Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds Tonight: Best Bets for NBA Play-In Tournament

The Dallas Mavericks have one last shot to redeem their season post-Luka Doncic trade when they face the Memphis Grizzlies tonight (9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) at FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn., to conclude the NBA Play-In Tournament.
The Grizzlies are 6.5-point betting favorites across our best sports betting sites, but my Mavericks vs. Grizzlies prediction suggests taking the points as part of our NBA picks tonight.
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๐บ Game info & where to watch Mavericks vs. Grizzlies live tonight
๐
Date: Friday, April 18
๐ Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
๐ Location: FedExForum (Memphis, Tenn.)
๐บ TV: ESPN
๐ป Streaming: ESPN+
๐ก Mavericks vs. Grizzlies prediction & expert picks: NBA Play-In Tournament - Friday, April 18
๐ฏ Score prediction: Grizzlies 117, Mavericks 112
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Best bet: Mavericks +6.5 (-105 via ESPN BET)

๐ฐ Mavericks vs. Grizzlies NBA preview & matchup analysis
For the first time in months, the national media had something positive to say about the Mavericks on Wednesday. Dallas dazzled in a 14-point win over the Sacramento Kings, despite being underdogs heading into the matchup. Jason Kidd's team defended well and shot even better.
Audiences saw a different side of the Mavericks in their first NBA Play-In Tournament game. They witnessed a team that spread the ball around offensively, and one that leaned on its veterans - namely, Anthony Davis and Klay Thompson - but not too heavily. It was a breath of fresh air from a team that finished the year sub-.500.
Dallas was not the only team that impressed either.
Memphis went toe-to-toe with an experienced Golden State squad, despite digging itself a significant hole early. The Grizzlies looked sharp behind Desmond Bane and Ja Morant. While they ultimately came up short due to excellent efforts from playoff veterans Jimmy Butler and Stephen Curry, the team walked away with a reason to hope.
Memphis beat Dallas by an average of 20 points over the last three meetings between the teams. While this is a different Mavericks squad, it's a hard one to ignore. The Grizzlies are also 23-7 against the Western Conference this year when closing as favorites. The experience of Davis and Thompson will keep Dallas in it, but Memphis should ultimately prevail.
๐ฐ Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks & best bets
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Against the spread pick: Mavericks +6.5 (-105 via ESPN BET) โญโญโญ
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Moneyline pick: Grizzlies ML (-270 via DraftKings) โญโญโญโญ
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Over/Under pick: Over 222 (-110 via Caesars) โญโญโญ
โน๏ธ Best Mavericks vs. Grizzlies NBA Play-In Tournament predictions
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๐ฅ Mavericks +6.5 โญโญโญ
This is a Dallas team Memphis hasn't seen before. The Mavericks will be brimming with confidence after winning outright as underdogs against the Sacramento Kings, and they find themselves in a similar spot here. Davis is a game-changer in the post, something Dallas has been missing in its last three losses to the Grizzlies.
The Mavericks are trading at -105 to cover the spread at ESPN BET. A $10 bet would return $9.52 if the visitors can pick up their 40th win against the spread this season.
๐ Best odds: -105 via ESPN BET
๐ฅ Grizzlies ML โญโญโญโญ
The Grizzlies took three of four this season from Dallas, with the only loss coming at the hands of the now injured Kyrie Irving and the since departed Luka Doncic, who combined to drop 47 on their heads.
BetMGM reports that 72% of all moneyline bets are on Memphis. As such, it's not worth waiting around to see if you can get better odds on the Grizzlies to win outright before tipoff. DraftKings is the most profitable of our best sportsbooks to shop at for Memphis ML bets. The Grizzlies' odds imply a 72.97% win probability.
๐ Best odds: -270 via DraftKings
๐ฅ Over 222 โญโญโญโญโญ
Memphis and Dallas boast the sixth- and seventh-best Over percentages in the league at 56.6% and 56.1%, respectively. They've combined to go Over in 93 of their 166 games. While they only went Over once in four meetings this season, the other three totals were astronomically high, clocking in with an average of 236.
These teams combined to go for 223 in their lowest-scoring matchup of the campaign, so we'll side with the season-long trends and predict them to do it again. A $10 winning wager would profit $9.09 at Caesars.
๐ Best odds: -110 via Caesars
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๐ Best same-game parlay (SGP) for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
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๐ก Live Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds & updated betting lines
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๐ชง Mavericks vs. Grizzlies opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Mavericks +6.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Mavericks +200 | Grizzlies -250
- Over/Under: Over 221.5 (-110) | Under 221.5 (-110)
๐ Mavericks vs. Grizzlies stats: Records, trends & best odds today
๐ For full team stats and betting line history, follow our Mavericks vs. Grizzlies matchup.
๐ Mavericks vs. Grizzlies injury report
๐ For the latest injury news, check today's official NBA injury report.
๐ณ๏ธ Who will win Mavericks vs. Grizzlies?
๐ Best NBA Play-In Tournament predictions & expert picks tonight
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