Lynx vs. Sparks Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Today: July 10
While the Minnesota Lynx sit atop the WNBA championship odds in the West, our Lynx vs. Sparks prediction targets the potential for a high-scoring showdown when these teams clash at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles today at 3 p.m. ET (WNBA League Pass).
🔀 Lynx vs. Sparks odds movement
As tip approaches, the line has moved further in the Lynx's direction. Minnesota opened as a 6-point betting favorite, but the Sparks can now be had at +7.5 at some of our best sportsbooks. The game total has also climbed up from 163 to 164.5.
🔮 Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: WNBA expert picks
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✅ Moneyline pick: Lynx (-275 via BetMGM) ⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Lynx -6.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 163.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🆚 Who will win Lynx vs. Sparks?
✅ Moneyline pick: Lynx will win (-275 via BetMGM)
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Minnesota is coming off a tough road loss against the surging Phoenix Mercury, but this Los Angeles team is nowhere near as stingy. The Sparks have the third-worst average point differential in the W (minus-4.9) and have already lost to the Lynx three times this season. Minnesota has beaten Los Angeles by an average score of 90.7 to 73. The Sparks' closest outing was a 14-point loss in the second game of the season. Given L.A.'s defensive problems, I have Minnesota winning 90-78 as part of my Lynx vs. Sparks prediction.
💰 Lynx vs. Sparks best bet & WNBA predictions
📈 Over 163.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 pays $9.09)
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Given the way the Lynx have handled business against the Sparks this season, taking Minnesota to cover as a 6.5-point favorite isn't a bad call at all. However, I'm going with the Over instead, simply because the Lynx are playing the second leg of a back-to-back and struggled to slow the Mercury yesterday, who were down both Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper. That said, parlaying the Lynx -6.5 with the Over at FanDuel isn't a bad idea - the +214 odds pay a $21.40 profit on a $10 winning bet.
But if I'm making just one best bet today for this matchup, it's the Over - and the -110 odds from Caesars are the best on the market with our other best sports betting sites a tad longer at -115. Given the Lynx's dominant offensive play behind MVP favorite Napheesa Collier - they're No. 1 in offensive rating (110.3) and field-goal percentage (46.2%) - Minnesota should hammer a Sparks defense that has the second-worst defensive rating (110.4) and allows the second-most points per game (110.4).
Los Angeles, though, should be able to help this Over hit. It plays fast - sitting No. 4 in pace (78.2) - and can score consistently enough - No. 7 in offensive rating (104.2). Kelsey Plum is the key to it all, with the three-time All-Star being third in the W in points per game (20.1) and fifth in 3-pointers (2.4). The Sparks' style of play lends to the Over hitting; they have the best Over record in the league (11-7-1).
👀 Best player prop for Lynx vs. Sparks
🐾 Napheesa Collier Over 30.5 points + rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -115 via DraftKings ($10 pays $8.70)
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Although Thomas is climbing the oddsboard and has jumped Caitlin Clark for the second-shortest WNBA MVP odds, Collier is still the runaway favorite. Her -400 odds to win MVP imply an 80% probability she'll take the award home, and rightfully so.
The four-time All-Star leads the league in points per game (23.9) and ranks eighth in rebounds per game (7.9), while being No. 1 in PER (30.2), No. 2 in offensive win shares (2.8), and No. 4 in offensive rating (119.7). The Sparks aren't equipped to slow her down, and Collier has gone Over this number 10 times this season, including going for a combined 40 points and rebounds the last time she played L.A.
🏀 Lynx vs. Sparks odds today
Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.
❓ WNBA betting FAQs
How do WNBA betting odds work?
WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (i.e., +150).
What does betting against the spread mean?
Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.
What is moneyline betting?
Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.
💵 Best WNBA betting sites
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