Wings vs. Sky Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Tonight: July 9

Can Paige Bueckers and the Wings take down Angel Reese and the Sky without Arike Ogunbowale?
Wings vs. Sky Prediction
Pictured: Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers controls the ball against the Chicago Sky. We're backing Bueckers in our Wings vs. Sky prediction. Photo by Patrick Gorski via Imagn Images.

Two of the WNBA’s most well-known young stars headline tonight’s matchup for our Wings vs. Sky prediction, as Paige Bueckers leads Dallas into a clash with Angel Reese and Chicago at 8 p.m. ET from Wintrust Arena (WNBA League Pass). While neither team ranks among the top WNBA championship odds contenders, we’re expecting fireworks from both Bueckers and Reese in a fast-paced, high-scoring showdown.

📉 Wings vs. Sky odds movement

The Sky opened as a 1.5-point betting favorite at home, but can now be had at +1 at a few of our best sportsbooks. The game total, on the other hand, hasn't budged, with it sitting between 166 and 166.5 as two of the worst defenses get set to take the court.

🔮 Wings vs. Sky prediction: WNBA expert picks

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Moneyline pick: Wings (-102 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Wings +1.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 166.5 (-110 via
Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Wings vs. Sky?

✅ Moneyline pick: Wings will win (-102 via BetMGM)

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If Dallas was at full strength, it would more than likely be a road favorite against Chicago. While neither of these teams is a threat to make a playoff push - they're a combined 11-27 - the Wings have shown far more promise than the Sky this season. Chicago is just 3-9 since the start of June and now has the second-worst average point differential in the W (minus-8.3).

Dallas, on the other hand, has improved vastly since losing two games to the Sky in May. Since June 17, Bueckers has helped Dallas to a 5-3 record. That's why my Wings vs. Sky prediction projects a 88-85 win for Dallas.

💰 Wings vs. Sky best bet & WNBA predictions

Wings vs. Sky Prediction
Chicago Sky forward Angel Reese, whom we highlight in our Wings vs. Sky predictions, drives to the basket against Golden State Valkyries forward Monique Billings. Photo by David Gonzales via Imagn Images.

📈 Over 166.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via Caesars ($10 pays $9.09)

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Not having Arike Ogunbowale certainly hurts Dallas, and this Over, but between Bueckers, the recent play of fellow rookies Aziaha James and JJ Quinerly, and the Wings' non-existent defense, this Over is still the play of the day for any Wings vs. Sky prediction. Dallas is 11-9 betting the Over, one of the best records in the W, and has hit it in seven of its last 10.

With Bueckers leading the way, the Wings are No. 7 in offensive rating (104.2) and rank sixth in pace (78.0). The recent emergence of James and Quinerly has been huge for this offense, too; they're combining to average 36 points per game in their last three outings. This rookie trio should be able to light up a Sky defense that's allowing the third-most points per game (86.9), ranks second-last in defensive rating (110.5), and gives up the most 3-pointers per game (10.2).

However, Dallas' defense really isn't that much better. It allows 85.9 points per game with opponents shooting 44.5% from the floor against it. The Wings have allowed 88-plus points 10 times this season, including in both its losses to the Sky. In those two games, Ariel Atkins and Angel Reese combined to average 31.5 points per game. Those two have been key for Chicago hitting the Over in five of its last seven games.

👀 Best player prop for Wings vs. Sky

🪽 Paige Bueckers Over 18.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -108 via FanDuel ($10 pays $9.26)

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The WNBA Rookie of the Year favorite is poised for a splashy outing against one of the worst defenses in the W. Bueckers has gone for Over 18.5 points in six of nine games since returning from injury, while averaging 20.5 points per game during that stretch.

The UConn product is top 20 in the league in PER (21.1), offensive win shares (1.6), and offensive rating (114.5). With both Ogunbowale and DiJonai Carrington out, Bueckers' increased usage should help her hit this Over. I'd play this Over with odds as short as -120, making these odds via FanDuel hard to pass on.

🏀 Wings vs. Sky odds today  

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

❓ WNBA betting FAQs

How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

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