. Liberty odds

DraftKingsFanDuelCaesarsbet365
New York Liberty-15.5 (-110)-15.5 (-110)-15.5 (-110)-15.5 (-110)
Chicago Sky+15.5 (-110)+15.5 (-110)+15.5 (-110)+15.5 (-110)

Sky vs. Liberty game info

  • When: Thursday, May 23
  • Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, N.Y.
  • How to watch: WWOR, Marquee Sports Network
  • Favorite: Liberty -15.5 (-110 via bet365)

Sky-Liberty prediction made Wednesday at 3 p.m. ET.

Here are our best sports betting sites:

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Written By:
C Jackson Cowart
C Jackson Cowart is a publishing editor and lead writer for Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.