Thunder vs. Pacers Predictions, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Finals Game 4: Tonight, June 13

Can Shai Gilgeous-Alexander even the series with the Pacers as the Thunder prepare for Game 4 of the NBA Finals in Indiana tonight?

Rob Paul

Last updated: June 13, 2025 5:32 PM EDT • 4 min read

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be desperate for a massive victory tonight in Game 4 to turn the NBA Finals into a best-of-three and head home with a series split. Meanwhile, another triumph on their home court of Gainbridge Fieldhouse would put the Indiana Pacers in firm control to win their first title.

Our Thunder vs. Pacers odds and prediction backs MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to make the difference and get his squad heading home with a 2-2 series split. Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC).

🔮 Thunder vs. Pacers prediction & picks for Game 4

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✅ Who will win Thunder vs. Pacers: Thunder (-225 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
✅ Best prop bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 steals (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Thunder vs. Pacers best bet

Here is my best bet for Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Finals:

🚨 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 steals

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Implied win probability: 50%

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Even down 2-1 to the Pacers, SGA leads the NBA Finals MVP odds over Tyrese Haliburton. However, for him to add the top individual postseason honor to his trophy case alongside his MVP, he needs to continue to force his point guard counterpart into mistakes.

While Haliburton isn't known to be turnover-prone (1.6 per game in the regular season), he's averaging four per game against the stingy Thunder defense. For as explosive as SGA is offensively, the Canadian is among the best pickpockets in the NBA, finishing top five in steals per game in each of the last three seasons.

We've seen his propensity for forcing turnovers show up in the playoffs, too, with him going for three-plus steals in two of three NBA Finals games and for two-plus in 12 of his last 18 postseason games (66.7%). This prop is extra enticing at these even money odds, but I'd be willing to play it as short as -125.

🔍 Thunder vs. Pacers betting insights

There's still some shuffling taking place as tip-off nears.

The spread opened at 5.5 points, but it's trading as a flat 6 points at almost all of our best sports betting apps, though several are beginning to move to 6.5 now in the hours before gametime
The total keeps steadily rising after opening at 225.5, and it's gone up from 226.5 on the morning of gameday to 227.5 now, with 81% of the money on the Over at BetMGM, according to John Ewing
As Ewing also notes, the Thunder are 0-8 against the spread on the road during the playoffs this year, and Gilgeous-Alexander scoring the first field goal is among the most-bet props

🏀 Thunder vs. Pacers odds today

Here are the live odds for Thunder vs. Pacers in Game 4. See the latest NBA odds for the NBA Finals from our best NBA betting sites.

💡 Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 expert picks

💵 Best NBA betting sites

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Written By:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.