Wimbledon Predictions & Best Bets 2025: Our Expert Picks at All England Club

We're fading the favorites in both draws for Wimbledon in favor of value further down the board.

Mike Spector

Last Updated: June 28, 2025 5:00 AM EDT • 6 minute read

Wimbledon Predictions & Best Bets 2025: Expert Picks for All England Club — Pictured: Jannik Sinner, who leads our Wimbledon predictions, prepares to hit a backhand at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Photo by Geoff Burke / Imagn Images.

The Wimbledon 2025 draws have been revealed for the third major of the season as we prepare our Wimbledon predictions and best bets ahead of Monday's action from the All England Club in London.

Carlos Alcaraz is a +110 favorite across our best sports betting sites entering the tournament, as he looks to join Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic as the only men to win three straight Wimbledon titles this century. On the women’s side, world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka is the unanimous favorite despite never reaching a Wimbledon final.

Our Wimbledon expert picks fade both favorites on the men’s or women’s side to win - and also find value in a +2000 long-shot futures wager.

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✅ Men's winner: Jannik Sinner (+200 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Women's winner: Marketa Vondrousova (+1600 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Field vs. Next Gen (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best long shot: Madison Keys (+2000 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

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🏆 Best men’s pick to win Wimbledon

✅ Prediction: Jannik Sinner ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +200 ($10 to win $20)

Jannik Sinner made news by firing his trainer and physiotherapist just days before Wimbledon starts. However, he has bigger distractions to overcome, like blowing three match points in the fourth set and losing in five sets in the French Open final.

There are few players as disciplined mentally and physically as Sinner. And even though he has the tougher draw than two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz with Novak Djokovic in his half, the price difference between Alcaraz’s +120 odds and Sinner’s +200 odds is too big to ignore.

Sinner is 19-3 this season, and he should have fresh legs for a deep run having only played one grass-court tournament (Halle) as a lead-up to Wimbledon.

The Italian is likely to be a heavy favorite in all of his matches besides a potential final against Alcaraz. But I am only making this wager at DraftKings at +200 odds, as his implied probability of 36.36% based on the +175 odds at Caesars and bet365 holds less value.

🏆 Best women’s pick to win Wimbledon

✅ Prediction: Marketa Vondrousova ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +1600 ($10 to win $160)

Only one player in the women’s draw has shorter than +600 pre-tournament odds. And with that honor going to Aryna Sabalenka, who has not played in two of the last three Wimbledons and whose best result is two semifinal appearances, there is value to be had further down the leaderboard.

Marketa Vondrousova enters Wimbledon off a grass-court title in Berlin as an unseeded player. Her title run was impressive, beating Madison Keys, Ons Jabeur, and Sabalenka, all players who have made multiple quarterfinal appearances or better at Wimbledon.

Vondrousova cashed in huge for her backers when she won Wimbledon two years ago at +10000 pre-tournament odds. She is in much better position to make a title run this year, and her +1600 odds at DraftKings are a steal compared to her +1200 odds (carrying a 7.69% implied probability) at BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365.

💰 Best prop bet for Wimbledon

✅ Prop bet: Field vs. Next Gen ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -125 ($10 to win $8)

DraftKings offers a prop under its “Winners Specials” category that pits “The Field” (-125) over a three-player “Next Gen” category of Alcaraz, Jack Draper, and Joao Fonseca (-110).

We have already made our case for why to fade Alcaraz as the outright winner, and neither of the other two Next Gen players hold enough value. Draper is a +275 underdog to Djokovic to win his quarter, and the countryman’s draw is widely considered the toughest among the top contenders.

The only other prop I’d wager instead of this if the price was right is Alcaraz and Sinner to meet in the final. No such props have surfaced as of this writing, but if I find that wager at better than -125 odds anywhere, that's another bet I'd target with even greater conviction. After all, DraftKings gives Alcaraz and Sinner an 80% chance at capturing the title (at -400 odds) compared to the rest of the field (+275).

🎯 Best long shot to win Wimbledon

✅ Long shot: Madison Keys ⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +2000 ($10 to win $200)

Keys may not be considered a long shot depending on the sportsbook, as she has the same +1600 odds at Caesars and bet365 as our outright winner pick (Vondrousova). But the value in the +2000 odds at DraftKings makes Keys an automatic add to the portfolio.

Keys’ odds are lower considering she is in a difficult quarter with Vondrousova and Sabalenka. But those three women are among the top seven pre-tournament favorites to win the title, and whoever emerges from that quarter will likely vault to the overall favorite in the semifinals and beyond.

DraftKings gives an American woman a 29.41% chance to win Wimbledon based on its +240 odds, and a near 86% chance for there to be a first-time winner at -600 odds. Keys has reached the second week of Wimbledon each year since 2019, and she's a great value play to produce her best result yet.

📆 When does Wimbledon 2025 start?

Wimbledon’s first-round action begins on Monday, June 30, with 128 players in both the men’s and women’s singles draws. The women’s final is on Saturday, July 12, while the men’s final is the next day on Sunday, July 13.

💡 More Wimbledon predictions

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💵 Best tennis betting sites

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Written by:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”