Raptors vs. Heat Picks, Predictions: Will Toronto Bounce Back Against Miami?
The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat are both coming off a loss on Friday night. Let's dive into the matchup with our Raptors-Heat picks.
The Brooklyn Nets defeated the Raptors 109-105 on Friday following Toronto's 108-105 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on opening night. Raptors forward Pascal Siakam notched a triple-double that included 37 points, 12 rebounds, and 11 assists.
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat are off to a slow start. They lost to the Chicago Bulls on opening night despite Zach LaVine missing that game. And they followed that up with a 111-104 defeat to the Boston Celtics in a rematch of the 2021-22 Eastern Conference finals that went the distance. Tyler Herro paced Miami’s scoring attack with 25 points, six rebounds, and three assists in a losing effort.
Here are my picks and predictions for the Raptors-Heat clash on Saturday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, PointsBet, and DraftKings Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Raptors vs. Heat Game Info
Date: Saturday, Oct. 22, 8 p.m. ET
Location: FTX Arena, Miami FL
TV: Bally Sports Sun
Raptors vs. Heat Odds
Raptors vs. Heat Odds Analysis
The Heat opened as a consensus 3-point favorite, and the line has moved to 2.5. Miami is getting 94% of the cash and 81% of the tickets.
The total opened at 217.5, but it's dipped to 215. The Under is attracting 84% of the cash and 80% of the tickets.
Raptors vs. Heat Picks
Raptors vs. Heat ATS Pick
Raptors +2.5 (-107) ★★★
The Heat are seeking their first win of the season after the team dropped its opening two home games. However, the betting trends between these two clubs don't favor the Heat.
Sure, the Raptors are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games when playing on consecutive nights. But they're 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing record.
Meanwhile, the Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Additionally, Miami is just 2-6 ATS during its previous eight contests when playing on back-to-back nights. And the Heat hold a 1-4 record ATS in their last five matchups against squads with a winning record.
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Raptors vs. Heat O/U Pick
Over 215 (-110) ★★★
These teams faced off four times in 2021-22, splitting the season series.
The total in those contests ranged from 206.5 to 214.5, with the Over hitting on three occasions. The Raptors are 0-2 to the Under so far in 2022-23, while Miami's Over/Under record is an even 1-1.
Despite both teams averaging a combined scoring total of 211 points per contest, go with the Over since it's hitting more often in head-to-head matchups.
Raptors vs. Heat Prop Pick
Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 points (-115) ★★★
Siakam recorded the second-highest scoring average of his career in 2021-22 (22.8). His scoring output dipped to 21 points per contest against the Heat, with his best game coming on April 3 (29 points).
He's playing well over the first two games of the new season. Siakam scored 23 points during the team’s win over the Cavaliers. He followed up that performance with a 37-point effort against the Nets.
The veteran is averaging 30 points per contest. Go with the Over here amid Siakam’s hot start and Miami’s early struggles.
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Raptors-Heat picks made 10/22/2022 at 11:16 a.m. ET.
