Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds & Game 7 Best Bet Tonight: NBA Finals Picks

Who's taking home the Larry O'Brien Trophy? Let's dive in to our Pacers vs. Thunder prediction and odds for tonight.
Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction
Pictured Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander brings the ball up court against the Indiana Pacers. Photo by Alonzo Adams / Imagn.

Game 7. The two best words in sports, and this time it's for the Larry O'Brien trophy. 

The Indiana Pacers stayed alive with a 108-91 triumph in Game 6. But they're 7.5-point betting underdogs at our best sports betting sites entering Game 7, which is an obstacle visitors often face against the Thunder. Can Oklahoma City prevail again at Paycom Center?

Our Thunder vs. Pacers prediction breaks Game 7 down and answers the question on everyone's mind.

🏀 Thunder vs. Pacers odds  

Here are the live odds for Pacers vs. Thunder in Game 7. See the latest NBA odds for the NBA Finals from our best NBA betting sites.

🔮 Pacers vs. Thunder prediction & picks for Game 7

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds for your NBA picks across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Thunder vs. Pacers prediction: Thunder ML (-295 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Best bet: Pacers +7.5 (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

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🆚 Who will win Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7?

It was a fun ride while it lasted, Pacers, but it's going to take a ton of work to snatch the Larry O'Brien away from NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - whom we feature in our Pacers vs. Thunder player props - and the Thunder on their home court, where they were 35-6 in the regular season.

Now, that's not to say it won't be close (my best bet for this game is actually Indiana +7.5), but when it comes down to it, the Thunder are just too strong on both ends of the court to let this final slip through their grasp. In Game 7s, when the game usually slows down and iso play becomes central, the Thunder employ the best player in the league in these situations in SGA.

In Game 6, the Pacers forced the Thunder into 21 turnovers, which played a huge role in the team rolling over Oklahoma City. You better believe that won't happen again in a do-or-die game - we'll see a ton of positive regression from the Thunder on Sunday.

✅ Moneyline pick: Thunder (-295 via FanDuel)

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💰 Pacers vs. Thunder best bet

Here is my best bet for Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals:

📈 Pacers +7.5

  • Best odds: -108 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.26 profit)
  • Implied win probability: 51.92%

What. Just. Happened?

Everyone counted the Pacers out going into Game 6. Hell, everyone counted them out going into this series initially (including me). But here we are, at Game 7 of the NBA Finals, and I'm betting the Pacers to cover the spread.

Historically, this makes sense. Since 2005, every Game 7 in the NBA Finals was decided by seven points or less.

Date Teams Score
Sun, Jun 19, 2016 Cavaliers vs Warriors 93–89
Thu, Jun 20, 2013 Spurs vs Heat 88–95
Thu, Jun 17, 2010 Celtics vs Lakers 79–83
Thu, Jun 23, 2005 Pistons vs Spurs 74–81

Not only do we have history on our side, but whatever Pascal Siakam was conjuring prior to Game 6 seemed to work out for them. He's now moved to +375 (the best odds from our best sports betting apps via ESPN BET) in the NBA Finals MVP odds, too.

The Pacers defense has really clamped down on the Thunder and was a big part why Oklahoma City shot just 26% from 3-point land in Game 6. The bench for the Thunder has long been a massive bright spot for them, too, but Indiana has matched them with the play of Obi Toppin and T.J. McConnell throughout the series.

With the Pacers making the necessary adjustments, and with Game 7 history on our side, ride Indiana +7.5 as our best Pacers vs Thunder prediction in what will be a close tilt wire-to-wire.

🩼 Pacers vs. Thunder Game 7 injuries

While you might expect to see Siakam on this list for possession, he's not actually listed. Below is a live look at the injury report heading into Game 7.

📉 Pacers vs. Thunder betting insights

Here are some betting insights from BetMGM as the hours tick down toward tip-off.

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recording Over 5.5 assists is among the most-bet player props, along with SGA recording the first field goal
  • The spread has moved to -6.5 in favor of the Thunder, with 68% of the bets and 56% of the handle on the Pacers
  • The Over on 215.5 points is drawing 72% of the bets and 78% of the handle

🔮 Pacers vs. Thunder expert picks

💵 Best NBA betting sites

Want to bet on Thunder vs. Pacers in Game 7? Here are the best NBA betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the 2025 NBA Finals:

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