Best Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds, NBA Player Props & Score Predictions Today: Feb. 23

The Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors meet for the fourth time this season as the Warriors look to even the season series at two. We make our best Mavericks vs. Warriors prediction and player props, looking at where Stephen Curry is being very undervalued and dissecting Kyrie Irving’s recent performances.
The Warriors are listed as 9-point favorites at our best NBA betting sites. The Mavericks will be without Anthony Davis in today’s 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) game at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Can Dallas cover despite being shorthanded?
💰 Best Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions & NBA player props today: Feb. 23
Here are my best Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions and player props for today's NBA matchup, with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.
- Game pick: Mavericks to cover 9 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Kyrie Irving player prop pick: Over 27.5 points (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Buddy Hield player prop pick: Over 2.5 three-pointers made (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Stephen Curry player prop pick: Over 5.5 assists (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Mavericks vs. Warriors pick & odds: Who will win today's NBA matchup?
As of this morning, the Warriors are favored by nine points to beat the Mavericks in today's NBA matchup at 3:30 p.m. from Chase Center in San Francisco. The Mavericks hold a 2-1 lead in the regular-season series. Can the Warriors slow him down? I’m predicting that Irving will still play well, but the Warriors will win even though the Mavericks will cover the spread (+9).
🔢 Mavericks vs. Warriors odds & betting lines
Here are the latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.
🎯 Mavericks vs. Warriors score prediction: Warriors 121, Mavericks 114
Despite the absence of Davis, the Mavericks will keep this close, and I predict the Warriors will beat the Mavericks by a final score of Warriors 121, Mavericks 114.
The Mavericks just beat the Warriors without Davis on February 12, thanks in large part to 42 points from Irving. But the role players stepped up too as Klay Thompson and Max Christie both scored 17.
Of course, that game was in Dallas, but I’m not overly concerned with this game being on the Warriors’ home floor. The Mavericks already beat them once on the road, and their one road loss was by just three points.
Best bet: Mavericks +9 (-108 via DraftKings)
💰 Best Mavericks vs. Warriors player prop bet odds & expert picks: Feb. 23
Here are my best Mavericks vs. Warriors player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🏀 Best Kyrie Irving prop pick: Over 27.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings ($10 to win $9.09)
Irving has scored 30 or more points in three consecutive games, as the All-Star break did nothing to slow down his momentum from mid-February. He put up 35 in Friday’s win over the New Orleans Pelicans, as he knocked down five three-pointers.
While Irving has only topped this number once in three games against the Warriors, he also had to compete with former teammate Luka Doncic in the two contests where failed to hit this mark. Irving has become the clear No. 1 scorer for the Mavericks with Doncic gone, and there’s no reason for that to change today.
I don’t expect Irving to score 42 as he did 11 days ago, but I also expect him to keep up his 30-point streak, even if he is playing a defense allowing the 10th-fewest points in the league. After all, the Mavericks have scored at least 111 against them all three times they’ve played.
📊 Best Kyrie Irving prop bet odds
🏀 Best Buddy Hield prop pick: Over 2.5 three-pointers made ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +104 via FanDuel ($10 to win $10.40)
Hield is coming off a massive 5-of-8 night from beyond the arc against the Sacramento Kings. That marked the most threes he made in a game since January 22, and it ended a two-game stretch of just 1-of-10 shooting from beyond the arc. Hield was just 1-of-6 against the Mavericks on February 12, but he was 3-of-8 against them in the prior matchup.
While it may alarm some bettors that Hield has gone Under 2.5 threes in two of his three games against the Mavericks, he has attempted 22 three-pointers during that stretch. Considering the Mavericks rank 20th in the league in three-pointer percentage allowed, Hield should use sheer volume to get him Over. There’s even more value in this play since he's entering with a hot hand.
📊 Best Buddy Hield prop bet odds
🏀 Best Stephen Curry prop pick: Over 5.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -105 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.52)
Maybe I’m falling into a trap from oddsmakers, but this line shocks me. Curry is averaging 6.1 assists per game, and he just recorded eight against the Mavericks in the last meeting between these two teams. That performance marked the fewest assists that Curry had dished out against the Mavericks this season.
This month, Curry is averaging just 5.4 assists, and he’s had four games with fewer than 5.5 assists. But Curry has never come close to missing 5.5 assists against the Mavericks this season, so I just don’t understand this line.
Get in as soon as you can at BetMGM, as the price for this Over is already -125 at other best sports betting sites, signaling that this total will probably go up to six before tip-off.
📊 Best Stephen Curry prop bet odds
🚑 Mavericks vs. Warriors injuries
Here are the latest injuries for today's Mavericks vs. Warriors matchup, which will update in real time.
📺 How to watch Mavericks vs. Warriors tonight
📅 Date: Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025
🕗 Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
📺 TV: ABC
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
❓ Mavericks vs. Warriors FAQs
Who is favored to win Mavericks vs. Warriors?
The Warriors are heavily favored with our best sports betting apps implying they have anywhere from a 77.53% to a 79.16% chance of winning.
What are the odds for Mavericks vs. Warriors?
The majority of our best sportsbooks have the Warriors listed as 9-point favorites with the total set between 229.5 and 230.5.
What time is Mavericks vs. Warriors today?
Today’s game will be played at 3:30 p.m. ET.
How to watch Mavericks vs. Warriors
Today’s Mavericks vs. Warriors game will air on ABC and stream on ESPN+.
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
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