Best NBA Player Props Tonight, Feb. 12
Tonight’s NBA schedule is packed, with all 30 teams hitting the hardwood across the league. One of the most anticipated matchups features the Los Angeles Lakers, who are set to play their second game since acquiring superstar Luka Doncic.
Doncic’s showdown against the Utah Jazz is a key storyline in our best NBA player props today, as he looks to make an impact with his new team. Meanwhile, Josh Hart leads the NBA championship odds-contending New York Knicks into a battle against the Atlanta Hawks. With high-stakes action across the league, we spotlight the best player props to consider for tonight’s matchups.
Best NBA player prop bets
Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best NBA betting sites.
- Josh Hart player prop pick: Over 25.5 points and rebounds (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tyler Herro player prop pick: Under 21.5 points (-109 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Amen Thompson player prop pick: Over 14.5 rebounds and assists (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Luka Doncic player prop pick: Over 6.5 assists (-135 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
NBA player prop picks today
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Josh Hart (Knicks) Over 25.5 points and rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
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Coming off one of his best games of the season - 30 points and 10 rebounds against the Indiana Pacers - Hart is poised for another massive outing against an Atlanta Hawks defense that struggles against wings. The Hawks are allowing the third-most points per game (23.36) and the second-most rebounds per game (8.26) to small forwards this season.
Hart is averaging a combined 24.3 points and rebounds per matchup, but he's taken that up to 30.6 in February. I expect his stellar play to continue and for him to go Over 25.5 points and rebounds for the 21st time this season while turning a $10 bet into an $8.85 profit at FanDuel.
Josh Hart player props vs. Hawks
Tyler Herro (Heat) Under 21.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -109 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.15%
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In a clash of former Kentucky stars, it's NBA MVP odds favorite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander taking on Tyler Herro while he tries to hold the Miami Heat together as their most significant offensive threat. But much like a John Calipari team in March, Herro has been looking scattered lately.
He's coming off a 6-for-22 shooting performance and then missed the team's game two days ago with an illness. Now he needs to carry the Heat against a Thunder squad that's No. 1 in defensive rating (105.0) and gives up the fewest points per game to point guards (21.78).
Herro is going to struggle again and go Under 21.5 points for the third time in five games.
Tyler Herro player props vs. Thunder
Amen Thompson (Rockets) Over 14.5 rebounds and assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Amen Thompson, who's among the top NBA Most Improved odds contenders, is beginning to come into his own as the starting point guard for the Houston Rockets. The 2023 No. 4 overall pick has been raising his average assists per game each month. He's now averaging 6.8 apples per outing in February, all while still continuing to be one of the league's top rebounding guards.
The 22-year-old is averaging 14.6 rebounds and assists per game this month, and he's gone Over 14.5 in three of six games. He should again tonight, as the Suns allow the fifth-most rebounds per game to point guards (6.47). If he does, a $10 bet pays a $9.09 profit via bet365.
Amen Thompson player props vs. Suns
Luka Doncic (Lakers) Over 6.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -135 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 57.45%
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While fans are getting kicked out of Dallas Mavericks games after calling for Nico Harrison to be fired, Doncic appears to be enjoying playing with LeBron James and the Lakers. Although he played just 24 minutes during his Los Angeles debut, Doncic looked right at home doing his best Magic Johnson Showtime impersonation.
Between his outlet passes, lobs, and court vision, Doncic's passing was on full display against the Jazz, and all that should be again tonight. Utah allows the second-most assists per game to point guards (10.25), and Doncic is averaging 7.7 on the season.
Luka Doncic player props vs. Jazz
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