Nuggets vs. Kings Prediction, Expert Picks & NBA Odds: Best Bets & Player Props for Tonight
🏀 Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings preview
With both teams' coaches recently shown the door, the intrigue builds for tonight's game between the Denver Nuggets (47-32) and the Sacramento Kings (39-40).
The contest starts at 10 p.m. ET from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif., and our Nuggets vs. Kings prediction offers excellent NBA picks value.
📺 Game info & where to watch Nuggets vs. Kings live today
📅 Date: Wednesday, April 9
🕗 Time: 10 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, Calif.
📺 TV: ESPN
Nuggets vs. Kings betting info update
Betting information via BetMGM.
- The Nuggets, who opened at -1.5, are now the -4.5 favorites leading up to tipoff
- 79% of the bets and 91% of the handle are on the Nuggets to cover
- The total has increased from 232.5 to 234.5
- 73% of the bets and 90% of the handle are on the Over
- The Nuggets moneyline moved from -118 to -190 after receiving most of the action
📊 Nuggets vs. Kings stats: Records, trends & best odds today
📈 For full team stats and betting line history, follow our Nuggets vs. Kings matchup.
💡 Nuggets vs. Kings prediction & expert picks: Wednesday, April 9
🎯 Score prediction: Nuggets 118, Kings 113
✅ Best bet: Nuggets -3.5 (-114 via FanDuel)
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📰 Nuggets vs. Kings NBA preview & matchup analysis
Both clubs are struggling entering this matchup. Sacramento ranks 18th in net rating (-0.3) since the All-Star break, while Denver sits 21st (-1.5). Both teams are outside the top 20 in defensive rating. Both squads are also dealing with injuries. Malik Monk is out, Jamal Murray is doubtful, and Keegan Murray is questionable.
The injuries leave Sacramento very pressed for backcourt depth. Counterintuitively, that thrusts Domantas Sabonis into a larger role as a primary ball-handler. He notched a triple-double during his last outing, with Monk playing just six minutes. Sabonis’ Kings now rank 26th in pace since the break.
However, Monk is one of the Kings’ best assets by net on-off. The Kings are 2.5 points per 100 possessions better with him out there and 1.9 worse without Monk. Denver will still trot out its two highest-impact players by net on-off, Nikola Jokic and Christian Braun, and the Malone firing was surely tied to the former's discontent.
The advanced stats may point to an edge for Sacramento, but the team's poorly constructed roster and the absence of Monk give me faith in Denver. The Nuggets will need to figure themselves out defensively, but I expect Denver to make a statement tonight in their first game without Malone at the helm since 2015.
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💰 Nuggets vs. Kings picks & best bets
✅ Against the spread pick: Nuggets -3.5 (-114 via FanDuel)⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Nuggets (-165 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐
✅Over/Underpick: Under 234.5 (-100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
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⛹️ Best Nuggets vs. Kings player props & same-game parlay
🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!
🔥 Christian Braun Under 15.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While I’m high on the Nuggets in this spot, I’m also a realist. The Kings are playing at the NBA’s fifth-slowest pace since the All-Star break, and they may choose to proceed even slower with Monk sitting out. Sacramento also ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game since the break (46.8), which is bad news for Denver’s Christian Braun.
Braun may boast a more diverse arsenal than just attempts at the rim, but 9.4 of his 15.4 points per game have come in the paint, good for slightly more than a 61% share. Braun is also Denver’s leading fastbreak scorer, with five of his points coming in such situations. Sacramento’s eighth-place ranking in points allowed on the fastbreak (14) since the pause is a concern.
Braun is averaging 16.6 points per game without Jamal Murray this year and 16.4 since the break, but this matchup is still a great spot to fade him. Let’s hope Denver’s first game without Malone in years leads to the Nuggets adopting the more methodical pace the team used to win a championship.
🔢 Christian Braun player prop bet odds
🔥 Nikola Jokic 3+ 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nikola Jokic is in a great situation as a spot-up shooter this evening. The Kings have put out the second-worst defense against that play type this season. That's led to some concerning numbers versus centers. The Kings have allowed the third-most 3-pointers per game both to the position (3.3) and in the last 15 contests (3.8).
Jokic is averaging just one 3-pointer per outing against the Kings this season, but he's averaging 3.7 attempts. But while Jokic has converted only 27.3% of his long-range shots against the Kings this year so far, he's a 41.5% 3-point shooter on the campaign, pointing to some possible positive regression.
Getting some action on Jokic to tally three-plus triples at FanDuel for +164 is a solid bet. But if you’re looking for a play with a higher expected win rate, consider placing a same-game parlay on Jokic tallying a pair of triples and Denver winning at odds of +118 through FanDuel.
🔢 Nikola Jokic player prop bet odds
🔥 Domantas Sabonis Over 6.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Sabonis must step into a larger role as a passer without Monk. After featuring Monk in their starting lineup from early December to mid-March, the Kings returned him to the bench at the end of March. Sabonis was averaging 6.4 assists per game before Monk entered the starting five. He's averaged 7.8 over his last four contests, and all of those outings came with Monk on the bench.
Midseason lineup changes and trades can mess with a team’s chemistry, and I suspect that’s what’s been happening since the Zach LaVine trade. Sabonis averaged only 5.6 assists when that trade happened to March 31. But now that it seems he’s back on track–and with slightly less competition as a passer–this Nuggets vs. Kings player prop line feels a bit too low. Buy the Over.
🔢 Domantas Sabonis player prop bet odds
🚀 Best Nuggets vs. Kings parlay picks & SGP odds
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🔢 Best Nuggets vs. Kings odds & betting lines
🛒 Shop around for the best Nuggets vs. Kings odds from our best sports betting apps.
📡 Nuggets vs. Kings live odds
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🪧 Nuggets vs. Kings opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Nuggets +1 (-115) | Kings -1 (-105)
- Moneyline: Nuggets -110 | Kings -110
- Over/Under: Over 233 (-110) | Under 233 (-110)
🚑 Nuggets vs. Kings injury report
📋 For the latest injury news, check today's official NBA injury report.
🗳️ Who will win Nuggets vs. Kings?
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