Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction for Tonight: NBA Play-In Tournament Best Bets, Expert Picks & Odds
Either the No. 9 seed Sacramento Kings (40-42) or No. 10 seed Dallas Mavericks (39-43) will live to fight another day after tonight's NBA Play-In Tournament game from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif., at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Our Mavericks vs. Kings prediction, part of our NBA picks and NBA Play-In Tournament odds and predictions, expect Nico Harrison's defense-first vision to materialize, providing enough of a lift for the Mavs to keep things close.
Dallas is the 4.5-point betting underdog at our best sports betting sites.
🔢 Mavericks vs. Kings updated betting action
Updated betting info via BetMGM.
- The Kings are the -4.5 favorites. There hasn't been any movement on that line
- 80% of the bets and 92% of the money is on the Kings
- The total opened at 219.5 and is now down to 214.5
- The Mavericks opened as +170 moneyline underdogs. Those odds have since shortened to +155
📺 Game info & where to watch Mavericks vs. Kings live today
📅 Date: Wednesday, April 16
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Golden 1 Center (Sacramento, Calif.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
💡 Mavericks vs. Kings prediction & expert picks: NBA Play-In Tournament - Wednesday, April 16
🎯 Score prediction: Mavs 105, Kings 101
✅ Best bet: Mavs +4.5 (-105 via Caesars)
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📰 Mavericks vs. Kings NBA preview & matchup analysis
Sacramento has been one of the most disappointing teams in the NBA against the spread this season, going 34-44-4 ATS overall. That’s been particularly true for the Kings at home, where they’re just 14-24-3 ATS.
While the Mavs haven’t been significantly better, covering the spread in just 47.5% of their games, the Kings haven’t found their rhythm at home, making them a scary team to back at -4.5.
The Kings haven’t played well enough at home this season to justify this spread, and Anthony Davis will be a man on a mission, keeping the visitors within five points.
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💰 Mavericks vs. Kings picks & best bets
✅ Against the spread pick: Mavericks +4.5 (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Mavericks (+160 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 216 (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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⛹️ Best Mavericks vs. Kings NBA Play-In Tournament predictions
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🔥 Mavericks +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While the Mavs' defensive metrics from the past six weeks leave much to be desired, Davis and Co. will be motivated to play elite defensive basketball tonight, which should be enough for Dallas to keep things close. I'm going one further and calling a Mavericks outright win.
Our best sports betting apps list Dallas at +4.5 after Caesars was the last holdout to drop the line down from +5 earlier on Tuesday.
Best odds: -105 via Caesars
🔥 Mavericks ML ⭐⭐⭐
Coming into these playoffs, the public sentiment on Dallas is not good. While the Luka Doncic trade will be scrutinized for years, the sheer disgust by the public directed toward the franchise could manifest in the Mavs overcoming the odds and putting together a solid away outing.
It’s been a coin flip on the Mavs recently; they’re either failing to cover spreads by a hefty margin or getting it done outright in blowout fashion. So, I'm backing the Mavs to win, as they haven't been involved in many close losses lately. If they show up, which I expect them to do, they'll more likely pull off the upset victory.
Best odds: +160 via DraftKings
🔥 Under 216 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nico Harrison wants Dallas to win with defense. While the Mavs have, ironically, been Over wagons since the big trade went down, things have calmed slightly in recent weeks. Dallas is 4-4-1 on Overs across its last nine games.
The scoring averages for Dallas and Sacramento combine to equal 230. That the total sits at just 216 tells me the oddsmakers are inclined to see a more responsible and relentless Dallas defense in an altogether more meaningful contest.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel
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🚀 Best Mavericks vs. Kings parlay picks & SGP odds
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🔮 Tonight's NBA Play-In Tournament expert picks
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🔢 Best Mavericks vs. Kings odds & betting lines
🛒 Shop around for the best Mavericks vs. Kings odds from our best sports betting apps.
📡 Mavericks vs. Kings live odds
🛜 Game already started? You can still get in on the action with our best live betting sites.
🪧 Mavericks vs. Kings opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Mavericks +4.5 (-102) | Kings -4.5 (-118)
- Moneyline: Mavericks +165 | Kings -200
- Over/Under: Over 216.5 (-105) | Under 216.5 (-115)
📊 Mavericks vs. Kings stats: Records, trends & best odds today
📈 For full team stats and betting line history, follow our Mavericks vs. Kings matchup page.
🚑 Mavericks vs. Kings injury report
📋 For the latest injury news, check today's official NBA injury report.
🗳️ Who will win Mavericks vs. Kings?
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