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Heat vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks & Player Props Tonight: Best NBA Odds for Feb. 23
Pictured: Milwaukee Bucks guard Damian Lillard (0) drives for the basket against Miami Heat guard Terry Rozier (2). Photo by Benny Sieu via Imagn Images.

The Milwaukee Bucks have won three straight, and they’ll look to extend that streak when the Miami Heat come to town. The Heat snapped a four-game skid with an OT victory over the Raptors on Friday, and they’ll look to keep the momentum going against a familiar rival.

Our Heat vs. Bucks prediction and player props tonight expect Damian Lillard to shine and Kyle Kuzma to pick up the slack for a banged-up Giannis Antetokounmpo.

We also expect Tyler Herro to get it done on offense when the Heat and Bucks tip off at 6 p.m. ET (NBA TV) from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.

💰 Best Heat vs. Bucks predictions & NBA player props tonight: Feb. 23

Here are my best Heat vs. Bucks predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.

  • Game pick: Bucks to win (-210 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Damian Lillard prop pick: Over 24.5 points (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Tyler Herro prop pick: Over 23.5 points (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Kyle Kuzma prop pick: Over 25.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Heat vs. Bucks pick & odds: Who will win tonight's NBA matchup?

As of Sunday afternoon, the Bucks are favored by 4.5 points to beat the Heat in tonight's NBA matchup at 6 p.m. ET from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. I'm predicting the Bucks will beat the Heat.

🔢 Heat vs. Bucks odds & betting lines

Here are the latest Heat vs. Bucks odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.

💰 Best Heat vs. Bucks player prop bet odds & expert picks: Feb. 23

Here are my best Heat vs. Bucks player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.    

🏀 Damian Lillard prop pick: Over 24.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.52)

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Lillard is averaging 25.5 points per game this season, so a below-average performance can still get him over the hump on this modest scoring line. He’s dropped at least 25 points in 27 of 45 games this season, good for 60% of his appearances, so we’re getting this line at a major bargain.

Lillard has fared slightly better as a scorer at home than on the road, and he’s cashed the Over in 15 of 24 at Fiserv Forum. Lillard finished with 37 and 29 points in two matchups with the Heat this season.

Since joining the Bucks last season, Lillard has averaged 27.8 points across five matchups with the Heat and hit the Over four times. Miami has allowed 23.4 points per game to opposing PGs on the season but 26.4 over the last seven.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is likely to remain on a minutes restriction for a third straight game, opening the door for Lillard to pick up some extra scoring opportunities. This is an easy call.

📊 Best Damian Lillard prop bet odds

🏀 Tyler Herro prop pick: Over 23.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)

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Miami’s roster has dealt with numerous key injuries throughout the season, and the departure of Jimmy Butler shook things up even more. One constant, however, has been Tyler Herro and his steady offense.

The Kentucky product is averaging a career-best 23.9 points per game this season, and he’s hit the Over in 24 of 52 outings. That includes 22.7 points at home and 24.8 on the road.

Herro has hit the Over in eight of his last 16 while averaging 24.8 points, and he’s reached 24 points in 17 of 31 games on the road. He scored 28 and 40 in his last two games, and we expect him to keep the momentum going tonight.

📊 Best Tyler Herro prop bet odds

🏀 Kyle Kuzma prop pick: Over 25.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8.33)

Kuz has looked great since joining the Bucks, fitting into the rotation seamlessly. He’s started each of the last five games and averaged 17 points, 8.4 rebounds, and three dimes.

Kuz has hit the Over on this line in four of five, and he should continue to see plenty of work while Antetokounmpo nurses a left calf strain.

With Bobby Portis suspended, Kuz is next in line to pick up the frontcourt slack, and that’s exactly what we expect to happen tonight. The Heat have allowed opposing PFs to average 37.9 PRAs across the last 15, and Kuzma should be able to take advantage of that defensive lapse.

📊 Best Kyle Kuzma prop bet odds

🚑 Heat vs. Bucks injuries

Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Heat vs. Bucks matchup, which will update in real time.

📺 How to watch Heat vs. Bucks tonight

📅 Date: Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025
🕗 Time: 6 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
📺 TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
💻 Streaming: NBA TV

❓ Heat vs. Bucks FAQs

Who is favored to win Heat vs. Bucks?

The Bucks are 4.5-point favorites over the Heat at our best sports betting sites.

What are the odds for Heat vs. Bucks?

The Bucks are -189 favorites at home over the Heat (+170).

What time is Heat vs. Bucks tonight?

The Eastern Conference clash between the Heat and Bucks tips off at 6 p.m. ET.

How to watch Heat vs. Bucks

Fans can watch Heat vs. Bucks locally on FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin, or stream it nationwide on NBA TV with a subscription.

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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