Pacers vs. Thunder Predictions, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Finals Game 5: June 16

Can the Thunder take their first lead in the NBA Finals, or will the Pacers steal another game on the road in Game 5?
Pacers vs. Thunder Predictions, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Finals Game 5: June 16
Pictured: Indiana Pacers guard Tyrese Haliburton (0) drives to the hoop past Oklahoma City Thunder guard Alex Caruso (9). Photo by Kyle Terada via Imagn Images.

The Oklahoma City Thunder prevailed after an ugly game in Indiana, tying the NBA Finals with the Pacers at two apiece as the series shifts back to The Sooner State. Our Pacers vs. Thunder prediction and odds for the NBA Finals Game 5 highlight the large spread and offer up a Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop pick.

Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) on Monday, June 16, from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Our best sports betting sites list the hosts as 9.5-point betting favorites in Game 5.

🔮 Pacers vs. Thunder prediction & picks for Game 5

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for your NBA picks across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Pacers vs. Thunder prediction: Pacers +9.5 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

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🆚 Who will win Pacers vs. Thunder?

Neither Indiana nor Oklahoma City has lost back-to-back games in the NBA playoffs. However, I believe that changes in Game 5. The Thunder had arguably their worst performance of the series in a must-win Game 4, but coming from behind could light a fire underneath them as they look to take a lead in the series for the first time.

Mark Daigneault's men have a fantastic 9-2 home record this postseason. We'll pick them to improve to 10-2 with momentum on their side, as the Pacers drop consecutive contests for the first time in the playoffs. However, Indiana's fantastic record ATS and 3-point advantage will keep this game closer than the 9.5-point spread at our best sports betting apps suggests.

✅ Moneyline pick: Thunder will win (-395 via DraftKings)

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💰 Pacers vs. Thunder best bet

Here is my best bet for Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals:

🚨 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 points

  • Best odds: -108 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.26 profit)
  • Implied win probability: 51.92%

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When Josh Brolin decides to walk away from acting, he'll be comforted by the fact that Marvel has already teed up his replacement in Gilgeous-Alexander. That's the long-winded way of saying, like Thanos, the NBA Finals MVP odds favorite is inevitable. He chipped in with 14 clutch points in Game 4, with his masterful fourth quarter leading OKC to a victory.

This marks the fifth time Gilgeous-Alexander has cleared this prop in the last six games. The NBA scoring title leader has even forced some of our best sportsbooks to bump his total up to O/U 34.5 points, but FanDuel has held firm. We'll back the Thunder's talisman to clear this line for the fourth time in the 2025 NBA Finals with four-star confidence.

🏀 Live Pacers vs. Thunder odds  

Here are the live odds for Pacers vs. Thunder in Game 5. See the latest NBA odds for the NBA Finals from our best NBA betting sites.

💵 Best NBA betting sites

Want to bet on Pacers vs. Thunder in Game 5? Here are the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the 2025 NBA Finals:

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