Pacers vs. Thunder Predictions Tonight: NBA Finals Game 5 Odds & Best Bet

Can the Thunder become the first team to defeat the Pacers in back-to-back outings this postseason in tonight's Game 5?

Gabe Henderson

Last updated: June 16, 2025 5:30 PM EDT • 4 min read

Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5 Predictions Tonight: NBA Finals Odds & Best Bet — Pictured: Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) shoots the ball against Indiana Pacers forward Isaiah Jackson (22). Photo by Kyle Terada via Imagn Images.

The Oklahoma City Thunder evened the NBA Finals at two games apiece to force a de facto best-of-three starting tonight. Our Pacers vs. Thunder prediction and odds for tonight's NBA Finals Game 5 highlight the large spread and offer up a Shai Gilgeous-Alexander player prop pick as the series heads back to Oklahoma City.

Action tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from the Paycom Center. Our best sports betting sites list the hosts as 9.5-point betting favorites in Game 5; check out my Pacers vs. Thunder player prop picks for more insight on tonight's contest.

🔮 Pacers vs. Thunder prediction & picks for Game 5

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✅ Pacers vs. Thunder prediction: Pacers +9.5 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 points (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Pacers vs. Thunder?

Neither Indiana nor Oklahoma City has lost back-to-back games in the NBA playoffs. However, I believe that changes in Game 5. The Thunder had arguably their worst performance of the series in a must-win Game 4, but coming from behind could light a fire underneath them as they look to take a lead in the series for the first time.

Mark Daigneault's men have a fantastic 9-2 home record this postseason. We'll pick them to improve to 10-2 with momentum on their side, as the Pacers drop consecutive contests for the first time in the playoffs. However, Indiana's fantastic record ATS and 3-point advantage will keep this game closer than the 9.5-point spread at our best sports betting apps suggests.

✅ Moneyline pick: Thunder will win (-395 via DraftKings)

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💰 Pacers vs. Thunder best bet

Here is my best bet for Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals:

🚨 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 points

Best odds: -108 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.26 profit)
Implied win probability: 51.92%

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When Josh Brolin decides to walk away from acting, he'll be comforted by the fact that Marvel has already teed up his replacement in Gilgeous-Alexander. That's the long-winded way of saying, like Thanos, the NBA Finals MVP odds favorite is inevitable. He chipped in with 14 clutch points in Game 4, with his masterful fourth quarter leading OKC to a victory.

This marks the fifth time Gilgeous-Alexander has cleared this prop in the last six games. The NBA scoring title leader has even forced some of our best sportsbooks to bump his total up to O/U 34.5 points, but FanDuel has held firm. We'll back the Thunder's talisman to clear this line for the fourth time in the 2025 NBA Finals with four-star confidence.

👀 A different SGA prop leads off our Pacers vs. Thunder parlay plays.

🏀 Live Pacers vs. Thunder odds today

Here are the live odds for Pacers vs. Thunder in Game 5. See the latest NBA odds for the NBA Finals from our best NBA betting sites.

💰Pacers vs. Thunder betting insights

We've received some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours leading up to tipoff tonight for Game 5.

The spread opened at 9.5 points and remains at 9.5 points with 73% of the bets and 59% of the handle coming on Pacers +9.5
The total opened at 223.5 and has been bet up to 224.5 with a majority of bets (67%) and handle (61%) coming on the Over
Heading into Game 5, the Thunder are -625 favorites to win the NBA Finals

Most bet player props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score first field goal (+450)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 34.5 points (-125)
Luguentz Dort Under 3.5 rebounds (-115)
Jalen Williams Under 5.5 rebounds (-105)
Pascal Siakam Under 19.5 points (-120)

💡 Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5 expert picks

💵 Best NBA betting sites

Want to bet on Pacers vs. Thunder in Game 5? Here are the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the 2025 NBA Finals:

FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written By:
Gabe Henderson

Gabe Henderson is a sports betting writer from Houston, Texas. He graduated from Louisiana State University in 2022 with a bachelor's degree in Mass Communication. Gabe developed an interest in sports betting while in college due to its legalization in Louisiana. He turned his passion into a career shortly after, joining The Advocate/NOLA.com as a Sports Betting Content Coordinator, where he spent two years. Gabe wore many hats before graduating as he led FanSided's coverage of Chelsea FC as a Site Expert with "The Pride of London." He was also the Editor-in-Chief of the LSU Gumbo Yearbook for two years. Gabe became a part of the SportsbookReview.com team in late 2024. He brings with him an extensive knowledge of many sports, including — but not limited to — NFL, NCAA, MLB, NBA, soccer, and UFC.