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Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction Tonight: Game 4 Odds & Expert Picks

Mike Spector

Last Updated: April 28, 2025 5:47 PM EDT • 2 min 29 sec read.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction Tonight: Game 4 Odds & Expert Picks, April 28
Pictured: Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo (13) drives to the basket against Cleveland Cavaliers forward De'Andre Hunter (12). Photo by Sam Navarro via Imagn Images.

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to become the second team to sweep a first-round series of the NBA playoffs in Game 4 against the Miami Heat tonight. Our Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction analyzes whether Miami can mentally get past losing the first three games of the series and prevent Cleveland from celebrating on its home court.

The Cavaliers are -375 moneyline favorites and 8.5-point betting favorites at our best sports betting sites. Tipoff from the Kaseya Center in Miami is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT) tonight.

Our NBA picks look at the steep betting odds for this contest and ponder if there is value in backing the underdogs at home.

💰 Cavaliers vs. Heat expert picks for Game 4

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Against the spread pick: Heat +8.5 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐✅ Moneyline pick: Cavaliers (-375 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 210.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

🏀 Game 4 prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Cavaliers 105, Heat 100

Cleveland’s 124-87 win over Miami in Game 3 was the franchise’s third-largest win in playoff history. The Cavaliers are rightful big favorites, having beaten the Heat five straight times dating back to the regular season.

While holding out Darius Garland with a toe sprain in Game 3 did not hurt Cleveland, I would expect the road favorites to keep him out again, which Miami should take advantage of. In addition, Heat duo Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro have postseason experience, and we trust their veteran leadership will help the team play inspired.

This is Miami’s third elimination game of the playoffs, dating back to the play-in rounds, and Erik Spoelstra is too good of a coach not to be able to scheme something up to have his team playing more competitively.

The Heat were within one possession of the Cavaliers with three minutes to go on the road in Game 2, so bettors should not lose sight of the fact that they have shown they can compete.

I love the contrarian nature of this play with Miami coming off a 37-point loss. The fact that 61% of bettors have backed the favored Cavaliers, but the line has not budged from an opening number of +8.5, which suggests there is sharp action on the home underdogs.

The best price for Miami backers is at FanDuel, the only one of our best sports betting apps charging less than the standard -110 juice for +8.5.

✅ Best bet: Heat +8.5 (-108 via FanDuel)

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📈 Cavaliers vs. Heat odds

Live updated odds from our best sportsbooks.

🪧 Game 4 opening odds

Opening odds via BetMGM.

  • Spread: Cavaliers -8.5 (-115) | Heat +8.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -425 | Heat +320
  • Over/Under: Over 210.5 (-110) | Under 210.5 (-110)

🚑 Cavaliers vs. Heat injury report

Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.

📡 How to watch Cavaliers vs. Heat live (Game 4)

📅 Monday, April 28
🕗 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Kaseya Center (Miami)
📺 TNT, truTV | 🛜 Max

💵 Best NBA betting sites

Ready to bet on the NBA playoffs? Check out the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's games:

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”