Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: July 26

The Liberty are absolutely massive home favorites tonight against the Sparks, and a full-strength New York team should have no problems in this one.
Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: July 26
Pictured: New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu will look to lead her team to the victory we expect with our Sparks vs. Liberty prediction. Photo by Wendell Cruz via Imagn Images.

Two teams playing with a lot of confidence will square off on Saturday, as explained in our Sparks vs. Liberty prediction.

The Sparks (10-14) have won four in a row but still enter as double-digit underdogs ahead of tonight’s matchup at 7 p.m. ET at Barclays Center (NBA TV). 

That’s because the Liberty, the WNBA championship odds favorites, are back to playing like the best team in the league after last night’s 13-point victory over the Phoenix Mercury. Let that be a lesson to back a full-strength New York squad.

🔮 Sparks vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA expert picks

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area to help with your WNBA picks!

✅ Moneyline pick: Liberty ML (-621 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Liberty -10.5 (-110 via
BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 175 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Sparks vs. Liberty?

✅ Moneyline pick: Liberty will win (-621 via FanDuel)

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It’s scary hours for the rest of the league. With Jonquel Jones back in the lineup, the defending champions look like the best team in the WNBA following an 89-76 victory over the Mercury last night.

Even on a second night of a back-to-back, New York isn’t losing to Los Angeles.

💰 Sparks vs. Liberty best bet & WNBA predictions

New York first-quarter team total Over 23.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -105 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.52)

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I’m betting on early offense for the Liberty in what should be a track meet against the Sparks. I’d take the Over on their team total in the first quarter and first half (45.5) for those interested in backing New York.

The Liberty got off to a slow start against the Mercury last night, scoring 23 points in the opening period. But they have generally been hot out of the gate, ranking second in the league with a first-quarter offensive rating of 111.5 (and first in home games).

New York leads the league with an average of 23 points per game in the first quarter. That bodes well against a Sparks team that is 11th in defensive rating and 12th in first-quarter defensive rating.

The game total (175) speaks to a high-scoring affair, but I’d rather bet on a quick start from New York than worry about when starters are pulled in the final period.

👀 Best player prop for Sparks vs. Liberty

Sparks vs. Liberty Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: July 26
Pictured: New York Liberty center Jonquel Jones headlines our Sparks vs. Liberty prediction. Photo by Wendell Cruz via Imagn Images.

Jonquel Jones double-double ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +150 via BetMGM ($10 to win $15)

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We cashed a +350 price on this exact prop last night, but I have no problem revisiting this angle because the best sports betting sites still aren’t pricing it correctly. Jones isn’t on a minutes restriction after playing 29 against Phoenix, recording 20 points and 11 rebounds.

Jones has notched a double-double in seven of her 11 games this season, a 63.6% rate that is much greater than this 40% implied probability.

🏀 Sparks vs. Liberty odds today

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

❓ WNBA betting FAQs

How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

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