Sun vs. Storm Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: July 11

Despite Connecticut upsetting Seattle earlier this week, our Sun vs. Storm prediction expects a bounce back from Noelle Quinn's team in a low-scoring showdown from Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. With the Storm being WNBA championship odds contenders, don't expect the Sun to light up the scoreboard on the road.

🔮 Sun vs. Storm prediction: WNBA expert picks

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✅ Moneyline pick: Storm (-2000 via bet365) ⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Storm -18 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 157.5 (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Sun vs. Storm?

✅ Moneyline pick: Storm will win (-2000 via bet365)

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Although the Sun managed a 10-point win at home earlier this week against the Storm, don't expect a miracle to happen twice for Connecticut. This is the worst team in the league, with a 3-16 record that includes by far the worst average point differential in the W (minus-16.3). The Sun are last in just about every offensive category, and their defense is equally as bad, which has earned them the worst net rating in the league (minus-21.2). Meanwhile, Seattle is 6-3 at home this season and has enough offense behind Skylar Diggins to run away with this win. I've got Quinn's team winning 85-66 as part of my Sun vs. Storm prediction.

💰 Sun vs. Storm best bet & WNBA predictions

📉 Under 157.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -115 via Caesars ($10 pays $8.70)

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The Storm are going to score, but the Under is alive because the Sun will not be putting on a repeat offensive performance. While they did put up 93 on Wednesday, that was just the seventh time this season they've scored more than 75 points. Connecticut ranks last in the W in points per game (72.1), offensive rating (93.8), and field-goal percentage (39.8%). This team has scored less than 70 points in nine games this year, including four of its last six.

Seattle has some dogs defensively who should put the clamps on the Sun. Gabby Williams (1.3), Nneka Ogwumike (1.2), and Ezi Magbegor (0.9) are all top 20 in the league in defensive win shares; Williams leads the league in steals per game (2.5) and Magbegor is third in blocks (2.0). 

And for as bad as the Sun are, they do have some defensive playmakers that should keep the Storm at bay just enough to keep them from wrecking this Under. Olivia Nelson-Ododa is fifth in the league in blocks per game (1.4) while Saniya Rivers is top 10 in both blocks (1.1) and steals (1.6). They won't shut down Seattle, but they should be able to slow them from crossing 90.

👀 Best player prop for Sun vs. Storm

🌩️ Skylar Diggins Over 17.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +100 via BetMGM ($10 pays $10)

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Getting even-money odds on this prop at BetMGM is wild value. Diggins seems ageless at this point, with her sitting ninth in the league in points per game (18.5), seventh in offensive win shares (1.9), and 15th in usage rate (26.2%).

With the Sun's defensive issues, we've already seen them struggle against Diggins twice this season. Earlier this week, she popped off for 23 points against Connecticut after having already scored 24 against this defense in their June matchup. She should clear 17.5 points for the 15th time this season tonight.

🏀 Sun vs. Storm odds today  

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

❓ WNBA betting FAQs

How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

💵 Best WNBA betting sites

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